Atlanta Falcons Betting Guide

Odds, Schedule And Predictions

The Atlanta Falcons’ 2020 season was defined by firing Dan Quinn and having a losing season. The bright spot: the Falcons hold a top-five draft pick and a great, young head coaching candidate in Raheem Morris. At the fourth spot, the Falcons have an interesting choice to make. Matt Ryan is aging and is a distant image of his MVP self– does Atlanta pull the trigger on a quarterback? They’re also running out of running back options after benching Todd Gurley in favor of Ito Smith late in the year. The defense needs the most attention and Morris is a defensive head coach.

Four of six defensive backs to see significant time this season are due to hit free agency, as is captain center Alex Mack. One thing is certain– the Falcons will have high turnover this offseason. The final piece for Atlanta this season is a new general manager. Longtime GM Thomas Dimitroff was dismissed with Quinn earlier this season.

Atlanta Falcons odds

 

Falcons futures odds

Falcons Super Bowl odds

The Falcons have been eliminated from NFC Playoff contention.

NFC South odds

The Atlanta Falcons have been eliminated from NFC South contention.

Falcons schedule and odds: 2020

Week DateTimeOpponentOpening spread
Week 1Sunday, Sept. 131:00 p.m. ETvs. SeattleSeahawks -1
Week 2Sunday, Sept. 201:00 p.m. ETat DallasCowboys -7
Week 3Sunday, Sept. 271:00 p.m. ETvs. ChicagoFalcons -1.5
Week 4Monday, Oct. 58:15 p.m. ETat Green BayPackers -4
Week 5Sunday, Oct. 11 1:00 p.m. ETvs. CarolinaFalcons -7
Week 6Sunday, Oct. 181:00 p.m. ETat MinnesotaVikings -3.5
Week 7Sunday, Oct. 251:00 p.m. ETvs. DetroitFalcons -6
Week 8Thursday, Oct. 298:20 p.m. ETat CarolinaFalcons -3.5
Week 9Sunday, Nov. 81:00 p.m. ETvs. DenverFalcons -2
Week 10Sunday, Nov. 15BYE
Week 11Sunday, Nov. 221:00 p.m. ETat New OrleansSaints -8
Week 12Sunday, Nov. 291:00 p.m. ETvs. Las VegasFalcons -2
Week 13Sunday, Dec. 61:00 p.m. ETvs. New OrleansSaints -4.5
Week 14Sunday, Dec. 134:25 p.m. ETat LA ChargersChargers -0.5
Week 15Sunday, Dec. 201:00 p.m. ETvs. Tampa BayBuccaneers -3
Week 16Sunday, Dec. 271:00 p.m. ETat Kansas CityN/A
Week 17Sunday, Jan. 31:00 p.m. ETat Tampa BayN/A

How to bet on the Atlanta Falcons

It’s important to have a firm grasp of the most popular betting terms and how the odds work before diving into the odds at the sportsbooks. Check out the main NFL bet types available at DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook.

Moneyline

Pick one of the two teams to win a game straight up with a simple moneyline bet. Odds most commonly range from -200 for favorites to +200 for underdogs, though those lines can extend in either direction for more lopsided matchups later in the season. A $10 bet on a -200 favorite would return a profit of $5, while the same bet on a +200 underdog fetches a return of $20.

Odds will be adjusted throughout the week of a game based on injuries or news pertaining to player usage. Public betting action also plays a large role in the odds as the books try to get equal action on both sides and may skew the odds more heavily toward a team with a larger fanbase.

Nearly all books will always present moneylines as a two-way line. A game ending in a tie results in a push with all bets on either side being refunded. Alternate lines can list overtime or a tie as a third potential outcome at much higher odds.

Spread

The spread is the place to turn in lopsided matchups where a favorite may not offer enough of a profit margin on the moneyline. A heavy mid-season favorite could be getting odds as low as -500. Deemed a chalk play, this would return a profit of just $2 on a $10 wager for the outright win.

Instead, bet the favorite against the spread. Lines are typically set at 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, or 7.5 to represent scoring margins of field goals or touchdowns and require teams to win by or lose by no more than a certain amount of points. Odds on either side of the line will usually be set equally at a price ranging from -120 to +120 for a profit of $8.33 or $12, respectively, on a $10 bet.

Example: The Falcons could be -450 favorites at home in a Week 13 matchup against the Panthers. With a $10 bet on the outright win for Atlanta returning a profit of just $2.22, it’s best to look at the spread. The Falcons would likely be listed at -7.5 with odds of -110 for them to win by 8 or more points. The Panthers would be +7.5 on the other side with the same -110 odds, and they’d need to stay within 7 points in a loss or win outright.

Total

Bet the Over or Under on a line projecting how many points the two teams will combine to score. Lines can range from the mid-30s to high-50s and hinge on health, the public draw of the matchup and the weekly TV time slot. A Sunday or Monday night game is likely to have a higher total due to more fans anticipating an offensive shootout. Thursday night games typically come with a lower total with teams on short practice weeks. A mid-week injury to a starting quarterback would likely cause the total to plummet.

Like with spreads, odds are conservatively set and are generally equal on both sides of the line. A push can occur when a line is bet down to a whole number such as 52 rather than 51.5 or 52.5. If the Falcons were to beat the Panthers 31-21, all bets on the total would be refunded.

Moneyline, spread, and total bets are available for a whole game, either half or each quarter. Alternate lines allow bettors to get higher, more profitable odds on a riskier spread or total, or to get a safer, more achievable line while sacrificing part of the profit margin.

Props

Get action on a game without really worrying about the end results via player or team props. Statistical production is measured as either an Over/Under or Yes/No bet and can ask how many yards or receptions certain receivers will record in a game, or whether a quarterback will throw a touchdown or interception.

Lines on player props such as these are conservative and can range from -130 to +130. Higher odds will exist for props with larger pools of possibilities such as which player will score the game’s first touchdown or set specific ranges for how many passing yards quarterbacks will record, or how many points either team will score.

Player props are a great way to get action on your favorite Falcons players without having to worry about how they’ll measure up against the team success of the Saints and Buccaneers.

Futures

Futures bets can be made a year or more in advance of the outcome being decided and focus on player awards, team win totals, division and conference standings, and which team will win the Super Bowl in a given year. With upward of 50 players and as many as all 32 teams being involved in the pools for many of these futures, odds can range from even money (+100) to as high as +30000 for a profit of $3,000 on a $10 bet.

The smaller the pool of possibilities, the lower the odds. Individual team win totals are expressed as Over/Under bets where the books will set a line for how many games a team is projected to win. These odds typically range from -120 to +120 and are usually equal on both sides.

Similar to in-game player props, bettors can also get action on the season statistics of their favorite players. Lines are set for stats such as yardage and touchdowns and expressed as Over/Under props.

Lines and odds will be adjusted throughout a season based on a player or team’s proximity to accomplishing the required feat or reaching a statistical milestone. Odds can hinge on betting action and are also prone to change according to the standings, league news, injuries or major trades.

Teasers

Teasers allow bettors to pool, or parlay, multiple bets from the same or different games together for a higher payout. “Buy” or “sell” points on a spread or total to make it a safer bet or to increase the odds for a greater reward. The more bets included in the parlay the more difficult it is to cash because each individual play needs to hit correctly.

In-play/live

The boom of mobile betting allows fans and bettors to get action on a game wherever they may be after the opening kickoff with in-play wagering. Lines and odds will continuously adjust after nearly every play and value can emerge if the pre-game favorite falls down a couple scores early on and suddenly becomes the underdog.

Totals will rise and fall based on how much scoring is going on and spreads will widen and close based on the size of leads, field position, and the most recent play. While the books are always quick to adjust odds based on big developments, there’s great value to be found when watching a game and knowing which team is truly outplaying the other.

Falcons 2019 year in review

The Falcons offense again struggled without former offensive coordinator – and current San Francisco 49ers head coach – Kyle Shanahan. Dirk Koetter reprised his role of the 2012-14 seasons, replacing Steve Sarkisian after just one year. As a result, the Falcons ranked just 13th in points per game at 23.8 and only the New York Jets (78.6) and Miami Dolphins (72.3) averaged fewer rushing yards per game than the Falcons’ 85.1.

QB Matt Ryan led the league with 408 pass completions in just 15 games, and he threw for more than 4,000 yards for the ninth straight season. Wide receiver Julio Jones finished with 1,394 receiving yards and six touchdowns. Sophomore WR Calvin Ridley took another step forward with 866 yards and seven touchdowns across 13 games.

The Falcons were a disaster on defense while dealing with multiple injuries, particularly to S Keanu Neal for the second year in a row. Only nine teams allowed more points per game than Atlanta’s 24.9. Only three teams recorded fewer sacks than the Falcons’ 28, and the Dirty Birds finished with a minus-5 turnover differential on the season.

Atlanta finished 8-8 against the spread. It lost by an average of 1.1 PPG but covered by an average of 1.1 points. The Falcons went 4-4 ATS both at home and on the road. They were 7-9 against the Over/Under on the season while falling an average of 0.8 PPG shy of the projected point totals. The highlight of the season was a 26-9 road win over the rival Saints in which the Falcons won outright as 13.5-point underdogs.

Falcons 2020 offseason moves

Key trades: Acquired TE Hayden Hurst and 2020 fourth-round pick from BAL for 2020 second- and fifth-round picks.

Key re-signings: PK Younghoe Koo (one year, $750K), CB Blidi Wreh-Wilson (one year, $1.2 million), S Sharrod Neasman (one year, $950K), DT Tyeler Davison (three years, $12 million)

Key free agent losses: TE Austin Hooper (to CLE), DE Vic Beasley (to TEN), RB Devonta Freeman (released, still FA), CB Desmond Trufant (released, to DET), LB De’Vondre Campbell (to ARI)

Key free agent signings: LB Dante Fowler Jr. (three years, $45 million), RB Todd Gurley (one year, $5.5 million), WR Laquon Treadwell (one year, $910K), G Justin McCray (one year, $1.1 million), LB LaRoy Reynolds (one year, $1.1 million)

The Falcons cleared some much-needed cap space with the releases of Freeman and Trufant. Hooper and Beasley were allowed to leave via free agency while Hurst and Fowler were brought in as replacements. Gurley was signed to a low-risk deal following his release from the Los Angeles Rams and stands to upgrade the Falcons’ poor backfield production of last season.