MLB HR Betting Odds: Who Will Hit The Most Home Runs?

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There were co-HR kings this past season with the Blue Jays’ Vladimir Guerrero belting 48 dingers and the Royals’ Salvador Perez also reaching that number. Who will be the HR king in 2023? Sportsbooks have posted odds for which player will smash the most HRs this season.

HR leader odds (January 29, 2023)*

Here are odds to lead baseball in home runs for 2023.

*Home run markets might not be available while games are in action

MLB HR leader Futures Report

Here are the favorites to lead baseball in home runs for 2022.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. () By all indications, the 23-year-old Guerrero hasn’t even scratched the surface of what he is capable of offensively. The Blue Jays star bashed 48 home runs last season, and there’s no reason not to think that a 50 dinger season is on the horizon.

Pete Alonso (): Alonso has already had a 50-plus HR campaign as he mashed 53 in 2019. Last year he hit 37 homers in 152 games.

Aaron Judge (): Health is always the concern with Judge. He played 148 games last season and hit 39 dingers, the second highest total of his MLB career.

Shohei Ohtani (): Ohtani had a career year last season and was rewarded with the AL MVP award. The Japanese sensation hit a career-high 46 home runs.

Joey Gallo (): Gallo is always a threat to go yard. He has a pair of 40-plus HR seasons on his resume (2017 and 2018 with the Rangers), and he is poised to do similar damage this season at Yankee Stadium.

Mike Trout (): Trout missed the majority of last season with a strained calf but is full go for 2022. Trout has the most impressive HR resume of any player listed here as he has six 30-plus homer run seasons to his name.

Pre-season HR leader odds

Here is what HR leader odds looked like at Caesars Sportsbook on March 25, just ahead of the 2022 MLB season.

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. +1000
  • Pete Alonso +1200
  • Aaron Judge +1400
  • Shoehi Ohtani +1600
  • Joey Gallo +1600
  • Mike Trout +2000
  • Matt Olson +2000
  • Giancarlo Stanton +2000
  • Bryce Harper +2500
  • Yordan Alvarez +2500
  • Kris Bryant +3000
  • Salvador Perez +3000
  • Rafael Devers +3000
  • Juan Soto +3000
  • Franmil Reyes +3000
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. +3000
  • Eloy Jimenez +3500
  • Tyler O’Neill
  • Teoscar Hernandez +5000

Best Home Runs betting site(s)

Along with betting players from a pool of 50 or more candidates (deemed by the sportsbook as the most likely options to win the home run crown), bettors can also bet the home run total for individual players. A line has been set for select stars and notable names similarly to an Over/Under total for a game. For instance, Aaron Judge’s home run total is set at 36.5 (at DraftKings Sportsbook). Odds will typically be equal on both sides of the line and they’ll be priced with a modest amount of juice.

The odds and lines for both bet types will be adjusted throughout the season based on player performance and public betting action. If Judge were to hit 10 home runs in April, his odds would likely drop relative to his competition and his season-total line would rise. If he were to fail to hit a homer in the first month of the season, his odds would rise and his individual total would drop. Players may be added or dropped from the available options based on their performance throughout the season.

Where can I bet on MLB home runs?

Most legal and regulated sportsbooks in the US will offer futures odds on MLB’s home run leader in 2022, along with player props for their respective season total. Be sure to check out different odds and lines at DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars Sportsbook to ensure you get the most profitable odds for your betting option.

Once under the MLB/Baseball tab at your book of choice, select Futures from the dropdown menu. From there, click Player Futures, Awards or Player Props. The odds for the home run leader are likely to be offered alongside the MVP and Cy Young awards for either league.