MLB HR Betting Odds: Who Will Hit The Most Home Runs?

Home Run Futures 2024
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Another MLB regular season is here, and sportsbooks have posted odds for which player will hit the most home runs this season. Sportsbooks will update the HR leader odds board throughout the season. Current home run leader odds have the Yankees’ Aaron Judge as the favorite at +375. Matt Olson (+650), Pete Alonso (+750), and Kyle Schwarber (+750) are also in the mix.

HR leader odds

Here are odds to lead baseball in home runs for 2024.

*Home run markets might not be available while games are in action

Home run leader odds

The top MLB sluggers are stepping up to the plate. Here are some of the current favorites to lead baseball in home runs with their opening day odds.

Current MLB home run favorites

Aaron Judge, Yankees (+375): Judge, who has hit at least 37 home runs during each of the last three seasons, is the early favorite. This includes an American League record 62 during the 2022 season.

Matt Olson, Braves (+650): Atlanta is once again expected to have one of the top offenses in baseball, especially with Olson in the lineup. He hit an MLB-best 54 homers last season, one marked the first time Olson’s HR total exceeded 40 in a single season.

Pete Alonso, Mets (+750): Sportsbooks once again have Alonso among the early favorites as the first baseman looks to make it three straight seasons of at least 40 home runs.

Kyle Schwarber, Phillies (+750): Yes, Schwarber is the Phillies lead-off hitter, but he has set new career highs in home runs each of the last two seasons, including 47 last year.

Top Home Run Contenders

Shohei Ohtani, Dodgers (+900): The reigning AL MVP is now part of the potent Dodgers lineup. Ohtani averaged 41.3 home runs over the last three seasons with the Angels.

Juan Soto, Braves (+1000): The newest addition to the Bronx Bombers lineup has only hit 30-plus homers in a season twice in his career – the most recent being last season ( a career-high 35).

Yordan Alvarez, Astros (+1200): One of the top hitters in the Astros lineup is looking to make it four-straight seasons of 30-plus dingers.

Opening Day HR leader odds

Here is what HR leader odds looked like at BetMGM Sportsbook on March 28, opening day for the 2024 MLB regular season.

  • Aaron Judge +375
  • Matt Olson +650
  • Kyle Schwarber +750
  • Pete Alonso +750
  • Shoehi Ohtani +900
  • Juan Soto +1000
  • Yordan Alvarez +1200
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. +2000
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. +2000
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. +2200
  • Mike Trout +2500
  • Rafael Devers +2500
  • Austin Riley +3000
  • Jorge Soler +3000
  • Bryce Harper +3500
  • Willy Adames +3500
  • Adolis Garcia +4000
  • Corey Seager +5000
  • Oneil Cruz +5000
  • Julio Rodriguez +5500
  • Luis Robert Jr. +66000
  • Giancarlo Stanton +6600
  • Spencer Torkelson +6600
  • Kyle Tucker +8000
  • Mookie Betts +8000
  • Manny Machado +8000
  • Marcell Ozuna +8000
  • Royce Lewis +8000

Best Home Runs betting site(s)

Along with betting players from a pool of 50 or more candidates (deemed by the sportsbook as the most likely options to win the home run crown), bettors can also bet the home run total for individual players. A line has been set for select stars and notable names, similar to a game Over/Under total. For instance, Matt Olson’s home run total is set at 41.5 (at BetMGM Sportsbook). Odds will typically be equal on both sides of the line, and they’ll be priced with a modest amount of juice.

The odds and lines for both bet types will be adjusted throughout the season based on player performance and public betting action. If Judge were to hit 10 home runs in April, his odds would likely drop relative to his competition and his season-total line would rise. If he were to fail to hit a homer in the first month of the season, his odds would rise and his individual total would drop. Players may be added or dropped from the available options based on their performance throughout the season.

Where can I bet on MLB home runs?

Most legal and regulated sportsbooks in the US will offer futures odds on MLB’s home run leader in 2024, along with player props for their respective season total. Be sure to check out different odds and lines at DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and Caesars Sportsbook to ensure you get the most profitable odds for your betting option.

Once under the MLB/Baseball tab at your book of choice, select Futures from the dropdown menu. From there, click Player Futures, Awards or Player Props. The odds for the home run leader are likely to be offered alongside the MVP and Cy Young awards for either league.