The Green Bay Packers traded up to get quarterback Jordan Love in the NFL Draft and Aaron Rodgers took it personally. So personally that he’s on a tear of the league and putting together an MVP-caliber year. Despite his skill positions often being banged up (something Green Bay passed on in the draft), Rodgers is slinging the rock like it’s 2011. The echos of the Packers being deemed “frauds” after being blown out of the NFC Championship game have caused Matt LaFleur to put his foot down. The Packers are for real and are here to stay as long as Rodgers has any say in the matter.
Green Bay went into the 2020 season looking to repeat as NFC North champions. Below, we’ll break down the Packers’ schedule, key offseason roster moves and betting odds for everything from their 2020 win total to their chances of winning Super Bowl LV, along with props for their offensive stars.
We’ll also look at how to bet on the NFL in 2020 with definitions of key terms and bet types. Use this information to get an edge on the early 2020 betting lines and find value in the NFL futures odds.
Green Bay Packers Week 7 odds
The Packers looked shellshocked coming off their bye in Tampa Bay and the Buccaneers blasted them 38-10. In their first four games, Aaron Rodgers and the offense had not committed a turnover, but the Bucs defense forced Rodgers to throw two picks. It wasn’t the result they hoped for, and Green Bay is looking to get right back on track.
Rodgers and company will look to take out their frustrations against a 1-5 Texans team, but opened as just 3.5-point road favorites.
The Packers scored 30+ in their first four games before last week’s disappointment. They will likely have a lot more success against a Texans defense that just allowed 601 total yards to Tennessee a week ago and ranks 28th in rush defense DVOA. By comparison, Tampa ranks in the top three in nearly every defensive category. The Texans are also 23rd in PFF’s pass coverage, so Rodgers should have more success with Davante Adams this week.
Packers futures odds
Packers Super Bowl odds
It’ll take more than one loss to derail Green Bay’s odds to win Super Bowl LV. They sit at +1200, near teams like New Orleans and Pittsburgh and still within the top five of the NFL.
NFC North odds
The Packers (-167) still hold an edge over the 5-1 Chicago Bears and likely will continue to do so until the two meet. An exception to that would be if the Packers lose a few straight and the Bears continue to win. However, with a rough stretch of games upcoming for Chicago, the Packers’ division lead seems to be in no danger.
2020 Green Bay Packers schedule and odds
|Week 1||Sunday, Sept. 13||1:00 p.m. ET||at Minnesota||Vikings -3.5|
|Week 2||Sunday, Sept. 20||1:00 p.m. ET||vs. Detroit||Packers -6.5|
|Week 3||Sunday, Sept. 27||8:20 p.m. ET||at New Orleans||Saints -6|
|Week 4||Monday, Oct. 5||8:15 p.m. ET||vs. Atlanta||Packers -4|
|Week 5||Sunday, Oct. 11||BYE|
|Week 6||Sunday, Oct. 18||4:25 p.m. ET||at Tampa Bay||Buccaneers -4.5|
|Week 7||Sunday, Oct. 25||1:00 p.m. ET||at Houston||Packers -1|
|Week 8||Sunday, Nov. 1||1:00 p.m. ET||vs. Minnesota||Packers -2.5|
|Week 9||Thursday, Nov. 5||8:20 p.m. ET||at San Francisco||49ers -6.5|
|Week 10||Sunday, Nov. 15||1:00 p.m. ET||vs. Jacksonville||Packers -12.5|
|Week 11||Sunday, Nov. 22||1:00 p.m. ET||at Indianapolis||Colts -1|
|Week 12||Sunday, Nov. 29||8:20 p.m. ET||vs. Chicago||Packers -4|
|Week 13||Sunday, Dec. 6||4:25 p.m. ET||vs. Philadelphia||Eagles -0.5|
|Week 14||Sunday, Dec. 13||1:00 p.m. ET||at Detroit||Packers -4.5|
|Week 15||TBA||TBA||vs. Carolina||Packers -9|
|Week 16||Sunday, Dec. 27||8:20 p.m. ET||vs. Tennessee||Packers -3.5|
|Week 17||Sunday, Jan. 3||1:00 p.m. ET||at Chicago||N/A|
How to bet on the Green Bay Packers
Online and mobile sportsbooks such as DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook have you covered all year long for your NFL betting desires. Here are the best options for the offseason and through the entire league year:
Betting on the moneyline is the most common and straight-forward of all bet types. You’re backing one team to beat the other straight up with two possible outcomes, outside of the ultra-rare NFL tie. Odds typically range from +200 for underdogs ($10 bet results in $20 profit) to -200 for favorites ($10 bet results in $5 profit), though those odds can extend in either direction for more lopsided mid- or late-season matchups.
A line representing how many points a favorite will need to win by or how many points the underdog will need to stay within in a loss. The most common NFL spreads are 2.5, 3.5, 6.5 and 7.5 representing point differentials of a field goal or a touchdown. The more points a team is favored by, the more difficult it is for them to cash the bet and late-season spreads can extend as high as 13.5 or 17.5 points. Odds typically range from +110 to -110 and teams favored to win the game outright on the moneyline can get plus-money on the spread.
Expressed as an Over/Under, the total asks how many points the two teams will combine to score in the game, in a half or in each quarter. The odds will generally be equal for both the Over and Under on either side of a line ranging from 35.5 to 59.5 points. The more appealing the on-field matchup, the higher the total is likely to be set with more attention on the game from both fans and bettors.
Prop bets are statistic-based bets for a player or a team for the season as a whole or for each individual game. Over/Under lines are set for yardage, carry or reception totals, while other bets ask whether or not specified players will score a touchdown in a game. Odds typically range from -120 to +120. More profitable prop bets exist for things such as first touchdown bets, which group larger pools of players together with different odds for each based on their perceived likelihood of scoring the first touchdown of the game.
Each of the Packers’ top three stars on offense are represented in the 2020 player props. Aaron Rodgers’ passing yards line is set at 4,050.5 with -110 odds on either side. Seven QBs have a higher projection. He’s projected for 26.5 passing touchdowns. Topping that line with 27 or more TDs would be his highest total since 2016 and would result in a profit of $9.09 on an Over bet.
Davante Adams is projected for 1,200.5 receiving yards with -110 odds on either side. He has topped the projection just once in his six-year career. Aaron Jones’ rushing yards line is set at 1,080.5 with -110 odds on both the Over and Under. Four of 11 listed running backs have a lower projection.
Set as soon as one season ends, futures are updated continuously through the league year based on roster moves, team and player success, and public betting action. Futures look at everything from player and coach awards, statistical milestones, team win totals and division and Super Bowl championship chances. Preseason odds for all of these can range from -500 to as high as +20000 (200-1). As favorites emerge in the season, their odds can drop even lower the closer they get to securing the division crown.
Teasers are available on both spread and total bets and allow bettors to adjust the lines to get more profitable higher odds or more secure lower odds in a parlay. Bettors can “buy” or “sell” points to enhance their chances of winning the bet or increase their profit margin. Be cautious, as the more bets included in the parlay, the more difficult it is to win, as all selections will need to play out correctly.
Like futures bets being adjusted throughout a given season, single-game odds are adjusted based on the score or flow of a game. Mobile betting allows fans to get action on a game they’re attending or watching from home with in-play betting. Back a pre-game favorite at more profitable odds if they fall behind by a score or two early on, or back the losing team if a key player suffers an injury on the other side in hopes of a comeback. The spreads and point totals will also be adjusted throughout a game.
Packers 2019 season in review
Rodgers again topped 4,000 passing yards while playing all 16 games for the second straight season. He threw for a modest 26 touchdowns, but he tossed just four interceptions. It was Jones’ emergence which truly helped the Packers secure the division crown and a first round bye with a 13-3 record. He rushed for 1,084 yards to be Green Bay’s first 1,000-yard rusher since Eddie Lacy in 2014. He added 474 receiving yards and scored 19 total touchdowns.
The receiving corps, behind No. 1 option Davante Adams, was once again the Packers’ greatest weakness. Adams caught 83 of 127 targets for 997 yards and five touchdowns in just 12 games, but no other player topped 500 receiving yards.
Defensively, the Packers ranked ninth in the NFL with 19.6 points allowed per game. They were 18th with 352.6 total yards allowed per game and they were one of just 10 teams to allow more than 120 rushing yards per game. They shared the league’s third-best turnover differential at plus-12 with 25 takeaways and just 13 giveaways.
In addition to going 13-3 straight up last season, the Packers went 10-6 against the spread in the regular season. They won by an average margin of 3.9 points per game and covered by 0.2 PPG. They were particularly strong at home, going 6-3 ATS and winning by six PPG including the Divisional Round win over the Seahawks. The Packers were 6-10 against the Over/Under in the regular season, falling an average of 2.7 PPG shy of the projected point total. Both of their playoff games topped the projected line.
Packers 2020 offseason moves
Key re-signings: K Mason Crosby (three years, $12.9 million), DB Will Redmond (one year, $750,000), TE Marcedes Lewis (one year, $2.25 million)
Key free agent losses: LB Blake Martinez (to NYG), TE Jimmy Graham (to CHI), OT Bryan Bulaga (to LAC), LB Kyler Fackrell (to NYG), WR Geronimo Allison (to DET)
Key free agent signings: LB Christian Kirksey (two years, $13 million), OT Ricky Wagner (two years, $11 million), WR Devin Funchess (one year, $2.5 million)
The loss of Bulaga after nine seasons was offset by the addition of Wagner, while Kirksey helps to replace the loss of Martinez. Funchess was a low-risk signing on a one-year deal, and he stands to be the team’s No. 2 receiver opposite Adams if he can return to full health. While Graham isn’t a huge loss to the NFC North-rival Chicago Bears, tight end is a glaring weakness heading toward the 2020 NFL Draft.