NBA MVP Odds For Nikola Jokic, Tatum, Giannis, Luka And More

Most Valuable Player Betting Info

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Voter fatigue is a definite worry when betting on Nikola Jokic for MVP as the Nuggets star won in 2021 and 2022. But the Serbian sensation has been just that good again this season to warrant him NBA MVP favorite status. Jokic had +175 NBA MVP odds on January 16, with Luka Doncic, Giannis Antetokounmpo and Jayson Tatum owning prices to win the award anywhere from +250 to +600.

Check out live MVP odds for those players and more below.

NBA MVP odds

Here are NBA MVP odds for the 2022 – 2023 season. Click to bet now. And compare NBA odds for every game here.

Odds to win NBA MVP

Here are some of the favorites when it comes to odds to win NBA MVP in 2023.

Nikola Jokic  

The two-time reigning MVP is having an even better statistical season this year while essentially averaging a triple-double. Jokic owns a league-high 135.6 offensive rating and a 32.2 PER while carrying the Nuggets to the top seed in the Western Conference. 

Joel Embiid  

While Embiid has missed his share of games, the other top MVP candidates have also dealt with injuries this season. The big man’s MVP odds dropped from +1400 to +230 over the past two weeks after he dropped 47 points, 18 rebounds, and 5 assists in a dominant performance to beat Jokic and the Nuggets. 

Luka Doncic  

Doncic is now a tick behind Embiid in scoring average (33.4 PPG) and he’s dealing with recurring injuries to his ankle/foot that could hamper his performance. Dallas is in danger of falling into the play-in tournament as Doncic struggles to win with a lackluster supporting cast. 

Giannis Antetokounmpo  

After missing six games due to knee soreness, Giannis has led the Bucks on a six-game win streak with averages of 40.2 PPG, 14.7 RPG, and 4 APG. Khris Middleton is still on a minutes restriction and Jrue Holiday continues to defer to the Greek Freak. 

Jayson Tatum  

The Celtics have the top record in basketball and Tatum is having a career year with averages of 31.1 PPG, 8.7 RPG, and 4.4 APG, but he’s just one of several standout performers on arguably the deepest and most talented team in the league.

Ja Morant

The Grizzlies won 11 straight after Christmas and have been reeling since during a 1-7 span. Morant is still averaging 26.9 PPG, 7 RPG, and 10.6 APG in that span to keep his squad competitive. 

LeBron James  

James carried the Lakers while Anthony Davis (foot) was out and now the duo has a chance to bring their squad into playoff contention with AD back to anchor an improving defense. LeBron is averaging 30.1 PPG, 8.5 RPG, and 7.1 APG while shooting 50.6% from the floor. 

Steph Curry  

Curry is shooting 50% from the floor and 43% from deep while hitting nearly five triples per game and averaging 29.7 PPG on the season. The Warriors have been surprisingly inconsistent since he returned from a multi-week absence due to a shoulder injury. 

Kevin Durant  

Durant is on pace for a 50/40/90% shooting season provided he returns from his MCL injury in good form. Kyrie Irving has requested a trade, which would leave KD in position to carry the Nets on his own the rest of the season. 

Damian Lillard  

Mitchell posted the first 70-plus performance in the NBA since Kobe Bryant and he did with 11 assists while shooting 64.7% from the floor. He’s averaging 28.8 PPG with a 119.9 offensive rating and should carry the young Cavs to a top four seed in the East. 

Donovan Mitchell  

Mitchell’s MVP odds peaked after he posted the first 70-plus performance in the NBA since Kobe Bryant dropped 81 points in 2006. The Cavs have been hovering around .500 over the past few weeks and Mitchell has been relatively inefficient while missing some games. 

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

The Thunder is at least a year ahead of schedule in what seemed like it would be a long rebuild, because SGA is playing at an All-NBA level with averages of 30.8 PPG, 4.8 RPG, and 5.6 APG on the season.

How NBA MVP odds are changing

Below we will examine how NBA MVP odds change over the course of the season.

PlayerNBA MVP Odds October 18NBA MVP Odds December 1
Jayson Tatum+1400+250
Luka Doncic+425+270
Giannis Antetokounmpo+600+280
Stephen Curry+1200+800
Joel Embiid+650+1500
Kevin Durant+800+1700
Nikola Jokic+900+2200
Devin Booker+3000+2500
Ja Morant+1500+2500
Donovan Mitchell+8000+3500
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander+6000
Anthony Davis+6000+10000
Trae Young+3500+10000
Damian Lillard+4500+10000
Zion Williamson+2200+13000
Bam Adebayo+20000
Pascal Siakam+20000
Jimmy Butler+5000+20000
DeMar DeRozan+8000+20000
LeBron James+2500+20000
James Harden+7000+20000
Tyrese Haliburton+30000
Paul George+8000+30000
D'Aaron Fox+30000
Karl-Anthony Towns+5000+30000
Kyrie Irving+9000+40000
Anthony Edwards+6000+50000

Here are what NBA MVP odds looked like on Opening Night of the 2021-22 season at DraftKings Sportsbook.

  • Luka Doncic +380
  • Kevin Durant +600
  • Joel Embiid +800
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo +800
  • Steph Curry +900
  • Damian Lillard +1400
  • Nikola Jokic +1500
  • LeBron James +1800
  • James Harden +2000
  • Trae Young +2000
  • Devin Booker +2500
  • Anthony Davis +2500
  • Russell Westbrook +2500
  • Paul George +3000

Futures Betting on NBA MVP

The NBA MVP award is usually fairly easy to predict, but with the league currently loaded with super-duper-stars, we saw a relative longshot win in 2021. Denver Nuggets star Nikola Jokic captured his first league MVP award, as he averaged 26.4 points, 10.8 rebounds and 8.3 assists per game that season. The Joker had the 12th lowest odds to win the award at FanDuel Sportsbook ahead of the season at +3600.

Jokic wound up going back-to-back, as he won the pro basketball Most Valuable Player award again in 2022. The Serbian sensation had around +1400 NBA MVP odds prior to the start of the 2021-22 season. Philadelphia 76ers star Joel Embiid narrowly missed out on winning the award. Embiid had around +1000 MVP odds prior to the start of the season. Luka Doncic was the consensus favorite to win in the pre-season last year with +400 odds.

NBA Over or Under Win Totals

Betting on the MVP winner is one of the more popular options for outright bets known as “Futures,” which are usually wagers on a season-long outcome such as the NBA champion, NBA division winner, or individual award winners. It’s also possible to bet Over or Under on Team Win totals, i.e. the number of games a team is expected to win during the regular season.

If you’re looking to bet on NBA lines for today go here.

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Where you can bet on the MVP legally

Online sports betting is currently legal at a regulated sportsbook in the following states:

StateLaw Passed?Launch DateMobile Launch
Arizona Sports BettingYesSeptember 2021September 2021
Arkansas Sports BettingYesJuly 2019NA
Colorado Sports BettingYesMay 2020May 2020
Connecticut Sports BettingYes*September 2021October 2021
Delaware Sports BettingYesJune 2018Pending
Florida Sports BettingYes*PendingPending
Illinois Sports BettingYesMarch 2020August 2020
Indiana Sports BettingYesSeptember 2019October 2019
Iowa Sports BettingYesAugust 2019August 2019
Louisiana Sports BettingYesOctober 2021January 2022
Maryland Sports BettingYesPendingPending
Michigan Sports BettingYesMarch 2020January 2021
Mississippi Sports BettingYesAugust 2018September 2021
Montana Sports BettingYesMarch 2020March 2020
Nevada Sports BettingYes19492010
New Hampshire Sports BettingYesAugust 2020December 2019
New Jersey Sports BettingYesJune 2018August 2018
New Mexico Sports BettingNo*October 2018NA
New York Sports BettingYesJuly 2019January 2022
North Carolina Sports BettingYesMarch 2021NA
Ohio Sports BettingYesJanuary 2023January 2023
Oregon Sports BettingNo*August 2019October 2019
Pennsylvania Sports BettingYesNovember 2018May 2019
Rhode Island Sports BettingYesNovember 2018September 2019
South Dakota Sports BettingYesSeptember 2021NA
Tennessee Sports BettingYesNovember 2020November 2020
Virginia Sports BettingYesJanuary 2021January 2021
Washington, D.C. Sports BettingYesMay 2020August 2020
Washington Sports BettingYesSeptember 2021NA
West Virginia Sports BettingYesAugust 2018August 2019
Wyoming Sports BettingYesSeptember 2021September 2021

Legislation is on the table in a number of states with more states sure to legalize sports betting in the upcoming years.

Residents of Arizona, Colorado, Michigan, Nevada, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Virginia and West Virginia have access to online sportsbooks, including the platforms created by industry titans DraftKings and FanDuel. William Hill and other online books also offer great opportunities to bet on NBA games and Futures.

In order to bet on MVP, users can click on the NBA tab and find the tab labeled “Futures” and move to “Player Futures.” Regular Season MVP should be one of the categories along with Rookie of the Year, Defensive Player of the Year, and more postseason awards.

Previous winners and trends

Only three MVP winners in the “modern era” have come from teams that won 50 games or fewer. This past season’s winner, Jokic, was one of them as his team won 48 games. Additionally, since 1985 only three MVPs have come from teams that failed to finish at least second in their conference.

So the starting point for choosing a good bet is finding the best player on a winning team. Denver was not one of the top two teams but Jokic more or less single-handedly willed them to the playoffs. The Nuggets were a top 6 seed in the West as were the Sixers in the East.

Remember that the MVP is a regular season award, so players that historically have come up short in the postseason, like Jokic and Harden will always still have a seat at the MVP table.

That said, because the award is voted upon by sportswriters, a players’ body of work tends to put them over the top. Only four MVP winners were younger than 23 and the last rookie to win the MVP was Wes Unseld back in 1969.

Scoring is Critical to win NBA MVP

Scoring is a key criteria for MVP, as the NBA’s leading scorer has won the award in four of the past five years.

While the Center position is fading in today’s small-ball NBA, that position leads the way in MVP awards with 27, although 22 of those came in the first 28 years of the award.

Over the last 15 years, guards have won the award eight times, signifying how the NBA has transitioned to a faster-paced, higher-scoring game. The past four guards to win (James Harden, Russell Westbrook, Steph Curry, and Derrick Rose) are not particularly renowned defenders. Posting gaudy offensive numbers can be enough to sway voters.

Shooting guards have won the fewest awards (eight) in the history of the MVP and Michael Jordan snagged five of those trophies.

Since the 1975-76 season, only three players have been named MVP in a season where their team failed to win 50 games. That includes Russell Westbrook in 2016-17, but it has become a rarity for a player from a mediocre team to win the award.

The Most Valuable Player (MVP) award is voted upon by a panel of 100 media members who are not affiliated with any NBA franchises. Each member of the panel casts a vote for first to fifth place selections. Each vote counts incrementally towards a players’ total, with first-place votes netting 10 points and fifth-place votes counting for only 1 point.

In the history of NBA MVP voting, only Curry (2015-16) has received every first-place vote from the entire panel to be named MVP unanimously. Kareem Abdul-Jabbar won the award a record six times and LeBron has won four MVP awards, which makes him the leader among active players.