California Gov. Gavin Newsom is one of the rising stars in the Democratic party. The 56-year-old from San Francisco has around +614 odds to win the Presidency in 2024. Newsom has a 14% chance to win, currently, and is the likely choice to replace Biden for the Democrats if the party changes course in the coming weeks. View updated Gavin Newsom odds to win the Presidency below.
Gavin Newsom odds
Here are the latest Gavin Newsom US Presidential Election odds.
| NAME | ODDS | PROBABILITY | CHANGE | ||
 |
Kamala Harris | -127 | 56% | ||
 |
Donald Trump | +117 | 46% | ||
 |
Gavin Newsom | +9900 | 1% | ||
 |
Joe Biden | +9900 | 1% | ||
 |
Nikki Haley | +9900 | 1% | ||
 |
Pete Buttigieg | +9900 | 1% | ||
 |
Robert Kennedy Jr. | +9900 | 1% | ||
 |
Ron DeSantis | +9900 | 1% | ||
 |
Tim Scott | +9900 | 1% | ||
 |
Vivek Ramaswamy | +9900 | 1% | ||
Implied probabilities are calculated using data offered by PredictIt.
Last Updated: 2024-09-13 03:00:02 PDT.
Newsom election odds updates
Newsom has not formally announced he is running for President in 2024, yet he has a 14% probability of winning, according to PredictIt. If Biden reverses course in the coming months and says he will not run in 2024, Newsom is widely viewed as the person who will step to the plate for the Democrats.
Newsom told FOX News earlier this year that he is supporting Biden in seeking a second term.
“I’m rooting for our President and I have great confidence in his leadership,” Newsom said last year.
The incumbent California Governor has been making his way onto national platforms in recent months, which has sparked speculation that he is on deck for the Democrats. Newsom held a debate on FOX News with Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis in late November 2023 and has been a regular on national political talk shows. Even if Newsom does not run in 2024, he is widely expected to put his name in the hat for 2028.
Of note, Newsom’s polling numbers as Governor in the state of California tumbled late in 2023. In February 2023, Newsom had a 55% approval rating among California voters in a UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies poll. That number dipped to 44% in October 2023.
| Candidate | Presidential odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | -149 | 60% |
| Joe Biden | +245 | 29% |
| Gavin Newsom | +614 | 14% |
| Kamala Harris | +1329 | 7% |
| Robert Kennedy Jr. | +2400 | 4% |
| Michelle Obama | +9900 | 1% |
| Nikki Haley | +9900 | 1% |
| Ron DeSantis | +9900 | 1% |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | +9900 | 1% |
| Pete Buttigieg | +9900 | 1% |
| Tim Scott | +9900 | 1% |
2024 Presidential Dates and Key Information
- Election Date: November 5, 2024
- Democratic Primary Candidate: To Be Determined (Likely Joe Biden)
- Republican Primary Candidate: To Be Determined (Likely Donald Trump)
2024 Election Swing States
- Arizona (Biden +0.3% in 2020)
- Florida (Trump +3.3%)
- Georgia (Biden +0.2%)
- Michigan (Biden +2.8%)
- Pennsylvania (Biden +1.1%)
- Texas (Trump +5.6%)
- Wisconsin (Biden +0.6%)
Gavin Newsom Democratic Nominee odds
Here are the latest odds for the Democratic nomination for President in 2024.
| Candidate | Presidential odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | -149 | 60% |
| Joe Biden | +245 | 29% |
| Gavin Newsom | +614 | 14% |
| Kamala Harris | +1329 | 7% |
| Robert Kennedy Jr. | +2400 | 4% |
| Michelle Obama | +9900 | 1% |
| Nikki Haley | +9900 | 1% |
| Ron DeSantis | +9900 | 1% |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | +9900 | 1% |
| Pete Buttigieg | +9900 | 1% |
| Tim Scott | +9900 | 1% |
FAQ
No, you cannot legally bet on the 2024 Presidential Election in the US.
Joe Biden is currently the Democratic Presidential nominee favorite.
Joe Biden and Donald Trump are currently the co-favorites to win the 2024 Presidential Election.
No, you cannot legally bet on Gavin Newsom odds in the US.