Nuggets vs Warriors: NBA Betting Lines, Odds and Trends – April 12, 2021

Posted By Staff on April 12, 2021 - Last Updated on April 13, 2021

The Golden State Warriors (25-28) host the Denver Nuggets (34-19) as  underdogs after Stephen Curry scored 38 points in the Warriors’ 125-109 victory over the Rockets. The matchup airs on ALT at 10:00 PM ET on Monday, April 12. The point total in the matchup is .

The betting insights in this article reflect odds data from DraftKings Sportsbook as of April 12, 2021, 6:40 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Nuggets vs Warriors Betting Odds

Nuggets vs Warriors Props

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Injury Report as of April 12

Nuggets:
Jamal Murray: Day To Day (Knee),
Shaquille Harrison: Day To Day (Health and Safety Protocols)

Warriors:
Klay Thompson: Out For Season (Right Achilles),
Eric Paschall: Out (Hip),
Kelly Oubre Jr.: Day To Day (Wrist),
James Wiseman: Out (Knee)

Nuggets and Warriors Records ATS

  • Denver has covered the spread in less than half its games this season, playing to a record of 26-27 against the spread.
  • When favored by at least 3.5 points, the Nuggets are 18-14 against the spread this season.
  • Denver and its opponents have hit the over in 30 of 53 games this season (56.6%).
  • Golden State holds a losing record ATS this season with 24 wins and 29 losses ATS.
  • As at least a 3.5-point underdog, the Warriors tend to cover the spread with a 9-6 record against the spread.
  • 29 of Golden State’s 53 games (54.7%) this season have fallen short of the over/under.

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Head to Head

The Nuggets got a team-high 23 points from Nikola Jokic on the way to a 114-104 win against Curry (35 points) and the Warriors in their most recent matchup on January 14, 2021. The Nuggets were 4.5-point favorites in the game and covered the spread in the win. The teams put up a total of 218 total points to go under the 226-point over/under.

Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Game Type Result
1/14/2021 Nuggets Nuggets -4.5 226 -196 162 Regular Season 114-104 DEN

Scoring Trends

  • In Denver’s matchups this season, the Nuggets and their opponents have exceeded Monday’s total of 229.5 points 21 times (39.6% of opportunities).
  • 19 Golden State games this year (35.8% of its matchups) finished with a final point total higher than Monday’s point total of 229.5 points.
  • The Nuggets have seen a 225 average over/under in their games this season, 4.5 points fewer than the over/under in this matchup.
  • A difference of 3.3 points separates this matchup’s over/under (229.5 points) and the average total points bet in Warriors’ games (226.2 points) this season.
  • The average implied total for the Nuggets this season is 114.6 points, 2.4 fewer points than their implied total of 117 points in Monday’s game.
  • Denver has outscored this matchup’s implied point total (117) 24 times.
  • The 116.7-point average implied total on the season for the Warriors is 3.7 more points than the team’s 113-point implied total in this matchup.
  • This season, Golden State has scored more than this game’s implied total of 113 points 25 times.
  • The Nuggets are the NBA’s fifth-highest scoring team (115.1 PPG), while the Warriors allow their opponents the 23rd-fewest points per game (114) in the league.
  • The Nuggets have put up a total of 269 more points than their opponents this year (an average of 5.1 per game), while the Warriors have been out-scored by opponents on average this year (by 94 total points, -1.8 per game).

Nuggets Leaders

  • Jokic leads the Nuggets in points, rebounds and assists. He scores 26.2 points per game while adding 10.9 rebounds and 8.8 assists.
  • Jokic’s assists prop over/under for the contest is posted at 7.5 assists, 1.3 assists lower than his season average of 8.8.
  • The Nuggets are led by Jamal Murray from long distance. He makes 2.7 shots from deep per game.
  • Murray’s three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 2.5, 0.2 shots lower than his season average of 2.7.
  • Denver’s steals leader is Jokic, who averages 1.5 per game. JaVale McGee leads the team averaging 1.2 blocks an outing.
  • Jokic’s steals prop total for the contest is set at 0.5, 1.0 steal lower than his season average of 1.5.

Warriors Leaders

  • Draymond Green averages 6.4 rebounds per game, 8.4 assists per game, and 6.3 points per game, putting him in the top spot on the Warriors in both rebounds and assists.
  • Green’s rebounding prop total for the matchup is set at 6.5 rebounds, 0.1 rebounds higher than his season average of 6.4.
  • Curry holds the title of Golden State’s top scorer by putting up 29.9 points per game.
  • Curry’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 56.5, 15.1 higher than his season average of 41.4.
  • Curry makes more threes per game than any other member of the Warriors, cashing in 4.8 treys per game.
  • Curry’s three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 6.5, 1.7 shots higher than his season average of 4.8.
  • Green is at the top of Golden State’s steals hierarchy with 1.5 steals per game and Andrew Wiggins leads the squad in blocks with 1.0 per game.
  • Wiggins’ blocks prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.5 blocks higher than his season average of 1.0.

Predictions

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