NFL Draft TE Odds: Tyler Warren, Colston Loveland Lead Strong Class
The 2025 NFL Draft begins Thursday, Apr. 24, in Green Bay. Despite the tight end fading in and out of fashion, teams typically take their shot with ultra-talented prospects. Elite teams like Philadelphia and Kansas City incorporate the position into their usual offense, increasing the value of the TE in recent years. Penn State unicorn Tyler Warren leads NFL Draft odds for first TE taken, but talented options like Colston Loveland (Michigan) and Harold Fannin Jr. (Bowling Green) present intriguing options down the board. Let's take a look at this year's class.
NFL draft Tight End odds: First Tight End drafted
Sportsbooks may offer odds on the first tight end drafted in 2025. Warren should dominate that market as a heavy odds-on favorite. When this is the case, sportsbooks tend to lean on the second TE drafted (see 2024). However, a large projection gap exists between Loveland and Fannin, and another equally-sized gap exists between Fannin and Gunnar Helm (Texas). In leu of TE ranking markets, expect over/unders offered per round.
Top 2025 TE Draft Prospects
- Tyler Warren, Penn State: The centerpiece of the semifinalist Penn State turned in a dynamic season akin to one seen previously by Brock Bowers. His range fluctuates, though Warren is more likely a top-10 pick than not.
- Colston Loveland, Michigan: Despite a horrific offensive output from Michigan in 2024, Loveland retains his NFL Draft stock as a Day 1 pick. The Jim Harbaugh-led Chargers are a trendy landing spot at No. 22.
- Harold Fannin Jr, Bowling Green: Fannin shattered TE records across the board at BGSU and was controversially not selected as the Mackay Award winner. Expect him to go Day 2, more likely in Round 2 than Round 3.
- Gunnar Helm, Texas: In another class, Helm may be viewed with more value than this. However, he's closer to a Day 3 pick than a Day 2.
- Elijah Arroyo, Miami (FL): Projects to be fairly close to Helm, a late Day 2-early Day 3 pick. His 2024 season was by far his best and the only which he logged more than 100 receiving yards in any given season.
- Mason Taylor, LSU: Don't be surprised to hear Taylor go much higher than projected. He dominated TE headlines during All-Star season and brings a more prototypical frame (6-foot-5, 255 pounds).
How to bet on first Tight End drafted Odds
Sportsbooks usually only offer odds on how many tight ends will be drafted in the first round. This year, we can expect a line set at 1.5, with juice to the over as Loveland projects to be a late Round 1 selection. There's almost no world in which Fannin goes Day 1.
NFL Draft TE history
Here is a list of the first tight ends taken in each NFL Draft going back to 2010.
| Year | Team | Player | College | Pick (No. overall) |
| 2024 | Las Vegas | Brock Bowers | Georgia | 13 |
| 2023 | Buffalo | Dalton Kincaid | Utah | 25 |
| 2022 | Arizona | Trey McBride | Colorado State | 55 |
| 2021 | Atlanta | Kile Pitts | Florida | 4 |
| 2020 | Chicago | Cole Kmet | Notre Dame | 43 |
| 2019 | Detroit | TJ Hockenson | Iowa | 8 |
| 2018 | Baltimore | Hayden Hurst | South Carolina | 25 |
| 2017 | Tampa Bay | OJ Howard | Alabama | 19 |
| 2016 | San Diego | Hunter Henry | Arkansas | 35 |
| 2015 | Carolina | Devin Funchess | Michigan | 41 |
| 2014 | Detroit | Eric Ebron | North Carolina | 10 |
| 2013 | Cincinnati | Tyler Eifert | Notre Dame | 21 |
| 2012 | Indianapolis | Coby Fleener | Stanford | 34 |
| 2011 | Minnesota | Kyle Rudolph | Notre Dame | 43 |
| 2010 | Cincinnati | Jermaine Gresham | Oklahoma | 22 |
NFL Draft odds, strategy and trends
In four of the last six drafts, a TE has gone in the first round. 2023 will provide one of the best TE classes in recent memory, almost assuring that at least one goes in the last round. Expect the over/under to be set at 1.5 with heavy juice on the over or 2.5 with heavy juice to the under. How Washington and Musgrave grade out at the NFL Combine surely will affect the number.
But for the first time in awhile, the TE market is an exciting one to watch.
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