As the start of the MLB regular season draws closer, sportsbooks will start posting odds for which player will hit the most home runs this season. Sportsbooks will update the HR leader odds board throughout the season. Current home run leader odds have the Yankees’ Aaron Judge as the favorite at +350. Matt Olson (+600) and Pete Alonso (+700) are also in the mix.
HR leader odds
Here are odds to lead baseball in home runs for 2024.
*Home run markets might not be available while games are in action
Home run leader odds
Based on performances five-plus months of the 2023 MLB season, here are some of the current favorites to lead baseball in home runs.
Current MLB home run favorites
Matt Olson, Braves (): The Braves offense tops all NL teams with a +239 run differential, and Olson is doing his part with 51 homers to lead Atlanta. This is the first 40-plus HR season for Olson.
Shohei Ohtani, Angels (): Besides having the AL MVP award pretty much locked up, Ohtani is tied for second among all MLB players with 44 home runs. His career high of 46 was set during his 2021 AL MVP season.
Pete Alonso, Mets (): Coming off a 40-HR season, several sportsbooks had Alonso as one of the early favorites on the futures board. Alonso’s 44 homers ties him with Ohtani.
Top Home Run Contenders
Ronald Acuna Jr., Braves (): The NL MVP favorite is another player to watch in the MLB home run chase. Acuna has 37 home runs – good enough for sixth among all MLB sluggers.
Kyle Schwarber, Phillies (): Schwarber’s .198 batting average is not going to win him any MVP awards, but he is extremely capable of smashing balls out of the park. He is the Phillies clubhouse leader with 43 homers. The chances of topping his previous career high of 46 looks realistic.
Mookie Betts, Dodgers (): Betts leads the Dodgers offense with a new career high 39 home runs. Since making his 2014 MLB debut, this is the fourth time Betts has finished with 30-plus homers.
Pre-season HR leader odds
Here is what HR leader odds looked like at Caesars Sportsbook on March 6, weeks before the start of the 2023 MLB regular season.
- Aaron Judge +600
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. +1000
- Kyle Schwarber +1000
- Yordan Alvarez +1200
- Mike Trout +1200
- Pete Alonso +1200
- Austin Riley +2000
- Shoehi Ohtani +2000
- Matt Olson +2500
- Fernando Tatis Jr. +2500
- Ronald Acuna Jr. +2500
- Juan Soto +3000
- Giancarlo Stanton +3000
- Kyle Tucker +3000
- Eloy Jimenez +3500
- Rafael Devers +4000
- Julio Rodriguez +4000
- Byron Buxton +4500
- Jose Ramirez +5000
- Mookie Betts +5000
- George Springer +5000
Best Home Runs betting site(s)
Along with betting players from a pool of 50 or more candidates (deemed by the sportsbook as the most likely options to win the home run crown), bettors can also bet the home run total for individual players. A line has been set for select stars and notable names similarly to an Over/Under total for a game. For instance, Aaron Judge’s home run total is set at 45.5 (at DraftKings Sportsbook). Odds will typically be equal on both sides of the line and they’ll be priced with a modest amount of juice.
The odds and lines for both bet types will be adjusted throughout the season based on player performance and public betting action. If Judge were to hit 10 home runs in April, his odds would likely drop relative to his competition and his season-total line would rise. If he were to fail to hit a homer in the first month of the season, his odds would rise and his individual total would drop. Players may be added or dropped from the available options based on their performance throughout the season.
Where can I bet on MLB home runs?
Most legal and regulated sportsbooks in the US will offer futures odds on MLB’s home run leader in 2023, along with player props for their respective season total. Be sure to check out different odds and lines at DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars Sportsbook to ensure you get the most profitable odds for your betting option.
Once under the MLB/Baseball tab at your book of choice, select Futures from the dropdown menu. From there, click Player Futures, Awards or Player Props. The odds for the home run leader are likely to be offered alongside the MVP and Cy Young awards for either league.