This year’s John Deere Classic will take place Thursday, July 4 through Sunday, July 7 at TPC Deere Run in Silvis, Illinois. John Deere Classic odds will soon be made available. Sepp Straka picked up his second TOUR win at last year’s event with a 2-stroke victory over Brendon Todd and Alex Smalley. The field for the upcoming event will be announced soon. Below we will provide a betting guide for the 2023 tournament in Illinois.
John Deere Classic odds
John Deere Classic odds will be posted by top sportsbooks closer to the event. Compare odds for top golfers below. Also, be sure to view the best betting sites before wagering on golf.
The field for the 2024 John Deere Classic will be officially announced on Friday, June 28. Until then, here are the golf odds for John Haslbauer’s projected favorites a few weeks out from the event.
- Jordan Spieth +800
- Sungjae Im +1200
- Russell Henley +1400
- Brian Harman +2000
- JT Poston +2200
Click here for early Open Championship odds.
TPC Deere Run Course Breakdown
The John Deere Classic is known to have one of the weakest fields of the year each season due to its position on the schedule before The Scottish and British Opens. The top players in the world often choose to skip this event, which has opened the door for many first-time winners. Like many other TPC layouts, Deere Run encourages an aggressive style of play and is susceptible to low scores from in-form iron players who can catch a hot putter.
In terms of course history, Jordan Spieth, Steve Stricker, Russell Henley, Zach Johnson, and Kevin Na highlight the list of players who have repeatedly played well here, suggesting a strong correlation with the top mid-iron approach players with proven success in easier scoring conditions.
How It Breaks Down
TPC Deere Run is a traditional, angular, tree-lined course with Bentgrass greens and fairways and very thick Kentucky bluegrass rough. Organizers like to move the tee boxes around often at TPC Deere Run, but the stock yardage is 7,268 for this par 71. It features three par 5s, four par 3s and 11 par 4s.
The hole distribution measures very balanced across the par 3s and par 4s. So, we needn’t hone in on players who specialize in a particular range. Further, the breakdown of average proximity ranges on approach fall closely in line with the PGA TOUR average. This course should suit the best all-around approach players who can generate birdie opportunities with every club. All three of the par 5s funnel to the 550-600 yard range. That is the one area I’ll look to hone in on, as capitalizing on the Par-5 Scoring is crucial this week.
Twelve holes at TPC Deere Run have a scoring average under par. The easiest scoring opportunities lie on the three par 5s and three par 4s which play under 400 yards. Hole No. 2, the 561-yard par 5, is the easiest on the course. It averages more than a half stroke under par and yields a 4% eagle rate, one of the highest on TOUR. Over the years, TPC Deere Run has annually ranked top five on the PGA TOUR in Birdie Rate. The winning score has pushed beyond -20 in nine of the last 12 years. I expect we’ll see another winning score beyond -20.
Traits And Recent Notable Facts
TPC Deere Run’s best defense may actually be the field itself. If all the top players in the world came here annually, I would expect winning scores to commonly fall in the mid-twenties under par. Average scoring on both the par 3s and par 4s has been amongst the easiest on TOUR, with the par 5s also producing more scoring than average.
Although the fairways measure wider than TOUR average (between 36 to 40 yards), and players annually hit them well over 70% of the time (about 5-6% higher than TOUR average), misses incur steep penalties. With four-inch Kentucky bluegrass rough, Deere Run ranks top five among most difficult courses to play out of the rough. Similarly, the rough around the greens will require some touch to navigate. We’ve seen SG: ARG correlate strongly with success at the John Deere Classic, an unusual trait for a birdie-fest event. Any bogeys on the card can really derail a player’s round.
With greens of over 5,500 square feet on average, players have also reached in regulation at a high clip. They have had an easier time holing putts here than the average PGA TOUR course across both long and short ranges. The absence of resistance to hit both fairways and greens in regulation opens the course up to more randomness. Less of a premium exists on the ball-striking categories. But with such a high volume of birdies needed, it’s still a week you’ll want to align on the top ball strikers.
TPC DEERE RUN COURSE SPECS
- Yards: 7,268
- Par: 71 (4x 3s / 11x 4s / 3x 5s)
- Greens: Bent (Fast)
- Average Green Size: 5,500 sq. ft. (Above-average)
- Average Fairways Width: 37 yards (Above-average)
- Rough: 4″ Kentucky Bluegrass (Thick)
- Architect: D.D. Weibring
- Historic Cut Line: -3
- Comp Courses: TPC River Highlands, Detroit Golf Club, Sedgefield CC, TPC Twin Cities, TPC Craig Ranch, Oakdale G&CC, CC of Jackson, Pebble Beach GL
- Hole-by-hole Breakdown:
John Deere Classic betting history
When looking through the John Deere Classic winners over the last ten years, there is a solid trend of winners from the mid-range of the odds board, as four of the last five winners have posted in the 50-1 to 90-1 range pre-tournament. Given the lack of elite names at the top of the board and depth of talent at the bottom, it’s a good opportunity to bet the mid-range when considering 2023 John Deere Classic odds.
The below table tracks consensus pre-tournament outright odds for the last ten winners of the John Deere Classic.
| Year | Winner | Pre-Tournament Odds | Winning Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Sepp Straka | +6000 | -21 |
| 2022 | JT Poston | +8000 | -21 |
| 2021 | Lucas Glover | +5000 | -19 |
| 2020 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2019 | Dylan Frittelli | +9000 | -21 |
| 2018 | Michael Kim | +30000 | -27 |
| 2017 | Bryson DeChambeau | +5000 | -18 |
| 2016 | Ryan Moore | +2500 | -22 |
| 2015 | Jordan Spieth | +400 | -22 |
| 2014 | Brian Harman | +12500 | -20 |
| 2013 | Jordan Spieth | +4000 | -22 |
How to bet on the John Deere Classic
Betting on the 2023 John Deere Classic is simple. Go to one of the top sportsbooks like Caesars, BetMGM, DraftKings, or FanDuel to get started. There you will find tabs, usually in the left-hand column of the site, of all the current golf tournaments under the category of “golf.”
Markets that will be available for the John Deere Classic include outright winner, top 5, top 10, and top 20 finish. You can also bet head-to-head matchups, round leaders, and props. Props may include markets like “Top USA player” and “Top European player.”