NL Cy Young Odds: Buy The Injury Dip On Dodgers Ace Tyler Glasnow?

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Written By Derek Wagner | Last Updated
nl cy young odds

With the All-Star break looming next week, NL Cy Young odds have Zack Wheeler and Chris Sale as the leaders. Meanwhile, Tyler Glasnow has hit the 15-day IL and has seen his price go as high as . Let’s dive into NL Cy Young Odds and see if Glasnow is worth a wager based on statistics and the latest news on when he may return.

NL CY YOUNG ODDS

Click on any of the NL Cy Young odds below to bet at the best sports betting sites.

Stats For NL Cy Young Favorites

Below is a table showing some of the top NL Cy Young candidates and key statistical categories. As you can see, Glasnow is comfortably in contention in all categories. He’ll get passed in innings pitched and strikeouts during his time on the IL, but the innings benchmark shouldn’t be much of a concern.

Last year’s NL Cy Young winner Blake Snell tallied 98 innings before the All-Star break and finished with 180 in total. It’s perfectly feasible to see Glasnow reach this mark in the second half of the season.

PitcherIP FanGraphs WARERA FIP Strikeouts
Zack Wheeler116.22.92.703.32126
Chris Sale1053.52.742.22136
Ranger Suarez1082.72.583.07106
Tyler Glasnow1093.03.472.78143

Why I Still bet Glasnow’s NL CY YOUNG ODDS

Over the weekend, Glasnow started experiencing back tightness during a throwing session, which in turn landed him on the 15-day IL beginning on Tuesday, July 8th. This marks his fifth trip to the IL in seven years in the MLB. Because of this, the 6-foot-8 right-hander has never thrown more than 120 innings in a season. For reference, he accomplished this feat just last season with the Rays.

This IL stint comes at an opportune moment for the burly starter, as the MLB All-Star break begins next week. Because of this, he shouldn’t miss as many starts as he normally would.

In his last two starts, he was shelled for 10 earned runs over nine innings of work, which saw his ERA blossom from 2.88 to 3.47. For reference, there were no signs of fatigue and no dip in fastball velocity or breaking ball spin. Dave Roberts said poorly executed pitches had become more common.

His recent struggles and previous injury could be a large reason for the IL stint. At 109 innings pitched already, it’s possible the Dodgers are playing it cautiously and are giving their ace an extended All-Star break to prepare him for a long second half. This especially bodes true if the Dodgers have any aspiration of catching the Phillies for the top spot in the National League.

final thoughts on glasnow

Glasnow’s recent outings are somewhat alarming, but this extended break could be just the thing he needs to get back on track and catapult back up the NL Cy Young odds board.

As of today, his expected ERA is the best in the National League. His FIP trails only Sale among the Cy Young favorites.

Early indications from Roberts and the Dodgers are that this injury isn’t serious, so this IL stint may only force him to miss two starts rather than three, thanks to the All-Star break. Buying the dip on Glasnow here makes some sense to try and take down Wheeler or Sale, especially if he comes out of the All-Star break on fire.

Best of luck betting NL CY Young Odds!

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