Georgia (-160) and Michigan (+300) lead odds boards for the National Championship and head most power rankings. Ohio State (+1400), TCU (+1400), and USC (+1400) follow after Michigan beat Ohio State in Week 13. Alabama is the lone team outside this group that the market believes has a shot at winning the title. These numbers may further sort themselves out during conference championship week. The final four teams for the College Football Playoff are announced Dec. 4.
View college football National Title odds for the 2022 – 2023 season below. Find writeups on contending teams and college football betting tips as well.
College football National Title odds
Here is a look at college football National Title odds for the 2022 – 2023 season.
And here are how CFB National title odds are changing. This table will be updated throughout the course of this season.
|College Football Team||College Football National Title odds: July 29||College Football National Title odds: September 8||College Football National Title odds: October 6||College Football National Title odds: November 6|
|North Carolina State||+12000||+12000||+30000|
Georgia (): Georgia is exactly who we expected them to be– the nation’s most dominant team. They’ve disposed of top-10 teams like Oregon and Tennessee with room to spare and are favorites to win their first SEC title since 2017. They’re a lock for the CFP and likely as the top seed.
Michigan (): The Michigan Wolverines are legitimate once again despite naysayers. Jim Harbaugh notched his second consecutive win over Ohio State– a feat not done in 20 years. With the win, Michigan locked in their Big Ten Championship spot as well as a likely CFP berth, win or lose in Indianapolis.
TCU (): Who saw 12-0 coming for TCU? The Horned Frogs look to continue their unbeaten record in the Big 12 Championship game– their first since their co-title in 2014 (note: the Big 12 didn’t host a championship game then). Max Duggan is a legit Heisman contender and TCU is a near-lock for the playoff.
USC (): With just one loss to a top-10 team on the road, USC looks to be a strong favorite to make the CFP. However, they face that team that beat them earlier in the season, Utah, in the Pac-12 Championship. That game becomes a de facto Playoff game for USC– win and in, but lose and they fall even further than just a Rose Bowl bid.
Ohio State (): Ohio State was a favorite all season long to win the title until they were soundly beaten by arch-rival Michigan at home in Week 13. Now, they’re on the outside looking in to the CFP. While the market indicates their chances aren’t cooked yet, it’ll take some movement ahead of them to get the Buckeyes back in.
Strategy For Betting Longshots
Rather than listing multiple teams, it’s best to share helpful criteria and hints for looking at longshots. While college football is dominated by the biggest programs (above), we’ve seen longshots make their way into the CFP lately (2019 LSU, 2021 Michigan and Cincinnati).
What those teams had were a combination of returning talent, coaching, and a schedule favorable for the Playoff, not necessarily for an easy 12-0. Look for:
- Strong out-of-conference slate
- A returning QB who was good, maybe not great
- Coaching continuity– you rarely see first year coaches in the Playoff
Teams like Tennessee (), Notre Dame (), and Texas () have difficult schedules per ESPN’s FPI. Should any of those teams sweep their non-conference schedule, they’ll be in the title conversation early.
Others like NC State () and Utah () fit the second two points, but lack the OOC schedule to really command title considerations early on.
Be wary of popular public picks like USC (who is one of the most-bet teams this offseason), especially with big-name brands going through rebuilds.
Basics of NCAA football futures
Sports betting is legal in many US States, with more legislation moving towards legalization every day. There are several sportsbooks with user-friendly apps that are available to serve as a platform for betting on NCAA futures.
When a sport is in season, the “Futures” tab can usually be found next to the game lines. But if you want to bet on the CFP before the season starts, most books will bring you right to the Futures section.
The odds for each team are primarily indicated in two ways. Most books will list a team as a +200 favorite, indicating that a $100 bet on that team to win the national title will pay out $200 if successful.
Some books list those odds as 2/1, but the math is the same. Those books will use those odds as fractions as well. As an example, a team listed as an 11/2 favorite to win the title would pay out 5.5x the investment. That same multiplier would be listed as +550 under the other format.
These odds can change throughout the season and even during the preseason if any news surfaces about injuries, transfers, or scandals related to the athletic department or coaching staff of a program.
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History and favorites
Due to the top-heavy recruiting system in place for college football programs, it is extremely rare for an unknown team to win the national title.
But Ohio State was the fourth-ranked team in the field of four when it won the 2014 CFP title.
There is some value to be found if you’re willing to bet against the consensus favorites, which are currently Clemson and Alabama. There is also value if you find the right sportsbook on which to take one of those favorites, so be sure to shop around for the best odds at online books.
When it comes time to bet the actual matchup in the College Football Playoff title game, keep in mind that the underdog had won or covered the spread in all five championships until LSU’s convincing victory in 2020. Also, five of those six title games have gone over the assigned point total.
Best college football betting odds, sites
Frequently Asked Questions
Where can I bet on the College Football Playoff in the US?
Sports betting is legal and live at New York sportsbooks, Nevada sportsbooks, Delaware sportsbooks, New Jersey Sportsbooks, Mississippi sportsbooks, West Virginia sportsbooks, Pennsylvania sportsbooks, New York sportsbooks, Iowa sportsbooks, Arkansas sportsbooks, Colorado sportsbooks, Michigan sportsbooks, Illinois sportsbooks, Tennessee sportsbooks and Rhode Island sportsbooks. Several other states have legislation in the works or are moving towards legalizing sports gambling.
When is the 2022 – 2023 College Football Playoff and National Title game?
The College Football Playoff is scheduled to begin on Dec. 31, 2022 with two national semifinals (Fiesta Bowl and Peach Bowl). The CFP National Championship is scheduled for Jan. 9, 2023 at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California. Selection Sunday is scheduled for the Sunday before the beginning of Bowl Season annually, with the first CFP rankings released in mid-November.