NFL Playoff Odds: Wild Card Bubble Teams, Biggest Games For Week 14

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Written By Mo Nuwwarah | Last Updated
bengals player props

With more than half of the season in the books, it’s time for fans and bettors to start sweating their teams’ chance of making the playoffs. What do the sportsbook odds on making the NFL playoffs have to say about the current picture?

The Steelers could have gone up multiple games on the playoff hopefuls but took a crucial loss in Week 13. Meanwhile, the Texans earned a huge win, as did the Falcons, Packers, and Rams in the NFC. Suddenly, the wild card race has tightened up hugely compared to a couple of weeks back.

Week 14 doesn’t have a ton of playoff leverage, but the Bengals and Colts play a big one in the AFC. Meanwhile, the Jags and Browns also have an important clash, but one with obvious injuries hanging over things.

Let’s look at NFL playoff odds for teams on and around the bubble and highlight a few games that will move the needle this week.

NFL Team Odds To Make The Playoffs

Click the dropdown menu in the top left of the table below to pull up odds to make the NFL playoffs for any team, then click those odds to make a wager from among the best sports betting sites.

Current Seeding: Odds To Make NFL Playoffs

TeamNo-Vig OddsDVOA OddsCurrent Best Price
AFC Playoff Picture
4. Jacksonville Jaguars (8-4)91.5%86.4%
5. Pittsburgh Steelers (7-5)56.6%56.9%
6. Cleveland Browns (7-5)58.6%67.8%
7. Indianapolis Colts (7-5)62.6%62.9%
8. Houston Texans (7-5)74.5%76%
9. Denver Broncos (6-6)21.4%13.6%
10. Cincinnati Bengals (6-6)OTB12.8%
11. Buffalo Bills (6-6)20.8%12.4%
NFC Playoff Picture
4. Atlanta Falcons (6-6)64.2%55%
5. Dallas Cowboys (9-3)OTB99.9%OTB
6. Minnesota Vikings (6-6)53.7%47.7%
7. Green Bay Packers (6-6)64.7%76.1%
8. L.A. Rams (6-6)36.2%32.4%
9. Seattle Seahawks (6-6)31.8%26.1%
10. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-7)29.6%31.8%
11. New Orleans Saints (5-7)30.1%27.6%

*No-vig odds via BetMGM

Three Week 14 Games That Will Swing NFL Playoff Chances

Colts At Bengals

  • Colts current seed: 7th
  • Bengals current seed: 10th

The Colts just keep churning out wins, pulling one out in Week 13 on the strength of late special teams plays. They remain in playoff position with what amounts to a series of coin flips on the schedule, but they’ve finally done enough to move into favorites territory. Week 18 with Houston looms large, but they have to get there first. Losing this one would allow the Bengals to tie them up in the record column while also having the tiebreak.

Cincinnati has improbably remained afloat with a huge upset win over the Jaguars, and they officially have a pulse in the playoff race again. If Jake Browning can continue doing a Joe Burrow impression, this team could spring more upsets. They’ll need to as they could be underdogs in every game down the stretch. With a brutal 2-6 conference record and a tough schedule, it’s going to be a tough ask. So, winning a home game against a middle-of-the-pack opponent is close to a must.

Colts Upcoming Schedule

Houston Texans 10 – 7 – 0 Week 1: Sep. 8, 2024
Green Bay Packers 9 – 8 – 0 Week 2: Sep. 15, 2024
Chicago Bears 7 – 10 – 0 Week 3: Sep. 22, 2024

Jaguars At Browns

  • Jaguars current seed: 4th
  • Browns current seed: 6th

Could the Jaguars actually miss the playoffs? The market is still close to saying “no way,” but the door has opened a crack after losing as huge favorites. And, potentially, more importantly, losing QB Trevor Lawrence for an indeterminate period. The market has flipped from field goal favorites to dogs presuming the luscious-locked star will sit in this one. Depending on other results, a loss here may leave the Jags in a multi-way tie and needing more wins just to stay solidly in.

Cleveland got good news and bad news in Week 13. On the negative side, they took an ugly loss as the Rams ran away from them late. On the bright side, Joe Flacco moved the football and may be able to serve as the caretaker the offense needs while the defense does the heavy lifting. That assumes, of course, that the defense can get healthy and return to elite play. The Browns have been dealt a possible gift with a CJ Beathard start. They’d do well to take advantage, or tiebreakers could determine their fate. Games against the Texans and Bengals could figure in there.

Browns Upcoming Schedule

Dallas Cowboys 12 – 5 – 0 Week 1: Sep. 8, 2024
Jacksonville Jaguars 9 – 8 – 0 Week 2: Sep. 15, 2024
New York Giants 6 – 11 – 0 Week 3: Sep. 22, 2024

Buccaneers At Falcons

  • Buccaneers current seed: 10th
  • Falcons current seed: 4th

Tampa Bay’s hopes remain alive, but they really need this game, as much to bring Atlanta down a notch as to get a win themselves. A loss here would leave them effectively three games back (two games plus the tiebreak) of the Falcons and with almost no hope of the wild card. If a Week 14 game can be classified as “must-win” then this one is it for Tampa Bay.

Atlanta, meanwhile, has a small amount of breathing room with a one-game lead and a sterling 3-0 division record. But, a loss here would drop them into a tie with the Bucs and probably a three-way tie, assuming the Saints take care of business against Carolina. At either point, the tiebreaking starts to get messy, with at least third-order tiebreak coming into play head-to-head. The Falcons are in a good position, and a win here could leave them as massive divisional favorites if the Saints falter.

Buccaneers Upcoming Schedule

Washington Commanders 4 – 13 – 0 Week 1: Sep. 8, 2024
Detroit Lions 12 – 5 – 0 Week 2: Sep. 15, 2024
Denver Broncos 8 – 9 – 0 Week 3: Sep. 22, 2024

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