The 2024 Presidential race is down to two candidates in Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. Kamala odds currently show her at -139 to win the US Presidency. That is a 58% chance to become the first female President in US history. Below is more about Kamala Harris’ chances of winning the US Presidency.
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Kamala odds
Updated Kamala odds have her at -139 to become US President. Kamala Harris odds changed abruptly on July 21 when incumbent US President Joe Biden declared that he would not re-seek the office.
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Below is a chart which shows how US Presidential lines have changed. This election cycle has had massive swings.
| NAME | ODDS | PROBABILITY | CHANGE | ||
 |
Kamala Harris | -127 | 56% | ||
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Donald Trump | +108 | 48% | ||
 |
Gavin Newsom | +9900 | 1% | ||
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Joe Biden | +9900 | 1% | ||
 |
Nikki Haley | +9900 | 1% | ||
 |
Pete Buttigieg | +9900 | 1% | ||
 |
Robert Kennedy Jr. | +9900 | 1% | ||
 |
Ron DeSantis | +9900 | 1% | ||
 |
Tim Scott | +9900 | 1% | ||
 |
Vivek Ramaswamy | +9900 | 1% | ||
Implied probabilities are calculated using data offered by PredictIt.
Last Updated: 2024-10-04 10:00:02 PDT.
Trump peaked with a 69% chance of winning back on July 16. That came three days after the assassination attempt in Butler, Pennsylvania.
The former California Attorney General’s odds began to climb in late June after Biden had a poor performance against Trump in a debate. Rumors began circulating that the Democratic Party was urging Biden to drop out of the race. Gavin Newsom was another candidate thought to be in consideration to replace Biden but the Dems ultimately backed the Vice President. Biden endorsed Harris himself on July 21 after stepping out of the race.
Kamala Harris President odds
Kamala had a 27% chance of winning the Presidency the day before Biden dropped out of the race. Just one week later, Harris had a 50% chance of winning and Trump’s odds were falling.
Kamala Harris President odds peaked at 60% on Monday, August 12.
Key dates
There are important dates coming up for both Harris and Trump. The Vice President and former President are set to meet in a debate on September 10. One or two more debates between Kamala and Trump could take place between now and the Election but none other have been confirmed yet.
Election Day in the US is Tuesday, November 5.