NFL Draft Safety Odds: Will Anyone Go Round 1?
In the NFL, the safety position is no longer a premium. Truly great safety play is a luxury for teams with those rare players, but safety prospects just don't attract much attention. Each year, about one solid prospect is selected in Round 1. This year, Georgia's Malaki Starks appears to be the lone safety worthy of a first round pick. Watch for South Carolina's Nick Emmanwori, Penn State's Kevin Winston Jr., and Notre Dame All-American Xavier Watts to go Day 2. Will any of these players go Round 1?
NFL Draft odds: First safety drafted
Check back for odds on the first safety drafted when odds become available.
How to bet on safeties drafted
One of the most common NFL Draft prop wagers are those that involve betting on which player will be the first drafted at each position. To find these wagers in an online sportsbook, click the NFL tab to navigate toward the 2024 Draft section. Once there, click on “First Pick by Position” to view the odds.
This year, teams in need of safety help include:
- Miami (No.13)
- Buccaneers (No. 19)
- Steelers (No. 21)
NFL Draft safety history
Here's a list of the first safety taken in each NFL Draft going back to 2010.
| Year | Team | Player | College | Pick (No. overall) |
| 2024 | NY Giants | Tyler Nubin | Minnesota | 47 |
| 2023 | Detroit | Brian Branch | Alabama | 45 |
| 2022 | Baltimore | Kyle Hamilton | Notre Dame | 14 |
| 2021 | Miami | Jevon Holland | Oregon | 36 |
| 2020 | New York Giants | Xavier McKinney | Alabama | 36 |
| 2019 | LA Rams | Taylor Rapp | Washington | 61 |
| 2018 | Miami | Minkah Fitzpatrick | Alabama | 11 |
| 2017 | NY Jets | Jamal Adams | LSU | 6 |
| 2016 | Oakland | Karl Joseph | Ohio State | 14 |
| 2015 | NY Giants | Landon Collins | Alabama | 33 |
| 2014 | NY Jets | Calvin Pryor | Louisville | 18 |
| 2013 | New Orleans | Kenny Vaccaro | Texas | 15 |
| 2012 | New England | Tavon Wilson | Illinois | 48 |
| 2011 | Denver | Rahim Moore | UCLA | 45 |
| 2010 | Kansas City | Eric Berry | Tennesseee | 5 |
NFL draft odds strategy and trends
In four of the last five drafts, no safeties went Day 1. 2022 was the exception, sending Kyle Hamilton and Lewis Cine to Baltimore and Minnesota, respectively. Brian Branch went shortly after the turn of Round 2 last season and turned in one of the best rookie seasons in recent safety memory that year, too. This year, expect an over/under for safeties to be set at 0.5 with heavy juice to the over. Sportsbooks might also post "Will a safety be drafted in Round 1?" prop with Yes being an odds-on favorite.
More NFL Draft odds, betting guides
- QB Draft Class
- RB Draft Class
- WR Draft Class
- TE Draft Class
- OL Draft Class
- DL Draft Class
- LB Draft Class
- CB Draft Class