New England Patriots odds to win the Super Bowl range from +6000 to +7500. Where they go from here will be determined by how well QB Mac Jones can mesh with new offensive coordinator Bill O’Brien, and if the defense can continue to be an elite unit.
The New England Patriots (8-9) missed out on playoff contention for just the fifth time under Bill Belichick since 2000, last season. Plenty of blame for the Pats’ lack of true success last season went toward’s Belichick’s decision to have defensive minded coaches Matt Patricia and Joe Judge call the offense. To fix the issue, the Patriots brought in a familiar face this offseason in O’Brien. Jones was sufficient in his rookie season but has had a severe lack of impact pass catchers. To address the receiving corps, New England signed JuJu Smith-Schuster and Mike Gesicki. But with Jakobi Meyers heading to Vegas, the Patriots appear to be treading water on offense. They also did not address the lack of an impact receiver in the Draft. The Pats should be outstanding on defense once again. Behind Matthew Judon, the Patriots had the No. 3 rated D per DVOA last season.
Below, you can find New England Patriots odds for 2023. Included is a weekly outlook, odds for every game this season, futures, and more.
Patriots odds
View New England Patriots odds for the 2023 NFL season below. Patriots Week 1 odds are already available to bet on. Scroll down to compare NFL betting odds for their game against the Philadelphia Eagles.
New England Patriots vs Philadelphia Eagles
The New England Patriots host the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 1 of the 2023 NFL season. The Patriots opened as home underdogs of +4.5 with an initial total of 46 points. Below are live Patriots odds for Week 1 against the Eagles.
Patriots betting
Patriots betting futures are available to wager on now. View the best prices below.
Patriots Super Bowl odds
The Pats are longshots to win the Super Bowl as they have around +6000 odds at most sportsbooks. The AFC East is stacked and it will be tough to win the division. Patriots odds for the division sit around +1000.
Patriots transactions
Key signings: TE Mike Gesicki, WR JuJu Smith-Schuster, OT Riley Reiff, OT Calvin Anderson, RB James Robinson
Re-signings: CB Jonathan Jones, ST Matt Slater, SAF Jabrill Peppers, LB Raekwon McMillian, G James Ferentz, CB Myles Bryant, LB Mack Wilson
Trades: None
Key losses: TE Jonnu Smith, WR Jakobi Meyers, RB Damien Harris
Patriots Draft Picks: CB Christian Gonzalez, DE Keion White, S Marte Mapu, G Jake Andrews, K Chad Ryland, OL Sidy Sow, OL Antonio Mafi, WR Kayshon Boutte
The New England Patriots agreed to a one-year deal today with former Miami Dolphins tight end Mike Gesicki. The deal is worth up to $9 million.
The former Penn State standout appeared in 81 games for the Dolphins, catching 231 of 370 targets for 2,617 yards and 18 touchdowns. Gesicki will replace receiver Jakobi Meyers, who signed as a free agent with the Raiders. Additionally, New England traded TE Jonnu Smith to Atlanta.
Former Kansas City Chiefs and Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver JuJu Smith-Shuster have agreed to a three-year $33 million deal to join the New England Patriots.
Smith-Shuster will help replace Jakobi Meyers, who just departed to join the Las Vegas Raiders. The former Steelers draft pick was second on the team behind superstar tight end Travis Kelce in targets (101), receptions (78), and receiving yards (933) in his lone season with the Chiefs.
Patriots Week 17 Inactives against the Dolphins:
CB Jalen Mills
CB Marcus Jones
CB Shaun Wade
TE Jonnu Smith
WR DeVante Parker
RB Kevin Harris
DT Sam Roberts
Patriots inactives for their Week 16 matchup against the Bengals:
CB Jack Jones
WR DeVante Parker
CB Jalen Mills
RB Damien Harris
WR Raleigh Webb
DT Sam Roberts
FS Joshuah Bledsoe
The Patriots will travel to Los Vegas to take on the Raiders in Week 15. The spread for this game has New England as a one-point road favorite. The over/under is 44.5.
The Patriots will look to build momentum in the AFC Wild Card race against a poor opponent. New England beat the Cardinals 27-13, on Monday Night Football last week. The offense has struggled and ranks just 24th in yards per game (319.6).
Patriots Week 11 Inactives against the Jets:
JJ Taylor
Josh Bledsoe
Sam Roberts
Kevin Harris
Shaun Wade
The Patriots pass defense has a potential mismatch against the Jets passing attack in Week 11. New England has the No. 2 pass defense DVOA and the eighth-best pass defense in football per PFF. New York has the second-worst passing offense per PFF and has the third-lowest yards per pass in the league.
Look for a potential Under-Bet on Zach Wilson's over/under passing yards of 195.5, which can be found at PointsBet. Wilson hasn’t eclipsed this number in three of his last four games.
Patriots Week 9 Inactives against the Colts:
RB Damien Harris
WR DeVante Parker
C David Andrews
DT Christian Barmore
RB Kevin Harris
S Joshuah Bledsoe
CB Shaun Wade
DT Sam Roberts
The Patriots look to win back-to-back games in Week 9 against the Colts. New England is a 5.5-point favorite across all major sports books. The over/under for this game is 39.
The Patriots will try to protect the ball in this matchup, as QB Mac Jones has turned the ball over eight times thus far. The best game plan would be to feed Rhamondre Stevenson, who out-snapped Damien Harris 49 to 31 and out-touched him 23 to 13 last week.
Patriots Week 8 Inactives against the Jets:
David Andrews
Kyle Dugger
Christian Barmore
Sam Roberts
Kevin Harris
Shaun Wade
Patriots prop bets
Search below for New England Patriots team or player props currently being offered at sportsbooks. You can also look around at other teams and players using this tool. Happy shopping!
New England Patriots futures odds
The New England Patriots’ odds to win the Super Bowl in 2024 are currently .
Best Patriots betting site(s)
New England Patriots 2023-24 schedule and betting odds
| Week | Date | Opponent | Kickoff Time | Opening Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | Sunday, September 10 | Philadelphia Eagles | 4:25 p.m. ET | +4.5 |
| Week 2 | Sunday, September 17 | Miami Dolphins | 8:20 p.m. ET | +2.5 |
| Week 3 | Sunday, September 24 | at New York Jets | 1:00 p.m. ET | +3.5 |
| Week 4 | Sunday, October 1 | at Dallas Cowboys | 4:25 p.m. ET | +4.5 |
| Week 5 | Sunday, October 8 | New Orleans Saints | 1:00 p.m. ET | -3 |
| Week 6 | Sunday, October 15 | at Las Vegas Raiders | 4:05 p.m. ET | |
| Week 7 | Sunday, October 22 | Buffalo Bills | 1:00 p.m. ET | |
| Week 8 | Sunday, October 29 | at Miami Dolphins | 1:00 p.m. ET | |
| Week 9 | Sunday, November 5 | Washington Commanders | 1:00 p.m. ET | |
| Week 10 | Sunday, November 12 | Indianapolis Colts | 9:30 a.m. ET | |
| Week 11 | BYE | |||
| Week 12 | Sunday, November 26 | at New York Giants | 1:00 p.m. ET | |
| Week 13 | Sunday, December 3 | Los Angeles Chargers | 1:00 p.m. ET | |
| Week 14 | Thursday, December 7 | at Pittsburgh Steelers | 8:15 p.m. ET | |
| Week 15 | Monday, December 18 | Kansas City Chiefs | 8:15 p.m. ET | |
| Week 16 | Sunday, December 24 | at Denver Broncos | 8:15 p.m. ET | |
| Week 17 | Sunday, December 31 | at Buffalo Bills | 1:00 p.m. ET | |
| Week 18 | TBD | New York Jets | TBD |
How to bet on the New England Patriots
Moneyline
The moneyline is the simplest of bets, decided by the straight-up winner and loser of each game. Consider the following example:
- Patriots -105
- Cowboys +100
The Patriots are considered slight favorites in this matchup (indicated by -105), requiring a $105 bet to win $100 (plus the initial bet back). The Cowboys are the underdog in this matchup, paying out $200 total for a $100 bet ($100 in winnings). How much either team wins or loses by does not matter in moneyline betting, the payout remains the same.
Point spread
Betting on the point spread is determinant on how many points a team wins or loses by. Take the following example:
- Patriots -1.5 (-110)
- Titans +1.5 (-110)
In this example, New England is favored by 1.5 points, indicated by “-1.5.” If the Patriots win the game 23-20, the Patriots (-1.5) win the bet and would have a total payout of $19.09 on a $10 bet ($9.09 in profit). If the Titans keep the game within two and lose 17-16, the Titans (+1.5) would win, and the payout would be the same as listed above.
Point total (over/under)
The point total refers to the over/under line set by books. This number projects the total number of points scored in a game and, like prop betting, is bet whether one thinks the score will go over or under the set point total. For example, a Patriots game against the Texans point total was set at 45.5. New England lost that game 27-20, resulting in 47 combined points and awarding those who bet the over on the point total a win.
New England, at times, struggled to move the football on offense but fielded a strong defense in 2020, resulting in routinely-low point totals throughout the season. Those totals often fell between 38 and 45 points, with rarely any game totals pushing above 50.
In-play and live betting
Sometimes, the most thrilling and rewarding bets are bets made while games are being played. These are referred to as live bets or in-play bets. Odds are ever-changing during games, which would prove to be fruitful for sharp and prepared bettors. For example, if the Patriots (-225) were heavily favored against the Jaguars (+190) before kickoff, a payout on a $10 bet on the Patriots to win would win just $4.44.
However, say the Patriots fell to a big 17-3 deficit in the first half despite controlling the overall game (due to a costly turnover or special teams gaffe). Odds may swing in favor of the Jaguars, who may be a -110 favorite at halftime. Taking the Patriots to come back and win the game could present plus-odds (say, +130). Should a bettor take New England (+130) at halftime and the Patriots pull off the comeback, winners would win $13 instead of $4.44 (plus the initial $10 bet).
This could also be an effective way to “hedge” your bet; say a bettor took the Jaguars (+190) in that game, but New England jumps out to a 10-0 first quarter lead and is controlling the overall feel of the game, bettors could hedge by throwing some money down on New England (-270) to return some of the inevitably-lost bet.
Parlays and teasers
You can always string bets together in the form of parlays or teasers. Usually during busy Sundays, bettors can parlay several teams to win or cover against the spread and if all bets are successful, the payouts are multiplied. Teasers function similarly, except they allow bettors to move each point spread to a more favorable line in exchange for diminished odds.
Patriots 2022 recap
Record: 8-9
Record ATS: 7-9-1
Over/under record: 8-9