The 2022 NBA Playoffs continue this week with the Eastern Conference Finals and Western Conference Finals being played out. Below we look at NBA Playoffs odds for conference finals games as well as series prices.
NBA playoffs odds: Second Round
The pro basketball postseason is down to just four teams as the Celtics, Heat, Warriors and Mavs battle it out for the crown. NBA Playoffs odds for each game can be seen below.
Here are what NBA Playoffs odds look like for conference finals series’.
Here are the NBA Finals odds for the teams that made the postseason or Play In tournament and how those futures prices have changed. Initial futures are via Caesars Sportsbook from April 11, the morning after the conclusion of the 2022 NBA regular season.
|Team||NBA Playoffs odds April 11: To win title||NBA Playoffs odds April 14: To win championship||NBA Playoffs odds April 25: To win title||NBA Playoffs odds May 2: To win championship||NBA Playoffs odds May 9: To win title||NBA Playoffs odds May 16: To win championship|
|Golden State Warriors||+900||+900||+300||+255||+215||+135|
|New Orleans Pelicans||+25000||+30000||+10000||OTB||OTB||OTB|
|San Antonio Spurs||+75000||OTB||OTB||OTB||OTB||OTB|
Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat
Game 5 (Series tied, 2-2): Wednesday 8:30 p.m., ESPN
The Celtics may have only been down 2-1 in the series coming into Monday night’s Game 4, but they made it clear from the start they wouldn’t squander another opportunity in front of the home crowd after a disastrous opening quarter in Game 3. Despite being without Marcus Smart (ankle), Boston opened the game on an 18-1 run and already held a 24-point lead by halftime. Things got so bad for Miami that Erik Spoelstra pulled the plug on his starters after they furnished just 18 combined points, a testament to the Celtics’ defense considering Smart was out. Of critical importance for the hosts was the fact Jayson Tatum rediscovered his stroke following a 3-for-14 showing on Saturday night, as he led the Celts with 31 points on 50.0 percent shooting and also went 14-for-16 from the line. That helped make up for Jaylen Brown’s first poor shooting night of the series (5-20 FG), as did Derrick White’s impressive spot start (13 points, eight rebounds, six assists, three steals and one block).
The Heat became the first team to miss each of their 14 shot attempts in a postseason game in 25 years in Game 4, yet another metric that underscores how ugly a night it was. Miami will naturally take comfort in returning to its home floor, yet it bears noting they’ve basically enjoyed two stellar quarters in the series and arguably gotten outplayed otherwise. That could spell trouble in Game 5 if the Celtics are able to avoid any temporary meltdowns, especially since Boston demonstrated how thin the rest of Miami’s squad is from an offensive standpoint if Jimmy Butler has a poor night. Such was the case Monday, as Butler shot just 3-for-14 and only Victor Oladipo truly stepped up, albeit off the bench, to make up the shortfall with a team-leading 23-point contribution.
The Celtics are 5-2 straight up in the postseason and sport the fourth-best defensive rating (109.9) on the road in the original 16-team playoff field, but their status as 1.5-point road favorites is intriguing. Meanwhile, the tiny projected total of 203.5 points speaks to the defensive battle that’s envisioned, even with Smart listed as questionable.
NBA player props
Check out our FREE props tool below to help you find the best NBA odds at all of the US sportsbooks.
Odds to make the postseason
Here is a look at what “odds to make the NBA Playoffs” from DraftKings Sportsbook were ahead of the 2021-22 season.
- Rockets +1600
- Pacers -175
- Clippers -285
- Lakers -3500
- Grizzlies +110
- Heat -1000
- Bucks -8000
- Timberwolves +600
- Pelicans +190
- Knicks -150
- Thunder +2200
- Magic +2200
- 76ers -2000
- Suns -3500
- Trail Blazers -250
- Spurs +1000
- Kings +380
- Raptors +280
- Jazz -1000
- Wizards +450
- Celtics -500
- Hawks -500
- Mavericks -650
- Nuggets -650
- Warriors -600
- Hornets +175
- Bulls -185
- Nets -20000
- Pistons +200
- Cavaliers +2000
How does the Play-In Tournament work?
The NBA’s Play-In Tournament takes place right before the start of the traditional postseason. The tourney decides the 7 and 8 seeds in the Eastern Conference and Western Conference.
The format gives an advantage to the teams with higher regular season winning percentages as the teams with the seventh highest and eighth highest winning percentages each get two chances to win one game to earn a playoff berth. Teams with the ninth highest and 10th highest winning percentages in each conference have to nab two straight victories to earn a place in the traditional postseason under the format.
Last season the Lakers clinched the 7 seed in the West by toppling the Warriors and the Celtics secured the 7 seed in the East by beating the Wizards. Washington fared much better in their second Play-In game, thumping the Pacers to land the 8 seed in the East, while the Warriors went 0-2 in the Play-In, falling to Memphis.
What are NBA futures?
In betting terms, “futures,” usually refer to wagers with a season-long outcome such as the NBA champion, NBA division winner, or individual award winners. Prior to the season, it’s possible to bet Over or Under on Team Win totals, i.e. the number of games a team is expected to win during the regular season.
Due to the shortened season, bets on Win Totals and division winners have been rendered null and void with the investment going back to bettors.
How to bet the NBA Playoffs
Betting on a potential outcome such as the NBA champion is known as a futures bet. There are several other ways to bet on individual games in the NBA Playoffs including taking the winner on the moneyline. This is the simplest way to bet, but the favored team will always have negative odds to encourage action on both sides. For example, if the Bucks face the Nuggets in the first game of the NBA Finals, the Bucks might be listed with -250 odds for Game 1, indicating that a $25 bet on the Bucks to win would only profit $10.
If you want a better chance at even money, you’ll have to bet the point spread for a game. The spread is set based on a number that oddsmakers feel will encourage action on both sides of the line. Taking an example from the first round of the 2020 NBA playoffs, the Lakers were expected to blow past the eighth-seeded Blazers in Game 4 of their series. They were listed as Lakers (-9.5), indicating the Lakers would have to win by double digits for their backers to cash. Conversely, the Blazers (+9.5) would pay out as long as they lost by 9 or fewer points. With no home court advantage in the 2020 NBA playoffs, most point spreads have been small, with plenty hovering around -1.5 or even a “PK” or Pick ‘Em line that functions just like a moneyline.
Since NBA games often finish in scattered fashion with late buckets and free throws, you may not feel as confident about choosing a winner or betting the spread. If so, you can get some action on the point total or over/under. The total refers to the combined score between two opponents and in today’s NBA, it usually ranges between 205 and 230 points. For example, if a line between the Knicks and Hawks is set at 222.5 and the Knicks defeat the Hawks, 112-110, the Under is successful. These lines are set depending on the typical pace and style of each opponent, while accounting for things like home court advantage and back-to-back scheduling. Those factors are almost completely irrelevant in this year’s playoffs, so betting the point total will be all about matchups.
It’s also possible to bet on the prospects of individual players in the form of proposition bets. This is an excellent way to strategize while betting on the NBA, since certain players thrive in certain matchups and it can be predictable which nights they will give their absolute best effort. If the Lakers are playing a Game 7 in the WCF, you can certainly target a proposition on LeBron James going Over 46.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists. If James posts a relatively typical line of 27 points, 11 assists, and 9 rebounds, the Over would cash. There are also novel prop bets about whether a player will record a double double, triple double, or hit a certain number of 3-pointers.
Bettors can wager on future outcomes without picking the NBA champion, since each playoff series will have a series line. For example, the No.3-seeded Bucks were listed with -310 odds to defeat the Miami Heat in the first round, but if you felt Miami matched up well against Milwaukee, you could get plus odds on the Heat winning that series (+240). These odds will change after each result with the team leading the series getting a significant bump as the favorite.