The Atlanta Falcons put their ugly 2020 season behind them with new head coach Arthur Smith (formerly the Titans’ offensive coordinator), a slew of new positional coaches, and a high draft position. With the fourth overall pick, the Falcons passed on quarterbacks for stud pass catcher Kyle Pitts, making him the highest-ever drafted tight end. It’s clear Smith is comfortable rolling with Matt Ryan for at least one more year and he’s proven to make the most out of his tight ends.
It’s clear Atlanta needs to clean up defensively and their secondary was a clear focus in free agency. The running back room was cleared and replaced with Mike Davis, who had a terrific season in Carolina while standing in for an injured Christian McCaffrey. The Falcons need to get off to a faster start than in recent years past if they want to compete for a playoff position, but optimism remains low. Smith now has the keys and is putting the Falcons rebuild into motion.
Atlanta Falcons Week 1 odds
Arthur Smith begins his tenure as Falcons head coach against the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 1 following Atlanta’s worst finish since 2013 (4-12). The Eagles are presumably moving forward with quarterback Jalen Hurts after shipping disgruntled Carson Wentz to the Colts this past offseason. The Falcons were hurt by mobile quarterbacks in 2020, allowing 344 rushing yards (ninth-most) and six rushing touchdowns (tied for fifth-most) to them. Despite passing inefficiencies, Hurts amassed 277 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns in just four starts for the Eagles at the end of 2020.
Atlanta () opened as a 3.5-point favorite at home against Philly. Kyle Pitts became the highest drafted tight end in NFL history this past offseason and is expected to play a major role in Smith’s offense. Under Smith in 2020, Jonnu Smith posted career numbers with the Titans, including eight receiving touchdowns (fifth among tight ends). The Eagles allowed nine receiving touchdowns to tight ends in 2020, tied for seventh-most.
Atlanta Falcons futures odds
Falcons Super Bowl odds and other futures markets 2021
- Odds to win Super Bowl: +12500
- To win NFC: +6000
- To win NFC South: +900
- Make playoffs: +240
- Falcons win total: 7.5 (-110)
Odds last updated July 12
Falcons prop bets
Prop bets are based on individual performance, typically surrounding players. Calvin Ridley was a player that was expected to have a breakout year in 2020, which he did. Ridley was a popular player for prop betting last season; for example, his projected receiving total in Atlanta’s Week 3 matchup with the Chicago Bears was 82.5 yards. Ridley went off for 109 receiving yards that week, giving those who bet over his receiving prop a win.
Search below for Atlanta Falcons team or player props currently being offered at sportsbooks. You can also look around at other teams and players using this tool. Happy shopping!
Atlanta Falcons 2021 schedule and betting odds
|Week||Date||Opponent||Kickoff Time||Opening Line|
|Week 1||Sunday, Sept. 12||vs Philadelphia Eagles||1:00 p.m. ET||Falcons -3.5|
|Week 2||Sunday, Sept. 19||at Tampa Bay Buccaneers||4:05 p.m. ET||Buccaneers -7.5|
|Week 3||Sunday, Sept. 26||at New York Giants||1:00 p.m. ET||OTB|
|Week 4||Sunday, Oct. 3||vs Washington Football Team||1:00 p.m. ET||OTB|
|Week 5||Sunday, Oct. 10||vs New York Jets||9:30 a.m. ET||OTB|
|Week 6||Sunday, Oct. 17||BYE||N/A||N/A|
|Week 7||Sunday, Oct. 24||at Miami Dolphins||1:00 p.m. ET||OTB|
|Week 8||Sunday, Oct. 31||vs Carolina Panthers||1:00 p.m. ET||OTB|
|Week 9||Sunday, Nov. 7||at New Orleans Saints||1:00 p.m. ET||OTB|
|Week 10||Sunday, Nov. 14||at Dallas Cowboys||1:00 p.m. ET||OTB|
|Week 11||Thursday, Nov. 18||vs New England Patriots||8:20 p.m. ET||OTB|
|Week 12||Sunday, Nov. 28||at Jacksonville Jaguars||1:00 p.m. ET||OTB|
|Week 13||Sunday, Dec. 5||vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers||1:00 p.m. ET||OTB|
|Week 14||Sunday, Dec. 12||at Carolina Panthers||1:00 p.m. ET||OTB|
|Week 15||Sunday, Dec. 19||at San Francisco 49ers||4:05 p.m. ET||OTB|
|Week 16||Sunday, Dec. 26||vs Detroit Lions||1:00 p.m. ET||OTB|
|Week 17||Sunday, Jan. 2||at Buffalo Bills||1:00 p.m. ET||OTB|
|Week 18||Sunday, Jan. 9||vs New Orleans Saints||1:00 p.m. ET||OTB|
Best Falcons betting site(s)
How to bet on the Atlanta Falcons
The moneyline is the simplest of bets, decided by the straight-up winner and loser of each game. Consider the following example:
- Falcons +185
- Packers -240
The Falcons are heavy underdogs in this matchup, paying out $285 total for a $100 bet ($185 in winnings). The Packers are considered heavy favorites in this matchup (indicated by -240), requiring a $240 bet to win $100 (plus the initial bet back). How much either team wins or loses by does not matter in moneyline betting, the payout remains the same.
Betting on the point spread is determinant on how many points a team wins or loses by. Take the following example:
- Falcons -2.5 (-110)
- Cardinals +2.5 (-110)
In this example, Atlanta is favored by 2.5 points, indicated by “-2.5.” If the Falcons win the game 41-35, the Falcons (-2.5) win the bet and would have a total payout of $19.09 on a $10 bet ($9.09 in profit). If the Cardinals keep the game within three and lose 41-39, the Cardinals (+2.5) would win, and the payout would be the same as listed above.
Point total (over/under)
The point total refers to the over/under line set by books. This number projects the total number of points scored in a game and, like prop betting, is bet whether one thinks the score will go over or under the set point total. For example, the Falcons’ Week 16 matchup with the Kansas City Chiefs had a projected point total of 53.5 points. The Falcons came up just short, 17-14, resulting in just 31 combined points. Those who bet under the point total would have cashed out that week.
Atlanta opened the season with one of the worst scoring defenses in the NFL and a potent offense, resulting in point totals over league average. However, under the new direction of interim coach Raheem Morris, the Falcons sured up their defense, resulting in a midseason drop in their over/unders.
In-play and live betting
Sometimes, the most thrilling and rewarding bets are bets made while games are being played. These are referred to as live bets or in-play bets. Odds are ever-changing during games, which would prove to be fruitful for sharp and prepared bettors. For example, if the Falcons (-110) were heavily favored against the Bengals (+120) before kickoff, a payout on a $10 bet on the Falcons to win would win $9.09.
However, say the Falcons fell to a big 24-6 deficit in the first half despite controlling the overall game (due to a costly turnover or special teams gaffe). Odds may swing in favor of the Bengals, who may be a -125 favorite at halftime. Taking the Falcons to come back and win the game could present plus-odds (say, +130). Should a bettor take Atlanta (+130) at halftime and the Falcons pull off the comeback, winners would win $13 instead of $9.09 (plus the initial $10 bet).
This could also be an effective way to “hedge” your bet; say a bettor took the Bengals (+190) in that game, but Atlanta jumps out to a 14-0 first quarter lead and is controlling the overall feel of the game, bettors could hedge by throwing some money down on Atlanta (-230) to return some of the inevitably-lost bet.
Parlays and teasers
You can always string bets together in the form of parlays or teasers. Usually during busy Sundays, bettors can parlay several teams to win or cover against the spread and if all bets are successful, the payouts are multiplied. Teasers function similarly, except they allow bettors to move each point spread to a more favorable line in exchange for diminished odds.
Falcons 2020 recap
Record ATS: 7-9
Over/under record: 7-9
It was really the tale of two seasons for the Falcons– the first five weeks under Dan Quinn resulted in an 0-5 record (1-4 against the spread) and a defense that bleeds points. After Raheem Morris took over, Atlanta garnered a 6-5 record against the spread and turned their defense into a top-10 one. Offensively, the team lost their footing and the Falcons ultimately fell into a top-five draft position. The difference between the Quinn-led team and the Morris-led team resulted in varying point totals and point spreads.
Falcons 2021 offseason moves
Re-signings: EDGE Donte Fowler (three years, $45 million), Tyeler Davison (three years, $12 million), K Younghoe Koo (one year, $1 million)
Free agent losses: C Alex Mack (to 49ers), S Keanu Neal (to Cowboys), WR Julio Jones (traded to Titans), S Riccardo Allen (to Bengals)
Free agent signings: S Erik Harris (one year, $1.4 million), S Duron Harmon (one year, $1.2 million), RB Mike Davis (two years, $5.5 million)
Draft picks: TE Kyle Pitts, S Richie Grant, OT Jaylen Mayfield, CB Darren Hall