The AFC South has been a two-team race for the past several seasons, and 2022 was not supposed to be much different. But the Jaguars are making their case as an actual threat. The two-time reigning division champion Tennessee Titans sit behind the Indianapolis Colts on AFC South odds boards. The Colts added veteran Matt Ryan in the offseason and look to correct their disastrous implosion to end last season while the Titans, now down AJ Brown, hope to continue their control of the league.
When betting NFL futures odds, always line shop. While one book may offer Colts -125, that doesn’t mean they all do and you could reap a higher payout with more favorable odds. Keep up-to-date with TheLines as we lay out odds from dozens of sportsbooks for you.
AFC South odds
2022 AFC South outlook and predictions
The Jaguars (8-8) are getting -285 odds at DraftKings to beat the Titans on Saturday night and secure the AFC South crown. After opening as slight underdogs, the Jags have shifted to 6.5-point favorites for their finale, which is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET on Jan 7.
The Titans (7-9) are definitive underdogs for this winner-take-all finale with Ryan Tannehill (ankle) on I.R. and Josh Dobbs likely to start in Jacksonville. The Titans rested several players last Thursday night in a loss to the Cowboys and are getting +235 odds at DraftKings to beat the Jags and hang onto the AFC South crown.
Past AFC South division winners
| Year | Winner | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Tennessee Titans | 12-5 |
| 2020 | Tennessee Titans | 11-5 |
| 2019 | Houston Texans | 10-6 |
| 2018 | Houston Texans | 11-5 |
| 2017 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 10-6 |
| 2016 | Houston Texans | 9-7 |
| 2015 | Houston Texans | 9-7 |
| 2014 | Indianapolis Colts | 11-5 |
| 2013 | Indianapolis Colts | 11-5 |
| 2012 | Houston Texans | 12-4 |
| 2011 | Houston Texans | 10-6 |
| 2010 | Indianapolis Colts | 10-6 |
How to bet on NFL division winners
When betting NFL division winners– and any futures– it may be beneficial to consider implied probabilities. This year’s AFC South implied win probabilities:
- Indianapolis Colts -125 (55.6% implied probability)
- Tennessee Titans +170 (37% implied probability)
- Jacksonville Jaguars +700 (12.5% implied probability)
- Houston Texans +3000 (3.2% implied probability)
Also consider each team’s odds to calculate payouts and winnings. A $10 bet on the Titans +170 to win the AFC South would yield $17 in winnings plus the initial $10 bet back for a total $27 payout.
The longer the odds (greater numbers) offer higher payouts. But shorter odds (smaller numbers or minus numbers) imply a better probability.
NFL division betting previews
| AFC | NFC |
|---|---|
| AFC East | NFC East |
| AFC North | NFC North |
| AFC South | NFC South |
| AFC West | NFC West |