NFL Playoffs Odds 2022: To Make The Postseason

Pro Football Futures

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Welcome to TheLines’ betting hub for the NFL Playoffs. On this page you will find odds for teams to make the postseason and playoff game lines come January.

NFL Playoffs odds

Odds to Make The NFL Playoffs are available to bet on now.

Arizona Cardinals To Make The NFL Playoffs odds: Yes (-106) / No (-116)

Kyler Murray is sitting out voluntary OTAs and looking for a new contract, but DeAndre Hopkins (hamstring) is healthy and said he expects the dynamic QB to ride with him this season. Murray will also have Marquise “Hollywood” Brown to target as a vertical threat.

Atlanta Falcons: Yes (+550) / No (-800)

The Falcons have turned the page on the Matt Ryan era with Marcus Mariota slated to take over a new-look offense. They re-signed the versatile Cordarelle Patterson and extended OT Jake Matthews to give Mariota more support.

Baltimore Ravens: Yes (-130) / No (+105)

Without Lamar Jackson (ankle), the Ravens dropped their final six games last year and missed out on the playoffs for the first time since 2017. Jackson is reportedly upset with the front office for trading Hollywood Brown and he’s been unwilling to negotiate about a contract extension.

Buffalo Bills: Yes (-600) / No (+400)

The Bills are the favorites (+600 at DraftKings) to win the Super Bowl and are projected to win around 12 games at most books. Josh Allen continues to improve each season and their defense is loaded with veteran Von Miller coming aboard to pursue a third ring with a third team.

Carolina Panthers: Yes (+550) / No (-800)

Matt Rhule is 10-23 over his first two seasons as Panthers head coach and Christian McCaffrey has only been active for 10 of those games. Carolina is building towards becoming more competitive by re-signing stud young WR D.J. Moore and CB Donte Jackson.

Chicago Bears To Make The NFL Playoffs odds: Yes (+300) / No (-400)

New GM Ryan Poles focused on upgrading Chicago’s defense during the draft and he’s added a couple of pieces around Justin Fields to give the dual-threat QB a better chance at success in his second season. Former Colts DC Matt Eberflus will look to put it all together as the Bears new head coach.

Cincinnati Bengals: Yes (-120) / No (+100)

The Bengals went 4-2 against AFC North foes en route to a division title last season and have a good chance to win it again with Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase leading the way. There are plenty of question marks surrounding the Ravens, Steelers, and Browns, but the Bengals are slotted third at some books with +210 odds to repeat as division champs.

Cleveland Browns: OTB

Deshaun Watson’s status remains unknown this season with a multitude of civil lawsuits still pending as we head towards training camps. He could wind up on the Commissioner’s Exempt List for several games, which is why sportsbooks are holding off on Cleveland’s futures market.

Dallas Cowboys: Yes (-275) / No (+220)

If they weren’t playing in a weak division, the Cowboys might have longer odds to make the playoffs. But they have a great shot to repeat as division champs as long as Dak Prescott can stay healthy. Their defense is bordering on elite with Micah Parsons becoming a superstar and more talent coming up through the draft.

Denver Broncos To Make the NFL Playoffs odds: Yes (-140) / No (+115)

Russell Wilson looks to lift a struggling Broncos offense into contention in the ridiculously loaded AFC West. The Broncos have lost 9 of their last 10 division games and don’t have as much talent around Wilson as the Raiders, Chiefs, and Chargers can put around their stud QBs.

Detroit Lions: Yes (+400) / No (-550)

The Lions overachieved in Dan Campbell’s first year at the helm and they have a good shot to top their projected total of 6.5 wins, but will that be enough to make the playoffs in the weaker NFC?

Green Bay Packers: Yes (-450) / No (+333)

Aaron Rodgers is sitting out OTAs for a second straight year, even though the Packers are breaking in a completely new set of WRs including free-agent signing Sammy Watkins and second-round pick Christian Watson.

Houston Texans: Yes (+1200) / No (-3000)

The Texans might have the least amount of talent of any NFL team and they’re in full rebuilding mode with Lovie Smith taking over as head coach. They scored some help on the defensive line by inking Jerry Hughes and Mario Addison.

Indianapolis Colts: Yes (-175) / No (+145)

Matt Ryan steps in for Carson Wentz to captain a steady Colts offense that will continue to run behind Jonathan Taylor and a beastly offensive line. Even at age 37, Ryan is an upgrade over Wentz and Frank Reich should be able to win more close games with the veteran under center.

Jacksonville Jaguars: Yes (+450) / No (-650)

The Jaguars had a disastrous season under Urban Meyer and should be far more competent under new HC Doug Pederson. Trevor Lawrence gets some help along the offensive line and could develop a good rapport with new TE Evan Engram.

Kansas City Chiefs To Make the NFL Playoffs odds: Yes (-200) / No (+165)

The Chiefs have a much lower projected win total (10.5) since they traded Tyreek Hill to Miami. This team was a few plays away from making yet another Super Bowl and Patrick Mahomes is fully capable of leading the Chiefs back to the playoffs with Andy Reid crafting a new system.

Las Vegas Raiders: Yes (+180) / No (-225)

The Raiders loaded up this offseason by signing Chandler Jones, Davante Adams, Duran Harmon, Vernon Butler, Kyle Peko, and DeMarcus Robinson, while extending Derek Carr. The pressure is on Josh McDaniels in his second stint as a head coach in the AFC West.

LA Chargers: Yes (-150) / No (+125)

While the AFC West is loaded with talented QBs, the Chargers have an effective counter with Joey Bosa and Khalil Mack lining up on the edges. Justin Herbert has been as good as any passer in the league and the Bolts have a great offensive line to protect him.

LA Rams: Yes (-250) / No (+200)

While they struggled during the second half of the regular season, the Rams squeaked out a few key wins and obviously went on to squeak out a Super Bowl title in Matthew Stafford’s first year. The NFC West appears weaker this season and they’re the favorites to repeat as division champs.

Miami Dolphins To Make the NFL Playoffs odds: Yes (+135) / No (-165)

The Dolphins dealt several draft picks to snare Tyreek Hill and they continued to add weapons for Tua Tagovailoa by signing Allen Hurns and Cedrick Wilson. If Tua fails with this WR corps, Teddy Bridgewater can take over for Miami.

Minnesota Vikings: Yes (+100) / No (-120)

Kevin O’Connell steps in as the new coach of the Vikings and new GM Kwesi Adofo-Mensah helped him by providing LB depth with Jordan Hicks and Za’Darius Smith. Kirk Cousins is back for at least one more year to work with Adam Thielen and Justin Jefferson.

New England Patriots To Make the NFL Playoffs odds: Yes (+135) / No (-165)

Mac Jones hit a bit of a rookie wall down the stretch, but the Patriots still made the playoffs, only to get pummeled in Buffalo in the Wild Card round. Their defense continues to improve with old friend Malcolm Butler rejoining the fold.

New Orleans Saints: Yes (+135) / No (-165)

With Sean Payton retired and Michael Thomas still showing questionable motivation, it will be hard to trust the Saints offense this year. Former DC Dennis Allen should implement a more conservative scheme as head coach.

New York Giants: Yes (+200) / No (-250)

The Giants were the worst team in football over the final quarter of the season last year. Brian Daboll could finally get the full potential out of this young and talented offense if Saquon Barkley and others can stay healthy.

New York Jets: Yes (+700) / No (-1100)

Like the Giants, the Jets sputtered to a 4-13 record last year, but they were the worst team in football during the first quarter when Zach Wilson was thrown to the wolves. With a little more experience and a little more talent around him, Wilson could be competent this year.

Philadelphia Eagles: Yes (-145) / No (+120)

Jalen Hurts is in line for a big contract extension if he can lead the Eagles to the playoffs for a second straight year. Philly went 9-8 last year against one of the tougher schedules in football and have the second-easiest schedule in the NFL this year according to last year’s win percentages.

Pittsburgh Steelers: Yes (+300) / No (-400)

Mitchell Trubisky takes over for the retired Ben Roethlisberger and his mobility should prove an asset for a Steelers team that is weak along the offensive line. Pittsburgh is no longer the class of the AFC North and might actually be the worst team in the division.

San Francisco 49ers: Yes (-225) / No (+180)

Deebo Samuel is still looking for a trade and the superstar might not be happy if the Niners franchise tag him next year. With the fifth-hardest schedule in the NFL on tap, they will need their most important offensive player.

Seattle Seahawks: Yes (+450) / No (-650)

The Seahawks couldn’t make the playoffs with Russell Wilson available for most of last season and they’re a longshot to even finish third in the NFC West with Drew Lock taking over under center.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Yes (-600) / No (+425)

Tom Brady is back and veteran names might follow this summer, including his old running mate Rob Gronkowski. Tampa Bay is loaded with talent on the defensive front and they signed Logan Ryan to shore up their secondary.

Tennessee Titans: Yes (-110) / No (-110)

Mike Vrabel seemed concerned about his locker room after the front office decided to deal A.J. Brown on draft night. Now Ryan Tannehill will have to keep defenses honest by targeting rookie Treylon Burks and Robert Woods, who is coming off an ACL tear.

Washington Commanders: Yes (+195) / No (-250)

The Commanders are tied with the Eagles for the easiest schedule in the NFL this year and they feel like they’ve upgraded at QB with Carson Wentz taking over for Taylor Heinicke. Washington’s defense is bound to improve with Montez Sweat and Chase Young returning to action.

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How the NFL Playoffs work

The NFL postseason field will once again feature 14 teams in total.

Prior to last season, under the traditional format, six teams made the postseason from each conference each year. Of those six teams from both the AFC and NFC, two teams from each conference were given a first round bye. The other four teams squared off in Wild Card games for the right to advance to the Divisional Round.

Different, now, is that an extra team is added to the field in both conferences.

  • Now, only one team from each conference will receive a first round bye. This will give a massive advantage to the two teams that will not have to play Wild Card weekend.
  • The remaining six teams from each conference will play in Wild Card games, giving Wild Card weekend two extra games each year (six games in total).
  • Wild Card weekend will feature three games on Saturday, Jan. 15, 2022, and three more games on Sunday, Jan. 16, 2022.
  • The No. 1 seed in each conference will play the lowest remaining seed in each conference in the Divisional Round. The Divisional Round will take place on Saturday, Jan. 22 and Sunday, Jan. 23.
  • The winners of the Divisional Round matchups will advance to their respective conference’s Championship Game. The NFC and AFC title games will be played on Sunday, Jan. 30.
  • The winners of the title games will then play in Super Bowl LVI, which is scheduled for Feb. 13 at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California.

Prior to last season’s changes, the NFL last tinkered with the postseason 31 years ago as in 1990, the playoffs expanded from 10 to 12 teams.

New 17-game regular season

Under the old NFL regular season format with 16 games and 12 total playoff slots available, 10 or 11 wins was usually good enough to land a postseason berth – regardless of whether or not that team won their division. Once in a while, a 9-7 team would squeak in as well.

Last year with the new playoff field of 14 teams – a 7-9 team made the playoffs (Washington by virtue of winning its division), an 8-8 team made the playoffs as a 7 seed in the NFC (Chicago Bears) and a 10-6 team made the playoffs as the 6 seed in the NFC (LA Rams).

Conversely, a 10-6 record in the AFC was not good enough to make the cut as the Miami Dolphins were snubbed.

Starting with the 2021 regular season, the NFL will be moving from 16 games played per team to 17 games played per team. This will change how we think about placing “To Make The Playoffs” futures.

Here are some example records under the new 17-game schedule that we will likely see for teams that will make the postseason:

  • 14-3
  • 13-4
  • 12-5
  • 11-6

Be sure to keep the new 17-game schedule and the new playoff format in mind when examining a team’s playoff chances.

How to bet on the NFL Playoffs

NFL Playoffs odds for each Wild Card game will be posted at sportsbooks as soon as the 2021 regular season ends on Jan. 9, 2022. Here is a hypothetical game line.

  • Spread: Washington Football Team +7.5 at Green Bay Packers -7.5
  • Over Under: 47.5

Playoff futures can usually be found at online sportsbooks in the Team Futures section under a tab labeled “To Make Playoffs.” This indicates the bettor is offered a Yes/No proposition on which teams will make the postseason.

Perennial pro football powers such as the Ravens or Chiefs are usually listed with negative odds at the start of the season because they’re expected to make the playoffs every year. For example, say the Ravens were listed with -480 odds to make the playoffs at FanDuel Sportsbook to start the season. On a $10 bet at those odds, you would net only $2.08 if Baltimore was to make the postseason cut.

Teams in stronger divisions tend to get longer odds, whereas teams that dominate their divisions get better odds because of their clear path to a playoff berth.

Most teams have NFL Playoffs odds somewhere between -200 and +300 at the start of the season. There are some true long shots such as the Houston Texans, who had +700 odds to make the playoffs at DraftKings Sportsbook in May.

NFL Playoffs betting strategy

The important thing to consider when betting NFL Playoffs futures is public perception. These lines are set almost entirely based on the esteem each team has earned in the public eye. The Cowboys had -250 odds to make the playoffs entering the 2020 season because of their reputation as a star-studded team. But going against the grain by taking a +200 bet on Dallas to miss the playoffs would have paid off. Dallas was upset in Week 1 by the Rams, 20-17, and nearly lost to the Falcons in Week 2. They then lost their starting quarterback for the remainder of the 2020 season.

Also consider the division landscape when betting on NFL Playoffs futures. Not only does a weak division provide a path to the postseason, it provides six relatively easy, or six very difficult games depending on the division. It makes sense to analyze the entire season schedule before placing a significant wager on a team.

Note that if you’re interested in trying to predict the exact pecking order in a division, DraftKings Sportsbook is offering odds on the finishing position for each team within their division.

Odds are also different at different sportsbooks, so shop around and see where you can find the best price on each team to make or miss the playoffs.

What happened last year?

Here is a list of the teams that made the playoffs in 2020 along with their preseason odds to qualify:

  • Kansas City Chiefs -1400
  • Baltimore Ravens -900
  • Tennessee Titans -140
  • Indianapolis Colts -160
  • Buffalo Bills -190
  • Cleveland Browns +135
  • Pittsburgh Steelers -125
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers -220
  • Washington Football Team +650
  • Chicago Bears +155
  • New Orleans Saints -330
  • LA Rams +150
  • Seattle Seahawks -135
  • Green Bay Packers -140

Based on preseason NFL playoffs odds, the Washington Football Team was the most surprising team to make the postseason in 2020-21. The WFT made the cut courtesy of playing in the worst division in football, the NFC East. A 7-9 regular season record won the division.

The Rams were a trendy pick to make the playoffs prior to last season if you believe in “bounce-back” seasons. In 2018, the Rams went 13-3 and made the Super Bowl. In 2019, they took a step back with a 9-7 record and did not make the playoffs. Sean McVay’s squad won one more regular season game in 2020 at 10-6, making the cut.

The San Francisco 49ers were this year’s trendy pick to “bounce-back.” In 2019, the Niners had a 13-3 record and won the NFC. Last year, they were decimated by injuries and stumbled to a 6-10 mark. With most of their horses back this season, another playoff berth could be in the cards. San Fran is -200 to make the playoffs at DraftKings Sportsbook.