Monday Night Football Betting Odds: Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders

Each week, TheLines will provide a daily betting breakdown and analysis for the upcoming Monday Night Football game. We’ll look at the odds and see why they’re moving a certain way, along with breaking down the matchup and providing the week’s best prop bets.

Two teams just playing out the season will meet on Christmas Eve night when the Broncos (6-8) travel to Oakland to take on the Raiders (3-11). Denver’s playoff hopes came to an end after losing at home to the Browns last week. Meanwhile, the Raiders are playing for 2019 after a disappointing first season under head coach Jon Gruden.

MNF Betting Odds and analysis

SpreadDEN-3 (-103)
OAK +3 (-118)
DEN-3 (+100)
OAK +3 (-120)
DEN -2.5 (-120)
OAK +2.5 (+100)
DEN-3 (-104)
OAK +3 (-118)
DEN-3 (-103)
OAK +3 (-118)
TotalOv 43.5 (-110)
Un 43.5 (-110)
Ov 43 (-110)
Un 43 (-110)
Ov 43 (-110)
Un 43 (-110)
Ov 43.5 (-110)
Un 43.5 (-110)
Ov 43.5 (-110)
Un 43.5 (-110)
MoneylineDEN -150
OAK +123
DEN -150
OAK +128
DEN -138
OAK +120
DEN -150
OAK +123
DEN -150
OAK +123

Tuesday Update: This line really hasn’t moved much in the past week. The Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas released the Broncos -2.5 in its Week 16 look-ahead lines and that was still the consensus number throughout Nevada and New Jersey as of Tuesday. The total opened at 45 and is down to 44.5 or 44, depending on the sports book.

Thursday Update: The line remains Denver -2.5 in the game but the total saw some movement on Thursday. The total dropped from 44.5 and depending on the sportsbook, it’s either 43, 43.5 or 44. In Las Vegas, the consensus number is 43.5. In New Jersey, FanDuel dropped the total down to 43, while the other books were at 44 on Thursday.

Friday Update: The line moved from Broncos -2.5 to the important betting number of -3 on Friday. Three was the consensus number of all the major sportsbooks in New Jersey and Las Vegas. The total ranged from 43 to 44, depending on the book. Most places were at 43.5 Friday.

Sunday Update: This line has been -3 at most sportsbooks for much of the week and that remained the case on Sunday. The only major book in Las Vegas or New Jersey that didn’t have the number at -3 was FanDuel. They had the Broncos -2.5. FanDuel also has the total 43, while many other shops were at 43.5.

Week 16 game matchup

The Raiders come in with only three wins, so as you might expect, they aren’t good in many areas. Oakland ranks 26th in total defense, last in scoring defense, 23rd in total offense and 29th in scoring offense. The Raiders are 26th in rushing offense and dead last stopping the run. Other than that, everything is going well in Jon Gruden’s first season with the Raiders.

The Broncos should be able to exploit an Oakland rush defense allowing 146.4 yards per game and 4.8 yards per rush. Undrafted rookie Phillip Lindsay has been quite a find for Denver with 991 rushing yards and 10 total touchdowns. Lindsay is averaging 5.4 yards per carry to help lead the Broncos’ 11th ranked rushing attack.

While the Raiders are having trouble stopping opponents on the ground, the once feared Broncos pass defense has been in a giving mood this season. Denver ranks a surprising 26th in the NFL against the pass, allowing 258 yards per game. That could be a factor Monday because throwing the ball is really the only thing the Raiders do semi-well. Oakland is 14th in passing offense at 245 yards per game.

These two teams met back in Week 2 with the Broncos winning 20-19 at home on a last-second field goal by Brandon McManus. Oakland quarterback Derek Carr threw for 288 yards in that game, although 116 of them went to the now-departed Amari Cooper.

Week 16 MNF betting breakdown

These aren’t the two most profitable teams in the NFL. The Raiders are just 5-9 ATS, despite being an underdog in 12 of 14 games. The Broncos are a slightly better 6-7-1. After going on a 6-1 ATS run, Denver has now dropped two straight SU and against the number.

The Broncos haven’t been as strong at home as in years’ past. Denver is just 3-4 SU and 3-3-1 ATS at Mile High Stadium. The Broncos have been a short road favorite three times this year, going 2-1 SU and ATS in that spot.

The Raiders have covered two of their last three games, although they’ve been double-digit underdogs both times. Oakland has played well though in its last two home games, defeating the Steelers 24-21 as a 10.5-point underdog and losing to the Chiefs 40-33 as a 14-point dog.

If you like to bet the UNDER, the Broncos are your team. Denver is 3-10-1 to the UNDER this season. The UNDER has cashed in six straight Broncos games and that trend could continue Monday night. The last four meetings between the two teams has gone UNDER the total.

2018 MNF Betting Recap

1NY Jets at DetroitDET -744NYJ +288
DET -320
NY Jets 48, Detroit 17
1LA Rams at OaklandLAR -6.547.5LAR -255
OAK +227
LA Rams 33, Oakland 13
2Seattle at ChicagoCHI -542.5SEA +209
CHI -234
Chicago 24, Seattle 17
3Pittsburgh at Tampa BayPIT -155PIT +100
TB -110
Pittsburgh 30, Tampa Bay 27
4KC Chiefs at DenverKC -3.554KC -180
DEN +168
KC Chiefs 27, Denver 23
5NO Saints at WashingtonNO -651.5NO -255
WAS +235
NO Saints 43, Washington 19
6SF 49ers at Green BayGB -946.5SF +375
GB -420
Green Bay 33, SF 49ers 30
7NY Giants at AtlantaATL -452.5NYG -185
ATL -200
Atlanta 23, NY Giants 20
8NE Patriots at BuffaloNE -1444NE -950
BUF +750
NE Patriots 25, Buffalo 6
9Tennessee at DallasDAL -4.540TEN +190
DAL -230
Tennessee 28, Dallas 14
10NY Giants at SF 49ersSF -345NYG +150
SF -175
NY Giants 27, SF 49ers 23
11KC Chiefs at LA RamsLAR -363KC +144
LAR -166
LA Rams 54, KC Chiefs 51
12Tennessee at HoustonHOU -442.5TEN +170
HOU -210
Houston 34, Tennessee 17
13Washington at PhiladelphiaPHI -644WAS +205
PHI -250
Philadelphia 28, Washington 13
14Minnesota at SeattleSEA -346MIN +145
SEA -168
Seattle 21, Minnesota 7
15New Orleans at CarolinaNO -650.5NO -250
CAR +200
New Orleans 12, Carolina 9

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