Home Run Derby Odds

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Below are updated Home Run Derby odds for the 2022 event at Dodger Stadium in LA. Mets star Pete Alonso is the betting favorite, checking in with around +210 HR contest odds at most sports betting sites. This year’s Home Run Derby will go down on Monday, July 18.

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Home Run Derby odds

Home Run Derby odds for the 2022 MLB contest have been posted at online sports betting sites. View HR Derby odds below and click to bet now.

Home Run Derby Odds

Pete Alonso
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+210
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+200
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+175
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+190
Kyle Schwarber
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+330
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+350
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+340
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+350
Juan Soto
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+450
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+450
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+400
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+450
Ronald Acuna Jr.
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+650
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+800
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+750
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+750
Julio Rodriguez
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+850
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+750
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+800
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+800
Corey Seager
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+1300
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+1100
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+1100
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+1200
Jose Ramirez
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+1800
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+1600
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+1700
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+1800
Albert Pujols
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+2200
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+2500
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+2200
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+2400

Below are Over/Under odds from DraftKings Sportsbook for total home runs hit by each player in the home run hitting contest.

PlayerOver Home RunsUnder Home Runs
Albert Pujols Over 18.5 (-110) Under 18.5 (-110)
Corey SeagerOver 28.5 (-105)Under 28.5 (-115)
Jose RamirezOver 19.5 (-110)Under 19.5 (-110)
Juan SotoOver 33.5 (-110)Under 33.5 (-110)
Julio RodriguezOver 26.5 (-115)Under 26.5 (-105)
Kyle SchwarberOver 38.5 (-110)Under 38.5 (-110)
Pete AlonsoOver 38.5 (-110)Under 38.5 (-110)
Ronald Acuna Jr.Over 22.5 (-110)Under 22.5 (-110)

Pete Alonso (+200)

Alonso is seeking his third straight HR Derby. crown and certainly a worthy favorite, coming in around +200 at most sports betting sites. The right-handed hitter has mashed 24 home runs so far this season, which is good for fifth overall in MLB.

Kyle Schwarber (+330)

Schwarber’s home run swing is in peak form as he belted 12 dingers in the month of June and already has 6 in the month of July. The Phillies slugger has 29 total homers so far this season, the second most in baseball behind the Yankees’ Aaron Judge.

Juan Soto (+550)

Soto is seeing the ball extremely well right now as he has 5 home runs since July 8. He belted an unreal 46 total homers last year at Coors Field during this event and is obviously a legit contender to win it all. Soto has the third lowest Home Run Derby odds at most sportsbooks, checking in around +550.

Ronald Acuna Jr. (+650)

Acuna Jr. has the unfortunate task of going up against Alonso in the first round. He is around +150 to win that first round matchup at most sports betting sites. The Braves star has just 8 HR this season but that’s mostly due to the fact that he’s played in just 59 games.

Julio Rodriguez (+800)

J-Rod has “only” 16 home runs this season, his rookie year in MLB. Rookies have won this contest in the past, however, as Aaron Judge (2017) and Alonso (2019) have accomplished the feat. Franmy Pena, who goes back years with Rodriguez, will pitch to the young slugger. Mariners assistant hitting coach Jarret DeHart believes Rodriguez’s chemistry with Pena will go a long way.

“[Pena] is money as a thrower,” DeHart told the Seattle Times. “It’s all about the thrower. And [Pena] just sort of flips them in there in the perfect spot.”

Corey Seager (+1000)

Seager is plenty familiar with hitting dingers at Dodger Stadium, having spent the first seven years of his career in an LA uniform. The 28-year-old is having the best home run hitting season of his career as he already has 22 HRs. He should easily eclipse his career high for homers (26), which came in 2016.

Jose Ramirez (+1700)

Ramirez has the unenviable task of taking on Soto in the first round. Soto is -180 to win that matchup. Ramirez, of course, has a good shot at pulling the upset as he has 19 homers so far this season – but just 6 HRs since June 1.

Albert Pujols (+2200)

Just a nostalgia act or does Pujols actually have some magic left in the tank? Pujols will match up with Schwarber in the first round and the Phillies star is a big favorite at -340. The all-time great has 6 HRs in 53 games played this season, two of which came in the last two weeks.

Home Run Derby details

The annual homage to the game’s most impactful in-game event, the Home Run Derby gathers eight of the game’s most prodigious sluggers to compete in a bracket-style, single-elimination tournament.

Some of the particulars of the 2022 Home Run Derby includes:

  • Date: Monday, July 18 at 8 p.m. Eastern
  • Location: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California
  • Where to watch: ESPN will offer the main telecast of the Home Run Derby. ESPN2 will offer an alternate, more data-driven telecast that will include analysis on Statcast metrics.
  • Prize pool:  The prize pool for this year’s Home Run Derby is a hefty $2.5 million. The winner of the event will collect $1 million.
  • Defending champion: Pete Alonso

First round matchups

The first round matchups for the 2022 Derby are set and are as follows:

  • 1. Schwarber vs. 8. Pujols
  • 2. Alonso vs. 7. Acuna
  • 3. Seager vs. 6. Rodriguez
  • 4. Soto vs. 5. Ramirez

Home Run Derby rules

The Home Run Derby has been the subject of multiple formats since its inception in 1985. The current iteration, largely in place since 2015, is as follows:

  • The 2022 version will feature a single-elimination, bracket-style tournament with three total rounds.
  • Hitters will have 3 minutes to belt homers in both Round 1 and Round 2. In the final round, hitters will get 2 minutes.
  • The winner of the Schwarber versus Pujols matchup will face the winner of the Soto versus Ramirez matchup. The winner of the Alonso versus Acuna matchup will square off against the winner of the Seager versus Rodriguez clash.
  • In the event of a tie during a head-to-head showdown, the two batters will compete in a 1 minute HR contest. If there is still a tie following the 1 minute contest the two batters will compete in a “three pitch swing-off” until there is a winner.

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Wagering on the Derby: A unique proposition

Predicting who might come out on top is likely trickier than a conventional team-based bet due to the similarity in the talent levels between the majority of participants. In other words, there aren’t supposed to be any pushovers or tomato cans taking their hacks in the contest (although this year, old man Albert Pujols is competing – due to his impending retirement – for mainly nostalgic reasons).

Listed odds reflect the probabilities of each player’s success in the eyes of the bookmakers/betting public, as usual. But, Derby lines might be at least a tad less predictive than your standard wagering scenario. The quality of pitches a player sees and his overall endurance come into play. So too does any potential injury situation a player may come into the contest with.

Then, as is the case during any game in the season, the setting also plays a role.

Stadiums with park factors more conducive to the long ball will naturally boost the upside of every participant to a certain degree. That alone could make the outcome even more difficult to pin down.

And, participants who happen find themselves in their home ballpark would certainly carry a certain edge. Their intimate knowledge of relevant stadium specs such as dimensions, wind angles, etc. would presumably serve as valuable tools when trying to rack up the round trippers.