The Atlanta Falcons put their ugly 2020 season behind them with new head coach Arthur Smith (formerly the Titans’ offensive coordinator), a slew of new positional coaches, and a high draft position. At the fourth spot, the Falcons have an interesting choice to make. Matt Ryan is aging and is a distant image of his MVP self– does Atlanta pull the trigger on a quarterback? They’re also running out of running back options after benching Todd Gurley in favor of Ito Smith late in the year.
Four of six defensive backs to see significant time this season are due to hit free agency, and captain center Alex Mack left for San Francisco. Another major piece for Atlanta this season was the hiring of Terry Fontenot as their general manager– someone who’s been in the NFC South for years (came from New Orleans, previously Tampa Bay). While the free agency period was largely quiet for the Falcons, the hypotheses on what they will do with the fourth overall pick has not been quiet. Will they go with their quarterback of the future? Add future superstar Kyle Pitts? Or go with a foundational piece like Penei Sewell or Micah Parsons?
It’s clear Atlanta wants to move in a new direction and they have plenty of moves ahead of them.
Atlanta Falcons odds
Best Falcons betting site(s)
Falcons prop bets
Prop bets are based on individual performance, typically surrounding players. Calvin Ridley was a player that was expected to have a breakout year in 2020, which he did. Ridley was a popular player for prop betting last season; for example, his projected receiving total in Atlanta’s Week 3 matchup with the Chicago Bears was 82.5 yards. Ridley went off for 109 receiving yards that week, giving those who bet over his receiving prop a win.
Search below for Atlanta Falcons team or player props currently being offered at sportsbooks. You can also look around at other teams and players using this tool. Happy shopping!
Falcons futures odds
Futures are long-term bets that can range from an offseason to a full season (or beyond). Team win totals, award winners, and player performance are common futures. For example:
2020 Odds to win NFL OROY
- Joe Burrow +220
- Tua Tagovailoa +290
- Clyde Edwards-Helarie +500
- Justin Herbert +1200
This line for the Offensive Rookie of the Year would often be bet before the season starts. Futures allow for bettors to capitalize on players they think are favorites to win awards long before the odds shift away from their favor. For example, Herbert opened with odds of +1200 to win the OROY award after the NFL Draft; his odds shifted and he eventually won the award in December.
Falcons Super Bowl LVI odds
The Atlanta Falcons opened with +5000 odds to win Super Bowl LVI. Those odds are comparable to the Cardinals, Raiders, and Bears.
Falcons NFC South odds
The Atlanta Falcons were eliminated from NFC South contention in 2020.
Falcons win totals
7 wins (-143 over)/(+118 under)
What the Falcons do with their fourth overall pick could weigh on their projected win total. However, under new head coach Arthur Smith, Atlanta’s direction is muddy.
Atlanta Falcons 2021 schedule and betting odds
Check back for the complete Falcons 2021 schedule along with the opening spreads for every game.
How to bet on the Atlanta Falcons
The moneyline is the simplest of bets, decided by the straight-up winner and loser of each game. Consider the following example:
- Falcons +185
- Packers -240
The Falcons are heavy underdogs in this matchup, paying out $285 total for a $100 bet ($185 in winnings). The Packers are considered heavy favorites in this matchup (indicated by -240), requiring a $240 bet to win $100 (plus the initial bet back). How much either team wins or loses by does not matter in moneyline betting, the payout remains the same.
Betting on the point spread is determinant on how many points a team wins or loses by. Take the following example:
- Falcons -2.5 (-110)
- Cardinals +2.5 (-110)
In this example, Atlanta is favored by 2.5 points, indicated by “-2.5.” If the Falcons win the game 41-35, the Falcons (-2.5) win the bet and would have a total payout of $19.09 on a $10 bet ($9.09 in profit). If the Cardinals keep the game within three and lose 41-39, the Cardinals (+2.5) would win, and the payout would be the same as listed above.
Point total (over/under)
The point total refers to the over/under line set by books. This number projects the total number of points scored in a game and, like prop betting, is bet whether one thinks the score will go over or under the set point total. For example, the Falcons’ Week 16 matchup with the Kansas City Chiefs had a projected point total of 53.5 points. The Falcons came up just short, 17-14, resulting in just 31 combined points. Those who bet under the point total would have cashed out that week.
Atlanta opened the season with one of the worst scoring defenses in the NFL and a potent offense, resulting in point totals over league average. However, under the new direction of interim coach Raheem Morris, the Falcons sured up their defense, resulting in a midseason drop in their over/unders.
Sometimes, the most thrilling and rewarding bets are bets made while games are being played. These are referred to as live bets or in-play bets. Odds are ever-changing during games, which would prove to be fruitful for sharp and prepared bettors. For example, if the Falcons (-110) were heavily favored against the Bengals (+120) before kickoff, a payout on a $10 bet on the Falcons to win would win $9.09.
However, say the Falcons fell to a big 24-6 deficit in the first half despite controlling the overall game (due to a costly turnover or special teams gaffe). Odds may swing in favor of the Bengals, who may be a -125 favorite at halftime. Taking the Falcons to come back and win the game could present plus-odds (say, +130). Should a bettor take Atlanta (+130) at halftime and the Falcons pull off the comeback, winners would win $13 instead of $9.09 (plus the initial $10 bet).
This could also be an effective way to “hedge” your bet; say a bettor took the Bengals (+190) in that game, but Atlanta jumps out to a 14-0 first quarter lead and is controlling the overall feel of the game, bettors could hedge by throwing some money down on Atlanta (-230) to return some of the inevitably-lost bet.
You can always string bets together in the form of parlays or teasers. Usually during busy Sundays, bettors can parlay several teams to win or cover against the spread and if all bets are successful, the payouts are multiplied. Teasers function similarly, except they allow bettors to move each point spread to a more favorable line in exchange for diminished odds.
Falcons 2020 recap
Record ATS: 7-9
Over/under record: 7-9
It was really the tale of two seasons for the Falcons– the first five weeks under Dan Quinn resulted in an 0-5 record (1-4 against the spread) and a defense that bleeds points. After Raheem Morris took over, Atlanta garnered a 6-5 record against the spread and turned their defense into a top-10 one. Offensively, the team lost their footing and the Falcons ultimately fell into a top-five draft position. The difference between the Quinn-led team and the Morris-led team resulted in varying point totals and point spreads.
Falcons 2021 offseason moves
Key re-signings: EDGE Donte Fowler (three years, $45 million), Tyeler Davison (three years, $12 million), K Younghoe Koo (one year, $1 million)
Key free agent losses: C Alex Mack (to 49ers), S Keanu Neal (to Cowboys)
Key free agent signings: S Erik Harris (one year, $1.4 million)
Draft pick position needs: EDGE, TE, LB, OT