HR Betting Odds 2020

Home Run Favorites And Totals

The 2020 MLB season is set to start July 23 or 24 after players agreed to report to training camps by July 1. Below, we’ll look at the betting odds at FanDuel Sportsbook and DraftKings Sportsbook to lead Major League Baseball in home runs in 2020.

All teams will play 10 games against each of their four divisional opponents, and they’ll play four games against each of the five teams from the corresponding division in the other league. The National League will adopt the designated hitter and all games going to extra innings will start each half-inning with the batting team’s final out of the prior inning on second base. Playoffs will remain in the 10-team format which will include a play-in game in both the American and National League.

Be sure to check the disclaimers at your preferred sportsbook when placing your 2020 MLB player futures bets. FanDuel, for example, states all teams must play 30-plus games for bets to stand.

HR leader odds and player totals (July 10, 2020)

HR Leader

Game
(Eastern Time)
(EST)
Joey Gallo
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+1000
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+1100
Mike Trout
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+1000
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+1100
Pete Alonso
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+1100
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+1000
Giancarlo Stanton
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+1100
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+1400
Cody Bellinger
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+1800
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+1700
Nolan Arenado
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+2000
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+1800
Aaron Judge
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+2000
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+2200
Ronald Acuna Jr.
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+2200
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+2100
Bryce Harper
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+2200
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+2100
Yordan Alvarez
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+2200
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+1700
J.D. Martinez
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+2500
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+2700
Eugenio Suarez
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+2500
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+2200
Christian Yelich
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+2500
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+2100
Alex Bregman
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+2800
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+3600
Nelson Cruz
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+2800
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+3000
Matt Olson
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+2800
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+2500
Gleyber Torres
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+2800
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+3000
Eloy Jimenez
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+3000
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+3000
Khris Davis
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+3300
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+3000
Miguel Sano
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+3300
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+2700
Jorge Soler
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+3300
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+3000
Franmil Reyes
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+3500
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+2700
Juan Soto
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+3500
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+3600
Trevor Story
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+3500
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+3600
Manny Machado
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+4500
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+3000
Mike Moustakas
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+4500
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+3600
Aristedes Aquino
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+5000
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+8500
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
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+5000
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+3000
Rhys Hoskins
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+5000
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+3000

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Home runs leader favorites and longshots

1B Pete Alonso, New York Mets (+1100 DraftKings, +1000 FanDuel): Alonso is a 10-1 favorite to lead baseball in home runs in the 60-game 2020 season. The 2019 home run leader – with 53 in his rookie season – tied for second with 30 homers in the first half and finished fourth with 23 in the second half. He also won the 2019 home run derby. He may be hampered by the newly-designed schedule, which will see him play plenty of games against the strong pitching staffs of the Washington Nationals, Atlanta Braves, Tampa Bay Rays, and New York Yankees.

OF Joey Gallo, Texas Rangers (+1000 DraftKings, +1100 FanDuel): Conversely, Gallo stands to benefit from the new schedule, as twenty-five of his scheduled games will come against the Seattle Mariners, Los Angeles Angels, and Colorado Rockies, all of which ranked in the bottom-five by home runs allowed per nine innings in 2019. Gallo hit 22 homers in just 70 games and will also get to play the majority of his season in the southwest heat. His .304 ISO across 416 games since entering the league in 2015 leads all of baseball.

OF Mike Trout, Los Angeles Angels (+1000 DraftKings, +1100 FanDuel): Home runs is one of the few categories Trout has never led in his future-Hall of Fame career, though he did hit a career-high 45 in 2019. Twenty-eight of those came in 87 first-half games. The favorite to be named the 2020 AL MVP should see more to hit following the Angels’ offseason addition of 3B Anthony Rendon in free agency.

OF Giancarlo Stanton, New York Yankees (+1100 DraftKings, +1400 FanDuel): Stanton missed at least 33 (of 162 games) in three of his past five seasons and any missed time in 2020 would almost certainly eliminate a player from contention here. The two-time home run leader with the Miami Marlins is fully expected to be ready for the start of the season in late July and will benefit from playing home games at Yankee Stadium and beating up on the pitching staffs of the Baltimore Orioles, Toronto Blue Jays, and Miami Marlins.

3B Nolan Arenado, Colorado Rockies (+2000 DraftKings, +1800 FanDuel): Playing 30 games at Coors Field could prove even more beneficial in a shortened 60-game season. Arenado has hit 129 of his 227 career homers in one of MLB’s most consistently hitter-friendly ballparks, and he’s coming off his third 40-homer season in the last five years.

3B Eugenio Suarez, Cincinnati Reds (+2500 DraftKings, +2200 FanDuel): Suarez broke out with 29 homers over 72 games in the second half of 2019 to finish second in baseball with 49. He has consistently improved on his home run numbers in each of his four seasons as a full-time player, and his fly-ball and hard-contact rates also trended up in 2019.

3B Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Toronto Blue Jays (+5000 DraftKings, +3000 FanDuel): Rogers Centre ranked No. 1 by home run factor in 2019 but the Blue Jays may not be able to play their home games in Toronto this year, in which case the Jays could benefit by playing in a minor-league park. Guerrero’s rookie season was slightly disappointing with just 15 homers in 123 games, though he showed what he’s capable of with a runner-up finish in the home run derby. He has plenty of protection in the Jays’ lineup and the young core will be able to swing hard and often in a shortened season.

OF Kyle Schwarber, Chicago Cubs (+5000 DraftKings, +5000 FanDuel): Schwarber could benefit from the addition of the full-time DH to the Cubs’ lineup, as he may not need to worry about fielding. He hit 20 homers in the second half last year with a .631 slugging percentage and .351 ISO.

OF Joc Pederson, Los Angeles Dodgers (+12500 DraftKings, +5500 FanDuel): Pederson was traded to the Angels following the Dodgers’ acquisition of Betts, but the deal ultimately fell through. He and A.J. Pollock will compete for the left-field and DH jobs this season, but the extra spot will at least ensure both bats are in the lineup more often than not. He opened last season with 10 home runs in March and April and can get the early jump on pitchers.

OF Aristides Aquino, Cincinnati Reds (+5000 DraftKings, +8500 FanDuel): Aquino’s long odds are a result of him not being fully guaranteed a regular spot in the strong Reds lineup, not of his talents. He hit 28 homers in 78 games at Class AAA before hitting 19 home runs in just 56 games upon being called up to the major leagues. His chances of securing an everyday job are boosted with the universal DH.

Bet on Aristides Aquino or another longshot here

Along with betting players from a pool of 50 or more candidates (deemed by the sportsbook as the most likely options to win the home run crown), bettors can also bet the home run total for individual players. A line will be set for select stars or notable names similarly to an Over/Under total for a game. Stanton’s 2020 home run total is set at 42.5 (at DraftKings Sportsbook) with -112 odds on either side. Odds will typically be equal on both sides of the line and they’ll be priced with a modest amount of juice. These -112 odds would return a profit of $89.30 on a $100 bet.

The odds and lines for both bet types will be adjusted throughout the season based on player performance and public betting action. If Stanton were to hit 10 home runs in April, his odds would likely drop relative to his competition and his season-total line would rise. If he were to fail to hit a homer in the first month of the season, his odds would rise and his individual total would drop. Players may be added or dropped from the available options based on their performance throughout the season.

Where can I bet on MLB home runs?

Most legal and regulated sportsbooks in the US will offer futures odds on MLB’s home run leader in 2020, along with player props for their respective season total. Be sure to check out different odds and lines at DraftKings, FanDuel, FoxBet and PointsBet to ensure you get the most profitable odds for your betting option.

Once under the MLB/Baseball tab at your book of choice, select Futures from the dropdown menu. From there, click Player Futures, Awards or Player Props. The odds for the home run leader are likely to be offered alongside the MVP and Cy Young awards for either league.