Sean McDermott and the Buffalo Bills clinched a division crown for the first time since 1995, as well as a spot in the AFC Championship Game. Star quarterback Josh Allen put together a season worthy of MVP consideration and found instant chemistry with newly-acquired receiver Stefon Diggs. They were looking like serious contenders all season long and were on the verge of securing their first Super Bowl berth since 1993 until they were upended by the Kansas City Chiefs. With such a young talented corps on their roster, it won’t be the last time the Bills find themselves making a playoff run.
Some role players’ contracts will have to be retooled this offseason and the only major name– Matt Milano– was signed to a contract extension early. Offensive coordinator Brian Daboll was rumored to be leaving Buffalo to take a head coaching position, but he will ultimately stay put. 2021 remains a crucial offseason and the 2021-22 season presents another opportunity for the Bills to make a run.
In the meantime, Bills fans can celebrate their most successful season in almost 30 years– they earned it.
Buffalo Bills Week 1 odds
The Buffalo Bills open their 2021 season at home against the Pittsburgh Steelers. This is a matchup the Bills won last year, handing Pittsburgh its second loss of the year. Defensively, the Bills shut down the Steelers’ offense, especially on the ground, where they amassed just 47 team rushing yards. Meanwhile, Stefon Diggs torched the Steelers’ secondary for 130 yards. Buffalo opened as 6.5-point favorites (now ).
It was truly a breakout season for Josh Allen and the Bills in 2020, where Allen posted MVP-worthy numbers and Buffalo found themselves in the AFC Championship for the first time since 1994. Buffalo finished tied for the best record against the spread in the NFL (11-5) and third against the over (10-5-1). Their offseason was largely quiet, with the biggest signing for Buffalo being Emmanuel Sanders, who will see breaks as the defense focuses on Diggs. The bottom line for this game: don’t fix what ain’t broke.
Though some early money has gone to the Steelers, don’t expect oddsmakers to move too far off the opening line of Bills -6.5.
Buffalo Bills futures odds
Futures are long-term bets that can range from an offseason to a full season (or beyond). Team win totals, award winners, and player performance are common futures.
Bills Super Bowl odds and other futures markets 2021
- Odds to win Super Bowl: +1300
- To win AFC: +625
- To win AFC East: -150
- Make playoffs: -375
- Bills win total: 11 (-110)
Odds last updated July 12
Bills prop bets
Prop bets are based on individual performance, typically surrounding players. For example, Josh Allen’s projected passing total against the Denver Broncos in Week 15 of the 2020 season was set at 268.5 yards. If a bettor expected Allen to throw for 269 or more yards, they would bet the over while those who expected Allen to throw for 268 or fewer yards would bet the under. Allen threw for 353 yards that game, giving over bettors the win.
Search below for Buffalo Bills odds, team or player props currently being offered at sportsbooks. You can also look around at other teams and players using this tool. Happy shopping!
Buffalo Bills schedule and odds
Here is the Buffalo Bills 2021 schedule, along with betting odds from DraftKings Sportsbook.
|Week||Date||Opponent||Kickoff Time||Opening Line|
|Week 1||Sunday, Sept. 12||vs. Pittsburgh Steelers||1 p.m. ET||Bills -4.5|
|Week 2||Sunday, Sept. 19||at Miami Dolphins||1 p.m. ET||OTB|
|Week 3||Sunday, Sept. 26||vs. Washington Football Team||1 p.m. ET||OTB|
|Week 4||Sunday, Oct. 3||vs. Houston Texans||1 p.m. ET||OTB|
|Week 5||Sunday, Oct. 10||at Kansas City Chiefs||8:20 p.m. ET||OTB|
|Week 6||Monday, Oct. 18||at Tennessee Titans||8:15 p.m. ET||OTB|
|Week 8||Sunday, Oct. 31||vs. Miami Dolphins||1 p.m. ET||OTB|
|Week 9||Sunday, Nov. 7||at Jacksonville Jaguars||1 p.m. ET||OTB|
|Week 10||Sunday, Nov. 14||at New York Jets||1 p.m. ET||OTB|
|Week 11||Sunday, Nov. 21||vs. Indianapolis Colts||1 p.m. ET||OTB|
|Week 12||Thursday, Nov. 25||at New Orleans Saints||8:20 p.m. ET||OTB|
|Week 13||Monday, Dec. 6||vs. New England Patriots||8:15 p.m. ET||OTB|
|Week 14||Sunday, Dec. 12||at Tampa Bay Buccaneers||4:25 p.m. ET||OTB|
|Week 15||Dec. 18 or Dec. 19 (Sat/Sun)||vs. Carolina Panthers||TBA||OTB|
|Week 16||Sunday, Dec. 26||at New England Patriots||1 p.m. ET||OTB|
|Week 17||Sunday, Jan. 2||vs. Atlanta Falcons||1 p.m. ET||OTB|
|Week 18||Sunday, Jan. 9||vs. New York Jets||1 p.m. ET||OTB|
Best Bills betting site(s)
How to bet on the Buffalo Bills
The moneyline is the simplest of bets, decided by the straight-up winner and loser of each game. Consider the following example:
- Bills -105
- Steelers +130
The Bills are considered slight favorites in this matchup (indicated by -105), requiring a $105 bet to win $100 (plus the initial bet back). The Steelers are the underdog in this matchup, paying out $130 total for a $100 bet ($130 in winnings). How much either team wins or loses by does not matter in moneyline betting, the payout remains the same.
Betting on the point spread is determinant on how many points a team wins or loses by. Take the following example:
- Bills -2.5 (-110)
- Dolphins +2.5 (-110)
In this example, Buffalo is favored by 2.5 points, indicated by “-2.5.” If the Bills win the game 23-20, the Bills (-2.5) win the bet and would have a total payout of $19.09 on a $10 bet ($9.09 in profit). If the Dolphins keep the game within three and lose 24-23, the Dolphins (+2.5) would win, and the payout would be the same as listed above.
Point total (over/under)
The point total refers to the over/under line set by books. This number projects the total number of points scored in a game and, like prop betting, is bet whether one thinks the score will go over or under the set point total. For example, a game between the Patriots and Bills had a point total set at 52.5 points. Buffalo win the ballgame 38-9, which resulted in 47 total points. Those who bet the under in this game would cash out.
The expectation for the Bills’ explosive offense should nudge point totals near or above 50 points, though their talented defense might keep those totals perfectly average in the NFL this coming season.
In-play and live betting
Sometimes, the most thrilling and rewarding bets are bets made while games are being played. These are referred to as live bets or in-play bets. Odds are ever-changing during games, which would prove to be fruitful for sharp and prepared bettors. For example, if the Bills (-225) were heavily favored against the Panthers (+190) before kickoff, a payout on a $10 bet on the Bills to win would win just $4.44.
However, say the Bills fell to a big 17-3 deficit in the first half despite controlling the overall game (due to a costly turnover or special teams gaffe). Odds may swing in favor of the Panthers, who may be a -110 favorite at halftime. Taking the Bills to come back and win the game could present plus-odds (say, +130). Should a bettor take Buffalo (+130) at halftime and the Bills pull off the comeback, winners would win $13 instead of $4.44 (plus the initial $10 bet).
This could also be an effective way to “hedge” your bet; say a bettor took the Panthers (+190) in that game, but Buffalo jumps out to a 10-0 first quarter lead and is controlling the overall feel of the game, bettors could hedge by throwing some money down on Buffalo (-270) to return some of the inevitably-lost bet.
Parlays and teasers
You can always string bets together in the form of parlays or teasers. Usually during busy Sundays, bettors can parlay several teams to win or cover against the spread and if all bets are successful, the payouts are multiplied. Teasers function similarly, except they allow bettors to move each point spread to a more favorable line in exchange for diminished odds.
Bills 2020 recap
Record ATS: 11-5
Over/under record: 10-5-1
Buffalo quickly became the favorite Cinderella team in the AFC. Josh Allen made one of the biggest single-season improvements of any quarterback, increasing his completion percentage nearly 10 points. Newly-added Stefon Diggs (acquired from the Vikings in an offseason trade) torched secondaries for the NFL receiving crown in 2020-21. Even longtime veteran Cole Beasley had somewhat of a breakout season, nearly breaking the 1,000-yard mark for the first time in his career (he finished with 967 yards). The Bills finished third in points scored per game (29.9), though the defense took a significant step back from 2019. Their 13-3 record is the franchise’s best since 1991 and ties their highest-ever regular season win total.
11-5 was tied for the league lead in record against the spread (with Miami) as the Bills routinely defied expectations. Their offense was explosive even against some of the NFL’s best defenses– scoring 35 on the Rams in Week 3 (second in points per game allowed) and 59 on the Dolphins in Week 17 (fourth). The Bills were able to outpace almost anyone, which resulted in such a high ATS mark as well as against the point total. Their 10-5-1 record against the point total was good enough for fourth in the NFL.
Bills 2021 offseason moves
- Trades: None
- Re-signings: C Mitch Morse (four years, $44.5 million), S Micah Hyde (two years, $19.3 million), G Jon Feliciano (three years, $17 million), LB Matt Milano (four years, $44 million)
- Free agent losses: None
- Free agent signings: WR Emmanuel Sanders (one year)
- Draft picks: EDGE Gregory Rousseau, EDGE Carlos Basham Jr., WR Marquez Stevenson