Last year’s New England Patriots team was able to mask offensive ineptitude with sound play calling and a strong defense. This year, the offensive ineptitude is on full display behind conservative play calling and a subpar defense. The result is a date with the bottom of the AFC East and a sub-0.500 record through three games. Mac Jones appears to be a full game manager, not helped along by a receiving corps bereft of go-to talent. As long as that trend continues, the Patriots will continue to play in low-total point games and lose the shootouts.
Below, you can find New England Patriots odds for 2022. Included is a weekly outlook, odds for every game this season, futures, and more.
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Week 4 Odds: Patriots at Packers Spread, Total & Moneyline
The Patriots are heavy road underdogs against the Green Bay Packers in Week 4. The steepness of the line comes in reaction to Mac Jones suffering an ankle injury, which the reports believe to be a high ankle sprain, at the end of New England’s loss to Baltimore last week. Should Jones not go, veteran Brian Hoyer will be the starter. Hoyer is a journeyman who’s spent a lot of time in New England and would offer a suitable backup, although that’s still reason for skepticism in an already-struggling offense.
The over/under for this game is set at a conservative points. The Patriots are 25th in scoring behind uninspiring play calling while the Packers are 27th and roster one of the least-experienced receiving corps in the NFL.
Patriots betting news
Patriots prop bets
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New England Patriots futures odds
The New England Patriots’ odds to win the Super Bowl in 2023 are currently .
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New England Patriots 2022 schedule and betting odds
| Week | Date | Opponent | Kickoff Time | Opening odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | Sunday, Sept. 11 | at Miami Dolphins | 1 p.m. ET | +3 |
| Week 2 | Sunday, Sept. 18 | at Pittsburgh Steelers | 1 p.m. ET | -1 |
| Week 3 | Sunday, Sept. 25 | vs. Baltimore Ravens | 1 p.m. ET | PK |
| Week 4 | Sunday, Oct. 2 | at Green Bay Packers | 4:25 p.m. ET | +5 |
| Week 5 | Sunday, Oct. 9 | vs. Detroit Lions | 1 p.m. ET | -5 |
| Week 6 | Sunday, Oct. 16 | at Cleveland Browns | 1 p.m. ET | OTB |
| Week 7 | Monday, Oct. 24 | vs. Chicago Bears | 8:15 p.m. ET | -5 |
| Week 8 | Sunday, Oct. 30 | at New York Jets | 1 p.m. ET | -1.5 |
| Week 9 | Sunday, Nov. 6 | vs. Indianapolis Colts | 1 p.m. ET | PK |
| Week 10 | Sunday, Nov. 13 | BYE | BYE | |
| Week 11 | Sunday, Nov. 20 | vs. New York Jets | 1 p.m. ET | -6 |
| Week 12 | Thursday, Nov. 24 | at Minnesota Vikings | 8:20 p.m. ET | +1.5 |
| Week 13 | Thursday, Dec. 1 | vs. Buffalo Bills | 8:15 p.m. ET | +3 |
| Week 14 | Monday, Dec. 12 | at Arizona Cardinals | 8:15 p.m. ET | +2.5 |
| Week 15 | Sunday, Dec. 18 | at Las Vegas Raiders | 8:20 p.m. ET | +3 |
| Week 16 | Sunday, Dec. 25 | vs. Cincinnati Bengals | 1 p.m. ET | +1 |
| Week 17 | Sunday, Jan. 1 | vs. Miami Dolphins | 1 p.m. ET | -1.5 |
| Week 18 | Saturday, Jan. 7 OR Sunday, Jan. 8 | vs. Buffalo Bills | TBD | +7 |
Patriots 2022 offseason moves
Key signings: SAF Jabrill Peppers
Re-signings: OT Trent Brown, SAF Devin McCourty, RB James White, K Nick Folk
Trades: WR DeVante Parker, LB Mack Wilson
Key losses: CB J.C. Jackson, OL Ted Karras, RB Brandon Bolden
Key draft picks: C Cole Strange, WR Tyquan Thornton, CB Marcus Jones, QB Bailey Zappe
How to bet on the New England Patriots
Moneyline
The moneyline is the simplest of bets, decided by the straight-up winner and loser of each game. Consider the following example:
- Patriots -105
- Cowboys +100
The Patriots are considered slight favorites in this matchup (indicated by -105), requiring a $105 bet to win $100 (plus the initial bet back). The Cowboys are the underdog in this matchup, paying out $200 total for a $100 bet ($100 in winnings). How much either team wins or loses by does not matter in moneyline betting, the payout remains the same.
Point spread
Betting on the point spread is determinant on how many points a team wins or loses by. Take the following example:
- Patriots -1.5 (-110)
- Titans +1.5 (-110)
In this example, New England is favored by 1.5 points, indicated by “-1.5.” If the Patriots win the game 23-20, the Patriots (-1.5) win the bet and would have a total payout of $19.09 on a $10 bet ($9.09 in profit). If the Titans keep the game within two and lose 17-16, the Titans (+1.5) would win, and the payout would be the same as listed above.
Point total (over/under)
The point total refers to the over/under line set by books. This number projects the total number of points scored in a game and, like prop betting, is bet whether one thinks the score will go over or under the set point total. For example, a Patriots game against the Texans point total was set at 45.5. New England lost that game 27-20, resulting in 47 combined points and awarding those who bet the over on the point total a win.
New England, at times, struggled to move the football on offense but fielded a strong defense in 2020, resulting in routinely-low point totals throughout the season. Those totals often fell between 38 and 45 points, with rarely any game totals pushing above 50.
In-play and live betting
Sometimes, the most thrilling and rewarding bets are bets made while games are being played. These are referred to as live bets or in-play bets. Odds are ever-changing during games, which would prove to be fruitful for sharp and prepared bettors. For example, if the Patriots (-225) were heavily favored against the Jaguars (+190) before kickoff, a payout on a $10 bet on the Patriots to win would win just $4.44.
However, say the Patriots fell to a big 17-3 deficit in the first half despite controlling the overall game (due to a costly turnover or special teams gaffe). Odds may swing in favor of the Jaguars, who may be a -110 favorite at halftime. Taking the Patriots to come back and win the game could present plus-odds (say, +130). Should a bettor take New England (+130) at halftime and the Patriots pull off the comeback, winners would win $13 instead of $4.44 (plus the initial $10 bet).
This could also be an effective way to “hedge” your bet; say a bettor took the Jaguars (+190) in that game, but New England jumps out to a 10-0 first quarter lead and is controlling the overall feel of the game, bettors could hedge by throwing some money down on New England (-270) to return some of the inevitably-lost bet.
Parlays and teasers
You can always string bets together in the form of parlays or teasers. Usually during busy Sundays, bettors can parlay several teams to win or cover against the spread and if all bets are successful, the payouts are multiplied. Teasers function similarly, except they allow bettors to move each point spread to a more favorable line in exchange for diminished odds.
Patriots 2021 recap
Record: 10-7, 2nd AFC East. Lost in Wild Card Round to Bills
Record ATS: 10-7
Over/under record: 9-8
Mac Jones became the first Patriots rookie quarterback to start a playoff game. After a flurry of offseason spending, Bill Belichick once again made his team competitive. However, they couldn’t overcome the Bills, who out-schemed Belichick twice to the tune of 80 points in two games (Week 16, Wild Card). Cornerback JC Jackson found his stride in 2022 and was named an All Pro along with teammate Matthew Slater (special teamer).