Despite losing the 2020 Presidential election and facing four indictments, Donald Trump is the leading Republican candidate in 2024 US Election Odds. Based on the latest odds and polling, primary voters look set to make Donald Trump their nominee for the third time. Trump’s odds are currently -500 to win the Republican Primary and +156 to win the Presidential election.
Take a look below at Donald Trump’s presidential odds, including where he stands against other Republican candidates as well as Democrat Joe Biden.
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Donald Trump Presidential Odds
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Implied probabilities are calculated using data offered by PredictIt.
Last Updated: 2023-11-29 09:00:02 PDT.
Donald Trump Election Odds SHifts
Trump’s choice to run for president in 2024 makes his candidacy fairly historic. No President who lost his re-election has offered his candidacy a 3rd time since the 1800s. Over the last month, Trump’s implied probability of winning the election has hovered just under 40%.
In October 2020, some election markets gave Biden a 9 in 10 chance of winning, but bettors backed Trump. United Kingdom operator Paddy Power reported Trump had the biggest number of bets and the highest volume, 67% and 80%, respectively. He may continue to be an unpredictable betting figure heading into this election as well.
Trump is once again up against Joe Biden, who faces questions about his age and his mental fortitude and who has bad ratings on the economy. A neutral Republican candidate would likely be favored against Biden and his 40% approval rating.
While Donald Trump will need to work to gain the support of fellow Republicans to win the primary, he is still one of the favorites when it comes to the 2024 Presidential Election odds. He is currently ahead of other top Republican candidates to win the Republican Primary, based on the latest Ron DeSantis odds and Nikki Haley odds.
Trump Republican Primary Odds
The following odds are from Ontario sportsbooks, where it is legal to wager on the election.
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2024 Presidential Election Odds
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Updated Odds After Republican Debate
Since the second GOP debate, Trump has only solidified his lead, despite not being at the debates. None of the other GOP candidates managed to break through in his absence. Nikki Haley has moved ahead of Vivek Ramaswamy for the role of “best of the rest,” as it were, but Trump remains the solid favorite.
There are several other candidates for President in the 2024 race. View betting information on several of them below.
- Joe Biden Presidential odds
- Nikki Haley Presidential odds
- Vivek Ramaswamy Presidential odds
- Ron DeSantis Presidential odds
2024 Presidential Dates and Key Information
- Election Date: November 5, 2024
- Democratic Primary Candidate: To Be Determined (Likely Joe Biden)
- Republican Primary Candidate: To Be Determined (Likely Donald Trump)
2024 Election Swing States
- Arizona (Biden +0.3% in 2020)
- Florida (Trump +3.3%)
- Georgia (Biden +0.2%)
- Michigan (Biden +2.8%)
- Pennsylvania (Biden +1.1%)
- Texas (Trump +5.6%)
- Wisconsin (Biden +0.6%)
It is illegal to bet on the election in the US. Markets such as Ontario and the UK allow betting on elections.
Donald Trump is the favorite to win the Republican Primary.
Currently, Joe Biden is the betting favorite to win the election.
You cannot legally bet on Donald Trump odds in the United States.