MLB HR Betting Odds: Who Will Hit The Most Home Runs?

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With two months of the 2023 MLB regular season nearly complete, New York Yankees outfielder and reigning American League MVP Aaron Judge remains the favorite to defend his home run crown. His odds range between +100 and +450 at major sportsbooks. However, there is still a long way to go before the 2023 HR champion is crowned. Sportsbooks continue to update the odds for which player will smash the most HRs this season.

HR leader odds

Here are odds to lead baseball in home runs for 2023.

*Home run markets might not be available while games are in action

Home run leader odds

Based on performances through the first two months of the 2023 MLB season, here are some of the current favorites to lead baseball in home runs.

Current MLB home run favorites

Aaron Judge, Yankees (">): Judge enters the final weekend of May with 14 home runs, tying him for the American League lead with Adolis Garcia of the Texas Rangers. His 10.4 at bat per home run rate ranks second in MLB behind Pete Alonso of the New York Mets (9.9).

Pete Alonso, Mets (">): Coming off a 40-HR season, several sportsbooks have Alonso ahead of Judge on the futures board. Even with the Mets getting off to a 26-25 start, Alonso is leading the big leagues with 19 homers.

Top Home Run Contenders

Mike Trout, Angels (">): Trout has the most impressive HR resume of any player listed here with seven 30-plus homer run seasons to his name. His total sits at 12 heading into a Memorial Day weekend series versus the Florida Marlins.

Matt Olsen, Braves (): The Braves offense is tops in the NL with a +58 run differential, and Olsen is doing his part with 14 homers to lead the Atlanta offense. Olsen is coming off back-to-back 30-plus HR seasons.

Kyle Schwarber, Phillies (">): Schwarber might not hit for average, but he is extremely capable of smashing balls out of the park. He is the Phillies clubhouse leader with 12 homers, and is coming off a career season in which he led the NL with 46 dingers.

Yordan Alvarez, Astros (): Alvarez is chasing his third 30-plus HR season in a row. His 12 home runs have Alvarez tied with several other MLB players.

Jorge Soler, Marlins (): Soler has longer odds compared to other names mentioned above, but the Miami DH is off to a hot start. Besides leading the Marlins with 15 homers, Soler is tied for No. 2 among all MLB hitters in this category.

Max Muncy, Dodgers (): The Dodgers have one of the deepest MLB lineups, and Muncy is a big part of it so far. Despite hitting just .204, Muncy is tied for second in MLB with 15 home runs.

Pre-season HR leader odds

Here is what HR leader odds looked like at Caesars Sportsbook on March 6, weeks before the start of the 2023 MLB regular season.

  • Aaron Judge +600
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. +1000
  • Kyle Schwarber +1000
  • Yordan Alvarez +1200
  • Mike Trout +1200
  • Pete Alonso +1200
  • Austin Riley +2000
  • Shoehi Ohtani +2000
  • Matt Olson +2500
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. +2500
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. +2500
  • Juan Soto +3000
  • Giancarlo Stanton +3000
  • Kyle Tucker +3000
  • Eloy Jimenez +3500
  • Rafael Devers +4000
  • Julio Rodriguez +4000
  • Byron Buxton +4500
  • Jose Ramirez +5000
  • Mookie Betts +5000
  • George Springer +5000

Best Home Runs betting site(s)

Along with betting players from a pool of 50 or more candidates (deemed by the sportsbook as the most likely options to win the home run crown), bettors can also bet the home run total for individual players. A line has been set for select stars and notable names similarly to an Over/Under total for a game. For instance, Aaron Judge’s home run total is set at 45.5 (at DraftKings Sportsbook). Odds will typically be equal on both sides of the line and they’ll be priced with a modest amount of juice.

The odds and lines for both bet types will be adjusted throughout the season based on player performance and public betting action. If Judge were to hit 10 home runs in April, his odds would likely drop relative to his competition and his season-total line would rise. If he were to fail to hit a homer in the first month of the season, his odds would rise and his individual total would drop. Players may be added or dropped from the available options based on their performance throughout the season.

Where can I bet on MLB home runs?

Most legal and regulated sportsbooks in the US will offer futures odds on MLB’s home run leader in 2023, along with player props for their respective season total. Be sure to check out different odds and lines at DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars Sportsbook to ensure you get the most profitable odds for your betting option.

Once under the MLB/Baseball tab at your book of choice, select Futures from the dropdown menu. From there, click Player Futures, Awards or Player Props. The odds for the home run leader are likely to be offered alongside the MVP and Cy Young awards for either league.