US Open Odds 2023

Odds, Predictions and Event History

1
Written by

One of the sporting gateways to the summer is the annual US Open golf tournament. The famed June tourney will take place this year at the Los Angeles Country Club and Matt Fitzpatrick will be looking to defend his title in Southern California. US Open odds from Jan. 4 showed Rory McIlroy as the early betting favorite as he had a +1000 price. Fitzpatrick checked in at +2200.

View US Open golf odds for all of this year’s competitors below. We will also deliver a betting guide on one of the year’s top golf events.

US Open odds

Here are US Open odds for the 2023 golf tournament in LA. Click on the price you like to bet now.

US Open favorites

Here are US Open odds favorites for the 2023 golf tournament in LA.

Rory McIlroy : Young Rory McIlroy wasn’t necessarily much of a U.S. Open player. While he did win a rain-soaked one in 2011, the more standard U.S. Opens gave him a ton of trouble including 3 consecutive missed cuts from 2016-2018. But he seems to have figured it out as he embraces more difficult setups with a 9th, 8th, 7th and 5th in his last 4 tries. 

Scottie Scheffler : Scheffler unfortunately missed the 2020 U.S. Open due to COVID while he was in good form, so he’s played just 2 of them since becoming a PGA Tour cardholder. With finishes of 7th and 2nd, it’s clear the World No. 2 enjoys the setups, and he’s already become one of the best in the world at a tough venue. Loves firm conditions and got experience here in the Walker Cup. 

Justin Thomas : Despite his success in the PGA Championship, there’s certainly a narrative Thomas has to break that he struggles on tougher golf courses. He’s struggled to get in the mix as often as he should in the other majors, and his only real peek at a U.S. Open came at the easy Erin Hills. L.A.C.C.’s open fairways should help his game a bit. 

Jon Rahm : Rahm himself struggled in U.S. Opens early in his career, which is no surprise considering how quickly he can lose his patience if things are going wrong. But he’s mostly gotten over that now, and he’s one of the best in the world on tough golf courses. He’ll be looking to get in the mix after failing to get in contention at a major in 2022. 

Xander Schauffele : Schauffele posted his worst result ever at a U.S. Open last year … 14th. The Southern California native has been superb in U.S. Opens with 5 finishes of 7th or better in 6 starts, and he was playing some of the best golf of his career to end the 2022 season. Schauffele loves when the venue is difficult, so we should expect him to be one of the favorites going into L.A. 

Patrick Cantlay : Cantlay is probably the premiere player in golf that has yet to really get involved much in majors. It’s a bit surprising considering his ability to win at all types of different venues and in different conditions on the PGA Tour. He has started to look okay at U.S. Opens with a 15th and 14th in his last 2 tries after mostly struggling in his first 4. 

Cameron Smith : The Open Championship winner at St. Andrews would like to revisit memories of his first U.S. Open this time around as he’s struggled in the championship heavily in his last 6 starts. Ever since finishing 4th as a debutant at Chambers Bay, Smith has made just 3 cuts and hasn’t finished better than 38th

Will Zalatoris : Zalatoris was one of the members of the winning Walker Cup team here in 2017, and he’ll be looking to build off that experience and his incredible major performances as of late. We’ll see how he plays off his injury that caused him to miss the end of 2022, but Zalatoris has been absolute nails in the majors. He’s finished 6th and 2nd in 3 tries at the U.S. Open. 

Collin Morikawa : The two-time major champion had a rough year in 2022 for the most part, but the U.S. Open was one of the few bright spots. He likely could have been the winner if it wasn’t for a 77 on Saturday, but his other 3 great rounds led him to a 5th. That came a year after a 4th at Torrey Pines, so it’s clear he’s dialed into the challenge of U.S. Open setups. 

Sam Burns : Burns has yet to get into the picture at all at a major thus far, so 2023 will be a big year to see if he can make the next step. As of now, he seems to be better in birdie fests that prioritizing rolling in a bunch of birdie putts. But his 27th at Brookline was finally a step in the right direction at U.S. Opens. 

Matt Fitzpatrick :The defending champion of the U.S. Open should once again enjoy the test that Los Angeles Country Club presents. While it can be argued that his insane distance gain makes him a challenger at bomb and gauge courses as well, Fitzpatrick will still be at his best on a thinking course that puts a priority on finesse around the greens. 

Viktor Hovland : Hovland got another victory outside of the U.S. to end the year, so it will be fun to see if he can finally get it done in a big, full-field event on the PGA Tour this year. At the U.S. Open, Hovland started his career well with a 12th and 13th, but he missed his first cut last year at Brookline. I’m not sure these green complexes are the best fit for him to get his first major. 

Shane Lowry : Lowry looked like a U.S. Open force early in his career when he led most of the week at Oakmont before finishing 2nd and added a 9th the year before at Chambers Bay. But he’s struggled heavily since with a 28th as his best finish and a pair of missed cuts. I still expect him to figure it out here after a great year and his history of play on tough setups. 

Jordan Spieth : The winner at the U.S. Open at Chambers Bay in 2015 has also failed to get anything going in a U.S. Open since. Considering his usual appearances on the leaderboard at majors, Spieth has just a single Top 20 since and has managed to get nowhere near contention. I’d say a U.S. Open setup is the worst of any major for his game and we can view Chambers Bay as an outlier. 

Dustin Johnson : One of the biggest names to join LIV Golf also has one of the best U.S. Open records of anyone in the last decade or so. His win at Oakmont in 2016 is surrounded by finishes of 4th, 2nd, 3rd and 6th in recent years. He’s still one of the elites in the game at navigating difficult golf courses and finding the centers of greens. 

Hideki Matsuyama : Matsuyama has been sneakily steady in the U.S. Open throughout his career, which makes sense considering his strengths and not as much reliance on holing birdie putts. His 65 on Sunday at Brookline charged him to a 4th there, but he did deal with some injury issues afterward. If he’s in good health, I love Hideki going forward at most major venues. 

Tony Finau : While Finau has been inconsistent at U.S. Opens in recent years, he does have a 14th, 5th and 8th to his name in America’s championship since 2015. He also seemed to finally make the true jump to one of the world’s elite players in 2022 with 3 wins in 4 months to end the year. I believe this is a steal of a number for now. 

Sungjae Im : Sungjae was really playing nicely to end 2022, but he’s failed to get anything going at majors outside of the Masters, where he’s logged a 2nd and 8th in 3 years. I’d expect that to change soon with Im’s all-around game looking very impressive and his ability to strike the ball well on difficult golf courses. 

Tom Kim : Golf’s brightest young star doesn’t have much major experience considering how quickly he burst onto the scene, but his debut at the U.S. Open was solid with a 23rd at Brookline. I think Kim can be great at U.S. Open venues that don’t require as much bomb and gauge, so Los Angeles Country Club could be a nice spot for him. 

Joaquin Niemann : Niemann’s departure to LIV was surprising considering his age and where he was at in the world of golf. We were expecting him to be ready for the next step at majors after his win at Riviera in 2022, but as of now, his best finish is a 23rd at the 2020 U.S. Open. Given his limited status moving forward for major qualifications, he’ll be desperate for strong finishes this year. 

Cameron Young : Young was also rumored to LIV Golf, but he’s been adamant for now about staying on the PGA Tour. His rookie season was one of the best in recent memory, and that play even extended to his major appearances. A 3rd at the PGA and 2nd at The Open shows he can play at the biggest stage. 

Brooks Koepka : The once unflappable Koepka in majors has quickly fallen off after a hugely disappointing 2022. It’d be dumb to rule him out yet considering his insane run at U.S. Opens, but we won’t get to see a ton of him leading into major season due to the LIV Golf schedule.

Course Preview: Los Angeles Country Club

  • Course: Los Angeles Country Club
  • Location: Los Angeles, California
  • Date: June 15-18, 2023
  • How to watch: Golf Channel and NBC (Sat-Sun), NBCports.com, Peacock, NBC Sports Mobile App, USGA Streaming App through USOpen.com, the US Open app for mobile and the USGA apps for TV boxes.

Los Angeles Country Club is finally going to get its moment in the spotlight in 2023. As one of the oldest established clubs in the United States, Los Angeles Country Club has never hosted a major championship until the USGA finally gave it a chance. Now we’ll be headed to the west coast for a U.S. Open for the third time in five years. The club was built in 1897, but it wasn’t firmly set in place on its current piece of land until George C. Thomas and William P. Bell redesigned it in 1927. While no majors have taken place at L.A.C.C., the club did host five Los Angeles Opens – now the Genesis Invitational at Riviera – along with prestigious amateur tournaments. The Walker Cup was played there in 2017 and is our best look at what to expect from the U.S. Open. 

We don’t get to see proper California golf enough. The PGA Tour tournaments hosted there take place in January and February, which presents softer and slower conditions overall. While the U.S. Open has gone to Pebble Beach and Torrey Pines plenty in June, those are both coastal courses that don’t get as firm. Los Angeles Country Club is in the hills of Southern California, which means we should expect a very firm and fast golf course in June considering how little rain the area can get. That’s exactly how the course played in September 2017 for the Walker Cup. 

Considering George Thomas designed the course and Gil Hanse recently restored it for the upcoming U.S. Open, we can already assume some things about the mostly unknown Los Angeles Country Club. Thomas also designed nearby Riviera Country Club, the host of the Genesis Invitational. While the two are certainly not too similar, we do see some of the elements carry over. The main one is that the greens are absolutely diabolical in most places and feature a ton of shaved run-off areas with deep and penalizing bunkers surrounding them. Hanse came in and restored those bunkers to their natural intentions and readied the course to challenge the best players in the world. Hanse has done restorations for other old major championship venues recently, including Southern Hills, Winged Foot and many more. 

When watching the 2017 Walker Cup back, it seems that the course is going to feature plenty of room off the tee before really challenging players with their approach shots. Misses on second shots will cause a player to face extremely challenging up-and-downs. Since the course isn’t overly long at 7,400 yards and should play firm, we should expect distance to take a backseat once again to shot making and short game like we saw in 2022 at Brookline with Matt Fitzpatrick’s victory. That hasn’t been the norm at recent U.S. Opens that were bomb and gauge, so it should be exciting to see another unique test for America’s Championship.

How US Open odds changed last year

Here is a look at how US Open odds changed last year before and during the tournament.

GolferUS Open Odds June 2US Open Odds June 13US Open Odds June 14US Open Odds June 15: 9 a.m. ETUS Open Odds June 15: 10 p.m. ETUS Open Odds June 16: 8 p.m. ETUS Open Odds June 18: 9 a.m. ETUS Open Odds June 19: 10 a.m. ET
Jon Rahm+1100+1200+1200+1200+1300+1100+450+360
Scottie Scheffler+1200+1400+1400+1400+1400+1600+700+360
Justin Thomas+1200+1200+1100+1100+1100+1000+5000+25000
Rory McIlroy+1400+1000+1000+1000+1000+450+450+1000
Collin Morikawa+1400+3000+3000+3000+3000+1800+400+15000
Xander Schauffele+1800+1600+1600+2000+2000+2500+2800+100000
Dustin Johnson+1800+2800+2800+2800+3500+2000+10000+15000
Cameron Smith+1800+2200+2200+2200+2200+6000OTBOTB
Brooks Koepka+2000+4000+4000+4000+4000+25000+5000+250000
Jordan Spieth+2200+2800+2800+2500+2500+9000+15000+35000
Patrick Cantlay+2200+2000+2000+2000+2000+7000+30000+35000
Viktor Hovland+2500+3500+3500+3500+3500+3500OTBOTB
Will Zalatoris+2800+3000+3000+2800+2500+2200+3000+300
Matthew Fitzpatrick+3000+3000+3000+3000+3000+1100+2000+330
Sam Burns+3500+3500+3000+2800+2800+4500+1700+1600
Shane Lowry+3500+3500+3500+2800+2500+7000OTBOTB
Tony Finau+3500+3500+3500+3500+3500+15000OTBOTB
Bryson DeChambeau+3500+8000+8000+8000+8000+15000+50000OTB
Hideki Matsuyama+3500+4000+4000+4000+4000+4500+7500+20000
Louis Oosthuizen+4000+4000+4000+4000+4000+250000OTBOTB

US Open odds: How to bet the US Open

The main betting draw to any golf tournament are the odds to win outright. For majors such as the US Open, these are often released nearly a full year in advance in the form of futures bets. US Open odds have been available for the months, dating back to the day after the finish of last year’s tournament at Winged Foot.

Initial US Open odds will reflect the previous year’s leaderboard, the OWGR at the time of the odds release, and public favorites. Tiger will never have odds reflecting his true likelihood of winning due to the sheer number of wagers that’ll be placed on him either way. Outright odds for a standard field of 156 golfers can range from as low as +500 for a favorite to long shots as high as +100000. These odds would return profits of $50 and $10,000, respectively, on $10 bets.

Odds will be routinely updated and altered through the year to reflect golfer performance, injuries, changes in the OWGR, and public betting action. The more wagers placed on any one golfer, the lower their odds will drop as the books hedge against large payouts.

Much closer to the beginning of the tournament, many more betting options will become available. These can include Top-5, Top-10, and Top-20 placing bets which feature lower odds than the odds to win, but they provide a safety net for a top finish and allow bettors to cash multiple tickets. 18-hole, 36-hole, and 54-hole leader bets can see higher odds for the tournament favorites than their outright odds.

Prop bets pool golfers together based on shared traits such as world ranking, previous tournament wins, and nationality. The odds in these pools are heavily influenced by the caliber of the golfers included and their individual likelihoods of winning the tournament.

Matchup bets pit golfers either head-to-head or in groups of three for each round or the tournament as a whole. These typically carry the lowest odds (-200 to +200) of the bet types mentioned here, but they can be the most predictable and are the best way to hedge against other losses and guarantee at least a modest return on your investment.

Straight Forecast bets are best suited to standard tournaments which feature two or three top golfers against an otherwise weaker field. These require bettors to correctly predict the first- and second-place finishers in order as a parlay to boost their individual odds to win outright.

Each-Way betting is popular when betting long shots. These bets consist of two separate wagers with one for the outright win and a second for a finish within a specified range of top-3 or top-5.

US Open odds: betting strategy

As with anything, research goes a long way to setting yourself up for success, and there are many tools available for golf bettors. The three main areas to look at are always Course History, Current Form, and Key Stats. Course History can be difficult for the US Open – as well as the Open Championship and PGA Championship – as the last event held at Winged Foot was the 2006 US Open. But conditions are often similar across all US Open venues. Courses are long and golfers will need to either be able to avoid trouble or quickly recover, and putting is essential.

Current Form looks at how well a golfer has been playing coming into an event. This can be dangerous as runs of success or struggles can begin and end without any notice. Each course will have a set of Key Stats best associated with success there. Be sure to look into which shot type a course favors and what type of grass is on the greens.

Be sure to closely monitor the futures US Open odds throughout the months and weeks leading up to an event. Take screenshots of the opening odds and always compare against those in order to target favorites who may see their numbers temporarily rise due to a run of poor results or a lack of betting action. Conversely, don’t bet an opening long shot if their odds have fallen too far due to a stretch of strong results. Majors are tough to win, and not everyone can do it. Don’t fall for diminished value.

While the outright odds carry the hopes of the biggest pay days, the safe money is made on the props, matchups and placing bets. Be sure to devote the largest portion of your bankroll here. It’s better to cash multiple tickets at lower odds than bank on a long-shot outright bet only to watch your hopes fade away on the back 9 on Sunday.

US Open fun facts

  • Most wins: 4 — Jack Nicklaus, Ben Hogan, Bobby Jones, and Willie Anderson. Tiger has a chance to join them with a win this year.
  • Youngest winner: John McDermott — 19 years, 9 months, 14 days (1911)
  • Youngest Qualifier: Andy Zhang — 14 years, six months (2012)
  • Oldest winner: Hale Irwin — 45 years, 15 days (1990)
  • Highest score on one hole: 19, Ray Ainsley (1938) on the par 4 16th at Cherry Hills Country Club in Englewood, Colo.
  • Best comeback: Arnold Palmer came back from down seven strokes entering the final round in 1960 to top a group including Nicklaus, Hogan, and Gary Player. It was his first and only US Open championship.
  • Amateur winners: Francis Ouimet (1913), Jerome D. Travers (1915), Charles Evans Jr. (1916), Bobby Jones (1923, 1926, 1929, 1939), John Goodman (1933)
  • Most times runner-up: Phil Mickelson (1999, 2002, 2004, 2006, 2009, 2013)

Biggest betting long shots in US Open history

Martin Kaymer (2014) +10000

After taking down The Players Championship five weeks earlier, Kaymer demolished the 2014 US Open field at Pinehurst. It was his second major championship win, but he doesn’t have a victory anywhere in the world since.

Webb Simpson (2012) +5000

Simpson is coming off arguably the most successful year of his career to creep inside the top 10 of the world rankings. He had two professional wins to his name before beating Graeme McDowell and Michael Thompson by one stroke at Olympic Club in 2012.

Graeme McDowell (2010) +6600

McDowell ranked 36th in the world at the time of his lone major victory at Pebble Beach Golf Links. He survived a wave of Sunday collapses which claimed Dustin Johnson and Tiger Woods to beat Gregory Havret by one stroke.

Lucas Glover (2009) +15000

Glover has just one professional win since beating Phil Mickelson, David Duval and Ricky Barnes by two strokes at Bethpage Black Course in 2009. He ranked 72nd in the world at the time.

Angel Cabrera (2007) +10000

Cabrera seems to be much better remembered for his 2009 Masters win than for his breakthrough one stroke victory over Tiger Woods and Jim Furyk at Oakmont Country Club. Cabrera rarely played in the United States outside of majors but ranked 39th in the world before his win vaulted him to 17th.

Geoff Ogilvy (2006) +8000

Ogilvy ranked 17th in the world and had two wins under his belt at the time of his first major victory, including the Accenture Match Play earlier in 2006. He beat Mickelson, Furyk and Colin Montgomerie by one stroke at Winged Foot.

Michael Campbell (2005) Not listed, part of FIELD at +600

Campbell had 10 professional wins prior to his two-stroke victory over Woods at Pinehurst but ranked just 80th in the world. He’d go on to win the HSBC World Match Play Championship later in 2005, but hasn’t won since.

Francis Ouimet (1913)

Just 20 years old and playing as an amateur, Ouimet outplayed accomplished British golfers Harry Vardon and Ted Ray to become the second American to win the US Open. Ouimet would go on to win the US Amateur in 1914 and 1931.

us open golf
Graeme McDowell at the 2010 US Open

US Open odds: FAQ

Who qualifies for golf’s US Open?

Anyone with a USGA Handicap Index of 1.4 or lower has a chance. They must make it through both local and sectional qualifying. Additional criteria are as follows:

  • Winners of the last 10 US Opens
  • Winner and runner-up from previous year’s US Amateur and winners of the previous US Junior Amateur and US Mid-Amateur
  • Winner of the previous year’s Amateur Championship
  • Previous year’s Mark H. McCormack Medal winner as top-ranked amateur in world
  • Past five winners of each of the Masters, Open Championship and PGA Championship
  • Winner of the current year’s BMW PGA Championship
  • Winner of the last US Senior Open
  • Players who win multiple PGA Tour events offering 500 or more points to the winner between the previous and current US Opens.
  • Reigning men’s gold medalist is the Olympic golf tournament was held the prior year
  • Top 10 finishers and ties from previous US Open
  • Qualifiers from previous year’s Tour Championship
  • Top 60 from the Official World Golf Ranking as of two weeks before the tournament
  • Top 60 from the OWGR as of the tournament start date
  • Special exemptions selected by the USGA
  • All remaining spots filled by alternates from qualifying tournaments

Where is the US Open this year?

The Country Club in Brookline, Mass.

What are the highest and lowest scores to win the US open?

Koepka and Rory McIlroy share the honor for the lowest score ever to win a US Open at minus-16 in 2017 and 2011, respectively. Walter Hagen’s plus-17 in 1919 is the highest winning score of all time. Geoff Ogilvy and Angel Cabrera each shot plus-5 in 2006 and 2007 for the highest winning scores since 1975.

Winning scores at Winged Foot have ranged from Fuzzy Zoeller’s minus-4 in 1984 to Hale Irwin’s plus-7 in 1974.

Ogilvy won at plus-5 in 2006, the last time the US Open was played in Mamaroneck.

Has anyone ever won back-to-back-to-back US Opens?

Brooks Koepka in 2017 and 2018 was the first since Curtis Strange in 1988-89 and seventh all-time to go back-to-back as US Open champion.

Willie Anderson (1903-05) as the only players to win three straight.