NBA Free Agency Betting Guide

Updated Odds, Offseason Moves, And Analysis

The Toronto Raptors didn’t get to celebrate their 2018-19 NBA title for long. Within hours of Kawhi and the Raptors hoisting the Larry O’Brien trophy, the Lakers and Pelicans announced a league-shifting trade involving all-world talent Anthony Davis. Just like that, the NBA offseason shifted into full gear.

There were a lot of questions before free agency unofficially began on June 30:

  • How will the Lakers fill out the rest of their roster?
  • Will Kawhi Leonard re-sign with the Raps or head to the West Coast?
  • What do the Warriors to with KD and Klay?
  • Where do Kyrie, Kemba, Jimmy, and the rest of the sought-after free agents land?

In this article, TheLines NBA experts Chris Sheridan and Nate Weitzer break down all of the moves from the summer so far, along with the impact these moves will have on betting markets.

KEY: (R) – Restricted free agent; (U) – Unrestricted free agent; (PO) – Player option; (TO) – Team option

Los Angeles Clippers

Opening odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +1600
Current odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +275
Projected 2019-20 win total: 56.5
Key moves so far: Kawhi Leonard (4-year, $142M), Paul George (trade), Patrick Beverley (3-year, $40M), Rodney McGruder (3-year, $15M), Maurice Harkless (trade)
Key Draft Picks: Mfiondu Kabenge, Florida State (No. 27 via Nets); Terance Mann, Florida State (No. 48)

Weitzer’s Grade: A+

First the Clippers retained Patrick Beverley and acquired a solid two-way wing in Maurice Harkless. Then, they pulled off the deal of all deals during a momentous summer by signing Kawhi Leonard while trading for Paul George. This savvy deal, made hours before most signings became official on July 6, is clearly the reason Leonard’s camp was so quiet about his destination. By only giving up Danilo Gallinari, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and several draft picks, the Clippers are set up to compete for a title right now and are considered the favorites in a wide-open race.

What’s next: Now the Clippers can compete with LeBron and the Lakers to pull some of the top mercenary veterans off the scrap heap. Guys like Avery Bradley and Kyle Korver may be considering taking the minimum to compete for a ring. The Clips need to add a reliable two-way wing to start ahead of Lou Williams and might want a defensive-minded center to start ahead of Montrezl Harrell.

Los Angeles Lakers

Opening odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +2000
Current odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +375
Projected 2019-20 win total: 51.5
Key moves so far: Anthony Davis (trade), Troy Daniels (1-year, $2.1M), Jared Dudley (1-year, $2.6M)
Key Draft Picks: Talen Horton-Tucker, Iowa State (No. 46)

Weitzer’s Grade: B-

Acquiring Anthony Davis is obviously a huge win for the Lakers, but they aimed a bit too high in pursuing Kawhi Leonard as the third superstar on their roster. With Leonard in their crosshairs, the Lakers clearly missed an opportunity to recruit Kemba Walker, Jimmy Butler, or another big name. They also missed an opportunity to use their remaining cap space ($32M) to sign multiple contributors that would help James and Davis. Now those stars are left with a largely gutted roster.

What’s next: With Leonard headed to the Clippers, the Lakers are left to scramble for the remaining mid-tier free agents and will have to add more veterans on short-term deals like Jared Dudley. Avery Bradley and Danny Green are two names out there that GM Rob Pelinka should target. We should see the Lakers odds to win the title and WCF drop following the Clippers blockbuster acquisition of Leonard and Paul George.

Milwaukee Bucks

Opening odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +450
Current odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +600
Projected 2019-20 win total: 55.5
Key moves so far: Khris Middleton (5-year, $178M), Brook Lopez (4-year, 52M),  George Hill (3-year, 29M), Robin Lopez (2-year, $9.7M), Wes Matthews (1-year, $2.5M)
Key Draft Picks: None

Sheridan’s Grade: A

Losing four in a row to the eventual champion Toronto Raptors was hard to swallow, but shoo-in MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo is coming back, as is Khris Middleton, and Eric Bledsoe signed a contract extension … all part of the reason why they have the shortest championship odds in the East. The Bucks traded away their only draft pick, but they got busy after the second round was completed, signing Wofford sharpshooter Fletcher Magee and Division II Player of the Year Daulton Hommes.

Keeping Middleton and Lopez were the biggest offseason priorities, and although losing Malcolm Brogdon was tough to swallow, George Hill is sticking around, and Robin Lopez and Wes Mathews are coming aboard. The Bucks continue to have the highest over/under win total at 55.5, and Giannis is the favorite to win MVP (+350) at FanDuel Sportsbook. Until we know what Kawhi Leonard decides, these guys certainly look like the class of the East. Continuity and familiarity are important factors, and Milwaukee kept 90 percent of its roster intact.

What’s Next? Winning a championship in order to convince Giannis Antetokounmpo to stay in Milwaukee for his entire career.

Philadelphia 76ers

Opening odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +1000
Current odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +900
Projected 2019-20 win total: 53.5
Key moves so far: Tobias Harris (5-year, $180M), Al Horford (4-year, $109M), Mike Scott (2-year, $9.8M), James Ennis (2-year, $4.1M), Kyle O’Quinn (1-year, $2M)
Key Draft Picks: Matisse Thybulle, Washington (No. 20); Marial Shayok, Iowa State (No. 54)

Sheridan’s Grade: A-

They traded Jimmy Butler, kept Tobias Harris, lost J.J. Redick and acquired Al Horford and Josh Richardson, so there was quite a bit of a roster overhaul here as Elton Brand remade his team once again (he has done that four times since taking over for Bryan Colangelo. Most of the criticicm is coming for giving Horford a four-year deal, but Joel Embiid will inevitably break down, and Horford can play the 4 or the 5. With Ben Simmons getting a max extension, this is a team that has the potential to break luxury tax records … and win the East if the new additions can gel with the remainder of the old guard.

Summer League will give Sixers fans an opportunity to get a better feel for Marial Shayok of Iowa State, who came with pick No. 54. The over/under win total on this team is 53.5.

What’s Next? A well-deserved vacation for Brand following the conclusion of summer league, and then a hard push for a title next season.

Golden State Warriors

Opening odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +175
Current odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +1200
Projected 2019-20 win total: 47.5
Key moves so far: Klay Thompson (5-year, $190M), D’Angelo Russell (4-year, $117M), Kevon Looney (3-year, $15M), Willie Cauley-Stein (TBA)
Key Draft Picks: Jordan Poole, Michigan (No. 28); Eric Paschall, Villanova (No. 41)

Weitzer’s Grade: B+

The Warriors lost Kevin Durant, but in doing so, actually opened the door to field a competitive team this season. Retaining Klay Thompson is huge and Willie Cauley-Stein is a sneaky, fantastic pick-up to pair with the Splash Brothers. They also retained solid backup big man Kevon Looney. The Warriors quite clearly upgraded at the backup PG position by letting Quinn Cook walk and acquiring Shabazz Napier.

What’s next: Bob Myers and the Warriors are far from done, as they’re still looking to flip D’Angelo Russell after acquiring him in a sign-and-trade with Brooklyn. They will need to add a solid two-way wing to replace the invaluable Andre Iguodala.

Houston Rockets

Opening odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +1000
Current odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +1400
Projected 2019-20 win total: 51.5
Key moves so far: Austin Rivers (2-year, TBA), Gerald Green (TBA)

Weitzer’s Grade: D

The Rockets were close to getting past the Warriors and winning and title last year, so apparently they feel like their current roster is good enough to get over the hump with Durant gone. That makes little sense considering they couldn’t beat the Steph Curry-led Warriors and the rest of the West has upgraded around them. Houston apparently missed out on a trade for Jimmy Butler and will stand pat for now with its current roster.

What’s next: Daryl Morey is still looking to upgrade around James Harden and could score a huge addition on the wing if he can pry Andre Iguodala away from Memphis by trading assets. Houston is also reportedly in the hunt for center JaVale McGee, possibly to serve as a backup, or as insurance if Morey is able to flip Clint Capela for a third star.

Toronto Raptors

Opening odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +2000
Odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +2200
Projected 2019-20 win total: 45.5
Key moves so far: Matt Thomas (3-year, $4.2M), Terrence Davis, (2-year deal for undrafted rookie from Ole Miss)
Key Draft Picks: Dewan Hernandez, Miami (No. 59)

Sheridan’s Grade: B

Analysis: They knew what they were getting into when they rolled the dice on Kawhi Leonard, and it paid off with a championship … even though they subsequently lost Leonard (and Danny Green) in free agency. The rebuild got off to a late start because Leonard took so much time to make his decision, but Patrick McCaw re-signed, Rondae Hollis-Jefferson and Stanley Johnson came aboard. They will have to fill out their roster with guys such as Davis (who they signed immediately after he had a tremendous summer league game for Denver), and Kyle Lowry, Marc Gasol, Serge Ibaka and Fred VanVleet are all entering the final years of their contracts. Same to say they will not win another championship, but their Kawhi gamble gave Canada something it had never experienced before.

Denver Nuggets

Opening odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +2500
Current odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +1800
Projected 2019-20 win total: 51.5
Key moves so far: Jamal Murray (5-year, $170M), Paul Millsap (Team option, $30.4M), Trey Lyles ($4.5M Qualifying offer)
Key Draft Picks: Bol Bol, Oregon (No. 44 via Heat)

Weitzer’s Grade: C-

Like Houston, Denver was close to a trip to the Western Conference Finals and will therefore stand pat in free agency. However, signing Jamal Murray to a max contract and exercising the team option on Paul Millsap could prevent this franchise from taking the next step. Millsap’s contract will prevent Denver from pursuing a more dynamic scorer on the wing and that puts too much on the shoulders of Nikola Jokic, who broke down after playing ridiculous minutes in the WCF semifinals.

What’s next: The Nuggets are close to the luxury tax threshold and ownership seems unlikely to foot the bill to field a true contender. That probably rules out signing or trading for any big names. Denver was reportedly interested in veteran wing Garrett Temple and will look to add depth while bringing rookie Bol Bol and red-shirt sophomore Michael Porter Jr. into the fold.

View current 2019-20 NBA futures odds right here.

Utah Jazz

Opening odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +4000
Current odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +1800
Projected 2019-20 win total: 53.5
Key moves so far: Mike Conley (trade), Bojan Bogdanovic (4-year, $73M), Ed Davis (2-year, $10M), Jeff Green ($2.5M), Emmanuel Mudiay (TBA)

Weitzer’s Grade: A+

Utah should be applauded as a mid-market team that is willing to take risks to build a championship roster. The biggest move thus far was acquiring a championship-caliber PG in Mike Conley to pair next to rising superstar Donovan Mitchell. Adding sharpshooter Bojan Bogdanovic is a perfect fit for this team. Jeff Green is a great addition on the wing on a team-friendly deal. Utah had to part ways with Derrick Favors to make the money work, but can replace his hard-nosed production at a discount with solid PF Ed Davis.

What’s next: The Jazz may not be done acquiring pieces for a potential title run. Now one of the preseason favorites to emerge from the wide-open West, Utah is garnering interest from plenty of veterans (perhaps Kyle Korver) that are chasing their last shot at a ring. Utah is getting great value as a potential WCF champion.

Boston Celtics

Opening odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +700
Odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +2200
Projected 2019-20 win total: 48.5
Key moves so far: Kemba Walker (4-year, $141M), Daniel Theis (2-year, $10M), Enes Kanter (2-year, $9.7M), Vincent Poirier (2-year, $2.3M)
Key Draft Picks: Romeo Langford, Indiana (No. 14); Grant Williams, Tennessee (No. 22); Carsen Edwards, Purdue (No. 33 via 76ers); Tremont Waters, LSU (No. 52)

Sheridan’s Grade: B

Nobody talks much about the Boston Celtics anymore, except when it comes to the players they have lost .. or failed to acquire. But Kemba Walker is a very good point guard, and he will not bring the drama that Kyrie did. Enes Kanter signed here after the Portland Trail Blazers gave him just five minutes to make up his mind, and although he can not take the ball outside the way Horford could, he will do the dirty work down low. Losing Aron Baynes, who signed with Phoenix, is an underrated loss. Still, a lineup built around Jayson Tatum, Walker and Jaylen Brown is not all that bad, but it would seem that a championship possibility window has closed.

Here is the thing about Ainge: He is sneaky smart. Lest we not forget that he dealt the No. 1 pick to the Sixers two years ago, and let’s just say that Tatum has turned out to be a heck of a lot better than Markelle Fultz. At the NBA Draft, Ainge took guards Romeo Langford (one of the top recruits ever to come out of the state of Indiana), along with Purdue point guard Carsen Edwards and LSU point guard Tremont Waters. And at No. 22, the Celtics selected two-time SEC Player of the Year Grant Williams, who led Tennessee to the Sweet 16 this past season.

What’s Next? Safe to say a more harmonious team chemistry dynamic will exist next season, but much more talent was lost than gained here.

Brooklyn Nets

Opening odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +3000
Current odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +2200

Projected 2019-20 win total: 48.5
Key moves so far: Kevin Durant (4-year, $164M), Kyrie Irving (4-year, $140.7M), DeAndre Jordan (4-year, $40M), Garrett Temple (2-year, $10M), Wilson Chandler (1-year, $2.6M)
Key Draft Picks: Jaylen Hands, UCLA (No. 56 via LA Clippers)

Sheridan’s Grade: A+

They won the battle of New York big-time by getting Kyrie Irving, Kevin Durant and DeAndre Jordan, and peripheral additions Taurean Prince and Garrett Temple will fill out the roster nicely, making up for the losses of Jared Dudley, DeMarre Carroll and Ed Davis. So kudos to Sean Marks for completing the roster overhaul he has accomplished since taking over for Billy King … and now it is time to see whether this is a team that can get through the East and compete with whoever comes out of the West.  The may be just one roster addition away.

What’s Next? A glorious season awaits, and it will be all the more sweet with their crosstown rivals being irrelevant once again.

Portland Trail Blazers

Opening odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +4000
Current odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +3300
Projected 2019-20 win total: 45.5
Key moves so far: Damian Lillard (4-year, $196M) Hassan Whiteside (trade), Rodney Hood (2-year, $16M), Kent Bazemore (trade), Anthony Tolliver ($2.6M), Mario Hezonja (Min.)
Key Draft Picks: Nassir Little, UNC (No. 25)

Weitzer’s Grade: A-

After getting swept by the Warriors in the WCF, the Blazers front office was wise to overhaul the roster. Gone are offensive liabilities Al-Farouq Aminu and Mo Harkless. Gone are defensive liabilities Enes Kanter and Meyers Leonard, replaced by potentially game-changing center Hassan Whiteside. Flipping Evan Turner for Kent Bazemore will add valuable athleticism alongside Portland’s star guards and retaining Rodney Hood and signing Anthony Tolliver will help space the floor. Losing Seth Curry to free agency is a negative, but it was necessary considering Portland’s cap situation.

What’s next: Neil Olshey and the Blazers did very well to re-tool this roster and retain Dame Lillard without losing any truly vital members of their corps. Now Portland can simply wait for the eventual return of Jusuf Nurkic (leg) and hope for better results in the playoffs with a more dynamic roster. At these odds, Portland is worth a speculative bet on winning the Western Conference.

Indiana Pacers

Opening odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +8000
Current dds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +5000
Projected 2019-20 win total: 46.5
Key moves so far: Malcolm Brogdon (4-year, $85M), Jeremy Lamb (3-year, $31M), T.J. McConnell (2-year, $7M), T.J. Warren (trade)
Key Draft Picks: Goga Bitadze, Georgia (No. 18)

Sheridan’s Grade: A-

Acquiring T.J. Warren in a salary cap dump by the Suns gave them insurance in case Bojan Bogdanovic was to leave in free agency, that is exactly what happened. Darren Collison surprisingly retired, but Malcolm Brogdon was a more-than-adequate replacement, and T.J. McConnell is a nice addition after being a defensive pest for Philadelphia for so many years. For a team whose roster was surprisingly stable over the past couple of seasons, Kevin Pritchard has made major changes by comparison. From the draft, Goga Bitadze (selected No. 18 overall) is being described as the NBA’s newest stretch 5 (Nikola Jokic likely objects). Indiana’s over/under win total opened at 47.5, which makes you scratch your head because Victor Oladipo (torn quad) is expected to be out until December or January. It has since moved to 46.5.

What’s Next? Chemistry takes time to develop, and this roster will go through some growing pains before Oladipo eventually returns.

Dallas Mavericks

Opening odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +5000
Odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +6000
Projected 2019-20 win total: 40.5
Key moves so far: Kristaps Porzingis (5-year, $158M), Seth Curry (4-year, $32), Maxi Kleber (4-year, $35M), Dorian Finney-Smith (3-year, $12M), Boban Marjanovic (2-year, $7M) Kelly Olynyk (trade), Derrick Jones Jr. (trade), J.J. Barea (Veteran Min.)
Key Draft Picks: Deividas Sirvydis, Lithuania (No. 37); Isaiah Roby (No. 45 via Pistons)

Weitzer’s Grade: C-

While Dallas created optimism for the future by officially inking Kristaps Porzingis to a max deal, the Mavs did very little to form a contender around Porzingis and Luka Doncic. Retaining stretch four Maxi Kleber for $35M over four years is a head scratcher. Then Mavs got yet another stretch four in Kelly Olynyk from the four-way Jimmy Butler deal. Seth Curry has potential, but is a risky acquisition, while Dorian Finney-Smith is your quintessential “glue guy” who does nothing to move the needle.

What’s next: The Mavericks didn’t attract much interest from big names such as Kemba Walker and Al Horford. They’re now the most likely suitor for DeMarcus Cousins, who is going to be available at a discounted rate. Dallas could also add a valuable veteran presence in Danny Green to help some of the younger guards on the roster learn the ropes.

New Orleans Pelicans

Odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +30000
Odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +6000
Projected 2019-20 win total: 39.5
Key moves so far:
J.J. Redick (2-year, $26.5M), Derrick Favors (trade), Darius Miller (2-year, $14.25M), Jerami Grant (trade)
Key Draft Picks:
Zion Williamson, Duke (No. 1); Jaxson Hayes, Texas (No. 8 via Hawks); Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Virginia Tech (No. 17 via Nets); Marcus Louzada (No. 35 via Hawks)

Weitzer’s Grade: A-

Evaluating the Pelicans offseason must begin with the draft, which was a huge success for the franchise. Lucky enough to land Zion Williamson with the No. 1 pick and savvy enough to flip the No. 4 pick for a talented trio (Jaxson Hayes, Nickeil Walker-Alexander, Marcos Silva) that will eventually add to their depth. Then new GM David Griffin integrated valuable veterans J.J. Redick and Derrick Favors before retaining valuable “glue guy” Darius Miller.

What’s next: The Pelicans are bound to be an exciting team that pushes the pace under HC Alvin Gentry. They have a wealth of young talent and a mixture of solid veterans. With around $20M in cap space still available under the luxury tax, Griffin could sign one more veteran to help lead this youthful group. In any case, bringing in Redick and Favors makes it far more likely that the Pelicans exceed their projected win total and perhaps even make the playoffs.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Opening odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +2500
Odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +6000
Projected 2019-20 win total: Off the board
Key moves so far: Danilo Gallinari (trade), Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (trade), Nerlens Noel (TBA), Mike Muscala (TBA), Alec Burks (TBA)
Key Draft Picks: Darius Blazely (No. 23 via Jazz)

Weitzer’s Grade: B+

There’s not much the Thunder could do to upgrade its roster with Russell Westbrook and Paul George taking up so much space under the cap. Of course, adding PG Dennis Schroder last year didn’t help considering he’s making $15.5M this year to create $31M in dead cap space. So, Sam Presti did the only thing he could for the future of the franchise by flipping George for two useful players and a horde of assets. He then traded Jerami Grant to Denver for more future assets.

What’s next: Now OKC could continue to shop Schroder in the hopes that some team will take on his cumbersome contract, or start the combo guard next to Westbrook with George gone. Danilo Gallinari slots into the starting SF spot and the Thunder will take a step backwards in terms of being a postseason contender. But now the future is bright with five first round picks and two pick swaps headed the Thunder’s way in the George deal.

San Antonio Spurs

Opening odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +6000
Current odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +7000
Projected 2019-20 win total: 46.5
Key moves so far: DeMarre Carroll (2-year, $13M), Rudy Gay (2-year, $32M)
Key Draft Picks: Luka Samanic, Croatia (No. 19); Keldon Johnson, Kentucky (No. 29)

Weitzer’s Grade: C+

What can you expect from a Spurs franchise that values player development over acquiring established free agent names? With LaMarcus Aldridge and DeMar DeRozan in place, the Spurs were passive during free agency. They’ll be bolstered by the healthy return of PG Dejounte Murray (ACL), retained solid wing Rudy Gay, and added a typical Spurs piece in 3-and-D stud DeMarre Carroll.

What’s next: Likely nothing. The Spurs will develop their draft picks and likely look to incorporate first-rounder Luka Samanic early in the season.

Miami Heat

Opening odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +30000
Current odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +10000
Projected 2019-20 win total: 42.5
Key moves so far: Jimmy Butler (4-year, $141M)
Key Draft Picks: Tyler Herro, Kentucky (No. 13); KZ Okpala, Stanford (No. 32)

Sheridan’s Grade: Incomplete

Trading Hassan Whiteside to Portland solved a problem that Pat Riley had been trying to fix for years, and Bam Adebayo can now move into the starting lineup. Jimmy Butler is their prized acquisition, but he will have to learn to fit into Eric Spoelstra’s system as he plays for his third team in less than a year. The salary cap is still weighed down by contracts signed years ago, and we are still awaiting a Goran Dragic trade after he was pulled out of a proposed three-team deal. So the roster remains a work in progress, but they got a very, very good player in Butler. From the draft, Tyler Herro was a favorite of John Calipari’s at Kentucky, and the Heat thought enough of Stanford’s KZ Okpala to sacrifice three future second-round picks. Their over/under win total has been set at 36.5 by DraftKings and 37.5 by FanDuel. Clearly, both books recognize that coach Eric Spoelstra can do a lot with a little. He is probably the NBA’s most underrated coach.

What’s Next? Can they get Russell Westbrook? That is why their grade reads “incomplete.”

Orlando Magic

Opening odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +10000
Current odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +10000
Projected 2019-20 win total: 40.5
Key moves so far: Nikola Vucevic (4-year, $100M), Terrence Ross (4-year, $54M), Al-Fariq Aminu (3-year, $29M), Michael Carter-Williams (1-year, $2M)
Key Draft Picks: Chuma Okeke, Auburn (No. 16)

Sheridan’s Grade: B

They drafted Chuma Okeke of Auburn, who will likely miss the entire 2019-20 season with a torn ACL. So this probably means that Aaron Gordon will again put up fantastic numbers for a mediocre team. They were able to hang onto Nikola Vucevic and Terrence Ross, and signing free agent Al-Farouq Aminu was a sneaky smart move by general manager John Hammond. The win total over/under is 40.5, which we wouldn’t touch with a 10-foot pole … nor would Kowalski (a 10-foot Pole, as the old joke goes). At least Markelle Fultz will keep things somewhat interesting, eh?

What’s next: They are good enough to compete for spots 6-8 in the East next season … maybe even better if Fultz ever rediscovers the confidence and talent level that made him the No. 1 overall pick in the draft two years ago.

DFS Provider
Click To Claim
Total Bonus Offer
$20 Free Play On First Deposit
Plus 20% deposit match up to $500
#1 in Daily Fantasy Sports
To Claim: Click Play Now
$5 Free
No Deposit Required
$5 Free
$5 More On Deposit
Watch Sports, Play Fantasy, Win Cash!
To Claim: Click Play Now

Sacramento Kings

Opening odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +10000
Current odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +15000
Projected 2019-20 win total: 37.5
Key moves so far: Harrison Barnes (4-year, $85M), Dewayne Dedmon (3-year, $40M), Richaun Holmes (2-year, $10M) Cory Joseph (3-year, $37M), Trevor Ariza (2-year, $25M)
Key Draft Picks: Justin James, Wyoming (No. 40); Kyle Guy, Virginia (No. 55 via Knicks)

Weitzer’s Grade: B

The Kings made it clear that re-signing Harrison Barnes was their top priority this offseason and they accomplished that goal. In doing so, they let Willie Cauley-Stein walk, but replaced him with two solid big men in Dewayne Dedmon and Richaun Holmes. Adding veterans Cory Joseph and Trevor Ariza gives this team some toughness and should help foster the development of a young backcourt.

What’s next: The Kings are likely done with acquisitions since GM Vlade Divac is certainly not trying to reach the luxury tax or compromise future roster flexibility. Sacramento will have to part ways with either Yogi Ferrell or Frank Mason Jr. now that Joseph is backing up De’Aaron Fox. The Kings should also make a decision on retaining veteran wing Corey Brewer and backup center Kosta Koufos.

Detroit Pistons

Opening odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +30000
Odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +15000
Projected 2019-20 win total: 37.5
Key moves so far: Derrick Rose (2-year, $16M), Marfieff Morris (2-year, $7.4M), Tim Frazier (1-year, $1.9M)
Key Draft Picks: Sekou Doumbouya, France (No. 15); Deividas Sirvydis, Lithuania (No. 45 via Mavericks); Jordan Bone, Tennessee (No. 57 via 76ers)

Sheridan’s Grade: B

Draft pick Sekou Doumbouya comes out of France as a highly-touted power forward prospect, but the Pistons have a guy there named Blake Griffin … so do not expect immediate dividends on this particular player. Ed Stefanski did John Horst a favor by taking Tony Snell off the Bucks’ hands, giving Milwaukee the cap flexibility to not only retain Khris Middleton, Nikola Mirotic and Brook Lopez, but also to add another player in free agency … which is what happened with Robin Lopez. As for the team in “The D” that made the playoffs on the final night of the regular season, the win total for 2019/20 opened 35.5 by FanDuel Sportsbook and 36.5 by DraftKings Sportsbook, which was a little low. It settled at 37.5 after free agency opened. They were a .500 team last season, and they are not losing any significant free agents, and they added Derrick Rose … who still has something left in the tank.

What’s next: Look, they were pretty damn good in March. Would they move Griffin and a bunch of future first-rounders to get Bradley Beal from the Wizards? That may be their best hope of becoming a top 4 team in the East.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Opening odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +30000
Current odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +15000
Projected 2019-20 win total: 34.5
Key moves so far: Jordan Bell ($1.6M), Jake Layman (3-year, $11.5M), Noah Vonleh (TBA), Tyus Jones ($3.5M qualifying offer)
Key Draft Picks: Jarrett Culver, Texas Tech (No. 6 via Suns)

Weitzer’s Grade: C-

The jury is still out on the Wolves offseason, but initially it appears as though Minnesota struck out. Karl-Anthony Towns publicly lobbied to get his friend D’Angelo Russell onto the roster and instead the front office helped facilitate a sign-and-trade to get Russell to the Warriors. Thus far, all the Wolves have done is replace Dario Saric with a trio of unproven PFs and likely pissed off their young superstar center by failing to sign any scoring help in the backcourt.

What’s next: The Wolves could still make a move for Russell considering the Warriors are unlikely to keep another scoring guard. They’d have to move Jeff Teague and/or Gorgui Dieng to make the money work, but have plenty of space under the cap. Minnesota needs backcourt depth and will see if Tyus Jones accepts a $3.5M qualifying offer or tests free agency. With a $9.2M mid-level exception, the Wolves are likely to make at least one more move, perhaps tapping the Grizzlies trade market for combo guard Delon Wright.

New York Knicks

Opening odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +5500
Current odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +15000
Projected 2019-20 win total: 28.5
2019 Free Agents: Julius Randle (3-year, $63M), Bobby Portis (2-year, $31M), Reggie Bullock (2-year, $21M), Taj Gibson (2-year, $20M), Elfrid Payton (2-year, $16M), Wayne Ellington (2-year, $16M)
Key Draft Picks: RJ Barrett, Duke (No. 3), Kyle Guy, Virginia (No. 55)

Sheridan’s Grade: C

RJ Barrett was the most popular guy in the Barclays Center on draft night as Knicks fans vastly outnumbered Nets fans, and he is on the board at +550 at FanDuel (the third choice behind Zion Williamson and Ja Morant) to win Rookie of the Year. Although the projected win total on the 2019-20 Knicks opened at 29.5, they have since been lowered to 28.5. Apparently, the books are not all the enamored of a roster that includes three power forward castoffs Taj Gibson, Bobby Portis and Julius Randle. Dennis Smith Jr. will apparently have to right for the starting point guard job with Frank Ntilikina, and the Knicks structured their offseason signings to allow them to have cap flexibility one year from now. Until then, expect the World’s Most Famous Arena to be filled with tourists for another season. Oh, and the “Sell the Team” chants are not going away.

What’s Next? All of that cap space is gone, but signing so many free agents to one-year deals with team options will give them cap flexibility a year from now when they will be in the lottery again.

Atlanta Hawks

Opening odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +10000
Closing odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +15000
Projected 2019-20 win total: 32.5
Key moves so far: Chandler Parsons (trade), Allen Crabbe (trade), Evan Turner (trade)
Key Draft Picks: De’Andre Hunter, Virginia (No. 4 via Pelicans); Cam Reddish, Duke (No. 10); Bruno Fernando, Maryland (No. 34 via 76ers)

Sheridan’s Grade: B

Looks like someone believes in Chandler Parsons, who came over in a trade with Memphis. Other seasoned additions include Allen Crabbe and Evan Turner, and folks on ESPN are touting them as a playoff team with some experience being put around Trae Young, who was unstoppable over the last month of the regular season as the Hawks played out the string.

In the draft, De’Andre Hunter was the star of the NCAA championship game, and the Hawks swung a deal with the busiest man in the NBA, New Orleans GM David Griffin, to get him. Throw in Cam Reddish from Duke and Bruno Fernando of Maryland, and one of the most insignificant teams in the NBA made major moves in their rebuild. The Hawks do not get a ton of attention around the NBA, but they are building a team for the future.

Atlanta’s over/under win total opened at 32.5 at both FanDuel SportsBook and DraftKings Sportsbook, and if the kids are alright, we may just see a playoff team in the refurbished arena (yes, they tear down and rebuild stadiums and arenas with great alacrity in Atlanta) in the upcoming season.

What’s next: An All-Star season for Trae Young.

Chicago Bulls

Opening odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +10000
Closing odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +20000
Projected 2019-20 win total: 30.5
Key moves so far: Thaddeus Young (3-year, $41M), Tomas Satoransky (3-year, $30M), Ryan Acidiacano (3-year, $9M)
Key Draft Picks: Coby White, North Carolina (No. 6); Daniel Gafford, Arkansas (No. 38)

Sheridan’s Grade: B-

Well, safe to say Kris Dunn is a bust. Team Paxson/Forman used the No. 7 pick in the draft on All-Hair team perennial Coby White of North Carolina, and they still have one of the most underrated players in the NBA in Lauri Markkanen. Cristiano Felicio continues to clog their cap, but Otto Porter and Zach LaVine are proven commodities, and at a certain point things have to get better, right? (Knicks fans are shaking their heads saying “No.”) Picking up Tomas Satoransky from Washington will help, as will Thaddeus Young.

Chicago’s opening over/under win total was 28.5, which is 6.5 wins better than what they accomplished last season.

What’s next: Trying to find a taker for Dunn (and Feliciano) in the trade market.

Charlotte Hornets

Opening odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +30000
Closing odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +50000
Projected 2019-20 win total: 23.5
Key moves so far: Terry Rozier (3-year, $58M)
Key Draft Picks: PJ Washington, Kentucky (No. 12); Cody Martin, Nevada (No. 36); Jalen McDaniels, San Diego St. (No. 52)

Sheridan’s Grade: B

Terry Rozier gets to run the show now that Walker has fled, but there was not a whole lot of other activity out of Michael Jordan’s franchise in free agency. At the draft, there was a North Carolina player on the board when Jordan’s team had its turn to pick at No. 12 in the draft, but MJ went with a Kentucky kid, P.J. Washington, who led the Wildcats in scoring. The UNC kid, Nassir Little, ended up falling all the way to the Portland Trail Blazers at No. 25. No team signifies insignificance more than the Hornets, but they landed a pair of intriguing prospects in Nevada’s Cody Martin and San Diego State’s Jalen McDaniels.

Charlotte’s over/under win total for next season opened at 34.5. It dropped all the way down to 23.5.

What’s next: Continued irrelevance.

Washington Wizards

Opening odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +30000
Closing odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +50000
Projected 2019-20 win total: 28.5
Key moves so far: Thomas Bryant (3-year, $25M), Ish Smith (2-year, $12M), Isaiah Thomas (1-year, $2.3M)
Key Draft Picks: Rui Hachimura, Gonzaga (No. 9); Admiral Schofield, Tennessee (No. 42 via 76ers)

Sheridan’s Grade: B-

John Wall remains a cap-clogging nightmare (he is owed $171 million over the next four years, and he has a 15 percent trade kicker), and whoever eventually takes over this team is going to gave to do with Bradley Beal what David Griffin did with Anthony Davis — turn him into a huge pile of assets that will facilitate a rebuild. Of course, they can always trade Wall to the Knicks (that’s a joke. I think).

Rui Hachimura of Gonzaga was a great pick, and Admiral Schofield comes out of a strong Tennessee program and could be a nice sleeper pick. But Trevor Ariza signed with Sacramento and Tomas Satoransky was traded to Chicago. Free agency pickups included Isaiah Thomas and Jonathan Simmons. The Wizards’ over/under win total of 28.5 seems about right … only because there are going to be games against the likes of the Bulls, Magic, Hawks and Cavs that somebody has to win.

What’s Next?: At a certain point, a trade of Beal seems inevitable … especially because nobody is touching Wall. Stay tuned.

Memphis Grizzlies

Opening odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +25000
Current odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +50000
Projected 2019-20 win total: 27.5
Key moves so far: Jonas Valanciunas (3-year, $45M), Andre Iguodala (trade), Josh Jackson (trade), De’Anthony Melton (trade), Solomon Hill (trade), Mason Plumlee (trade)
Key Draft Picks: Ja Morant, Murray State (No. 2); Brandon Clarke, Gonzaga (No. 21 via Thunder)

Weitzer’s Grade: B+

The Grizzlies are stockpiling assets and expiring contracts. That is the smartest approach for a team that is clearly in rebuild mode with Ja Morant slated to grow into his role as the franchise cornerstone. Memphis is hoping that former Suns Josh Jackson and De’Anthony Melton could fit alongside Morant and that center Jonas Valanciunas will pair well with the dynamic PG.

What’s next: Memphis likely has no intention of keeping Andre Iguodala and should flip him for more assets. Delon Wright is also a coveted two-way player that the Grizzlies could trade for future prospects. The Grizz will have an exciting young corps this season but are unlikely to win many games.

Phoenix Suns

Opening odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +30000
Current odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +50000
Projected 2019-20 win total: 28.5
Key moves so far: Ricky Rubio (3-year, $51M), Frank Kaminsky (2-year, $10M), Aron Baynes (trade)
Key Draft Picks: Cam Johnson, UNC (No. 11 via Wolves); Ty Jerome (No. 24 via Celtics)

Weitzer’s Grade: B-

The Suns did well to acquire a true PG to pair alongside Devin Booker. They also added a pair of big men to backup Deandre Ayton in Aron Baynes and Frank Kaminsky, but are very far from contending in the balanced Western Conference. The wing position is in flux for Phoenix with former No. 4 overall pick Josh Jackson shipped to Memphis and T.J. Warren shipped to Indiana on draft night. Mikal Bridges should see more run as a result, but the Suns are not going to be very competitive.

What’s next: The Suns offseason success or failure will hinge on how they handle Kelly Oubre Jr. The talented lefty swingman has a $4.9M qualifying offer on the table but is clearly worth more on the market. Phoenix will be able to match any offer extended to Oubre (potentially by the Clippers, Mavs, or Hawks) and absolutely need to retain the SF after losing those other forwards.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Opening odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +30000
Current odds to win 2019-20 NBA title: +50000
Projected 2019-20 win total: 24.5
Key moves so far: None
Key Draft Picks: Darius Garland, Vanderbilt (No. 5); Dylan Windler, Belmont (No. 26); Kevin Porter Jr., USC (No. 30 via Detroit)

Sheridan’s Grade: D

Kevin Love will be making nearly $29 million next season, and Tristan Thompson is on the books for $18.5. They have a fine young point guard in Collin Sexton … and now they have another in Darius Garland of Vanderbilt. Dylan Windler of Belmont is hereby pronounced your sleeper pick for Rookie of the Year, and Koby Altman thought so highly of Southern Cal’s Kevin Porter that he dealt away four second-round picks to get him. The Cavs’ over/under is 23.5, and they should remain an afterthought at best for years to come. They did nothing in free agency because of their clogged cap.

What’s next? A lot more talk about Odell Beckham than anything related to the Cavs.