A pair of the league’s best scorers face off when Nikola Jokic (12th, 24.3 PPG) and the Denver Nuggets (5-6) host Stephen Curry (fourth, 27.8 PPG) and the Golden State Warriors (6-5) on Thursday, January 14, 2021 at 10:00 PM ET on TNT. The Nuggets are favorites. The point total is set at for the matchup.
The betting insights in this article reflect odds data from William Hill Sportsbook as of January 13, 2021, 9:55 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds.
Nuggets vs Warriors Betting Odds
Nuggets vs Warriors Props
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Injury Report as of January 14
Nuggets:
Gary Harris: Day To Day (Personal),
Greg Whittington: Out (Left Knee),
Michael Porter Jr.: Out (Health and Safety Protocols)
Warriors:
Alen Smailagic: Out (Knee),
Klay Thompson: Out For Season (Right Achilles),
Marquese Chriss: Out For Season (Leg)
Nuggets and Warriors Records ATS
- Denver’s record against the spread is 5-6 this season.
- Denver and its opponents have outscored the set over/under in 100% of its games this season (11/11).
- Over the course of this season, Golden State has come up with a balanced record of 5-5-1 ATS.
- Golden State and its opponents have regularly hit the over this season, doing so in 100% (11) of its 11 games played.
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Head to Head
In their last meeting, the Warriors defeated the Nuggets 116-100. Will Barton led the Nuggets with 18 points, and Andrew Wiggins paced the Warriors with 22. The Warriors covered the spread as 16-point underdogs, and the teams put up a total of 216 total points to fall short of the 218.5-point over/under.
| Date | Favorite | Home Team | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Game Type | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/3/2020 | Nuggets | Nuggets | -16 | 218.5 | -1763 | 992 | Regular Season | 116-100 GS* |
| 1/16/2020 | Nuggets | Warriors | -3.5 | 213 | -173 | 144 | Regular Season | 134-131 DEN* |
| 4/2/2019 | – | Warriors | – | – | – | – | Regular Season | 116-102 GS |
| 3/8/2019 | – | Warriors | – | – | – | – | Regular Season | 122-105 GS |
| 1/15/2019 | – | Nuggets | – | – | – | – | Regular Season | 142-111 GS |
| 10/21/2018 | – | Nuggets | – | – | – | – | Regular Season | 100-98 DEN |
| 2/3/2018 | – | Nuggets | – | – | – | – | Regular Season | 115-108 DEN |
| 1/8/2018 | – | Warriors | – | – | – | – | Regular Season | 124-114 GS |
| 12/23/2017 | – | Warriors | – | – | – | – | Regular Season | 96-81 DEN |
| 11/4/2017 | – | Nuggets | – | – | – | – | Regular Season | 127-108 GS |
- 3/3/2020 DNP – Warriors: Stephen Curry
- 1/16/2020 DNP – Nuggets: Jamal Murray, Paul Millsap; Warriors: Stephen Curry
Scoring Trends
- Denver’s games this season have gone over the point total for Thursday’s matchup point total (229 points) in 263.6% of opportunities (29 out of 11 matchups).
- In four out of Golden State’s 11 games this season (36.4%), the competing teams combined for a higher point total than the total in Thursday’s matchup.
- On average, the Nuggets have seen a 230.1 over/under in their games this season, 1.1 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
- The over/under for this contest is 1.5 points more than the average over/under in Warriors’ games this season (227.5 points).
- The Nuggets have an average implied point total of 29.4 this season, which is 87.6 points lower than their implied total in Thursday’s game (117).
- So far this season, Denver has scored more than its implied point total for this matchup (117) 26 times.
- The 29.8-point average implied total on the season for the Warriors is 82.2 fewer points than the team’s 112-point implied total in this matchup.
- This season, Golden State has scored more than this game’s implied total of 112 points five times.
- The Nuggets are the NBA’s fifth-highest scoring team (116.5 PPG), while the Warriors allow their opponents the 25th-fewest points per game (115.5) in the league.
- The Nuggets have put up a total of 31 more points than their opponents this year (an average of 2.9 per game), while the Warriors have been out-scored by opponents on average this year (by 38 total points, -3.5 per game).
Nuggets Leaders
- The Nuggets points, rebounds and assists leader is Jokic. He scores 24.3 points per game and adds 11.0 rebounds and 10.5 assists.
- Jokic’s rebounding prop over/under for the game is set at 9.5 boards, 1.5 rebounds less than his season average of 11.0.
- The Nuggets are led by Jamal Murray from long distance. He makes 2.4 shots from deep per game.
- Murray’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 2.5, 0.1 shots greater than his season average of 2.4.
- Denver’s blocks leader is Isaiah Hartenstein, who records 0.9 per game. Jokic leads the team averaging 1.8 steals a game.
- Jokic’s steals prop over/under for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.3 steals lower than his season average of 1.8.
Warriors Leaders
- Curry owns the Warriors top spot in scoring with 27.8 points per game and also tacks on 5.1 rebounds and 6.4 assists per contest.
- Curry’s points prop total for the game is set at 26.5, 1.3 points lower than his season average of 27.8.
- The Golden State leaders in rebounds and assists are James Wiseman (6.3 rebounds per game) and Draymond Green (6.6 assists per game).
- Green’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 17.5, 1.4 higher than his season average of 16.1.
- Curry leads the Warriors in shooting from beyond the arc, averaging 4.1 made threes per game.
- Curry’s three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 3.5, 0.6 shots lower than his season average of 4.1.
- Nobody on Golden State grabs more steals than Green (1.3 per game) or blocks more shots than Wiggins (1.8 per game).
- Wiggins’ blocks prop over/under for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.3 blocks lower than his season average of 1.8.
Predictions
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