Panthers vs. Stars Prediction, Odds & Picks for Nov. 15: Stars Tame Panthers at Home

The Florida Panthers make the trip to the Lone Star State to face the Dallas Stars in an interconference battle Sunday night. We share our Panthers vs. Stars prediction, break down the odds, and offer our picks for the game.
Florida was in action Saturday night in the Gateway City as they faced the St. Louis Blues. The Panthers rallied to down the Detroit Red Wings 5-4 in their previous contest Thursday night. Dallas was in action at home against the Buffalo Sabres Saturday night. The Stars took an 8-3 beating at home by the Winnipeg Jets in their previous contest Thursday night. The Panthers own a 7-2-1 mark in the last 10 meetings between the teams. However, the Panthers took the last six matchups, including a 4-0 win on the road on December 13, 2025 in the most recent matchup.
Florida Panthers vs. Dallas Stars Odds
Florida went into Saturday’s road tilt with the Blues winners of two straight contests. The Panthers entered Saturday 11-7-2 on the season and stand fifth in the Atlantic Division standings. Meanwhile, they stand four points behind the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Montreal Canadiens for the top spot.
Dallas entered Saturday’s game with Buffalo 3-3-1 in their last seven games after getting drubbed at home by Winnipeg Thursday. The Stars were 10-6-2 on the season entering that contest. In addition, they entered Saturday fourth in the Central Division. They were 10 points behind the Minnesota Wild for first place in the division.
Let’s take a look at the latest odds for this contest, courtesy of Fanatics Sportsbook.
- Spread: Stars -1.5 (+175) / Panthers +1.5 (-220)
- Moneyline: Stars (-140) / Panthers (+115)
- Total (Over/Under): Over 5.5 (-125) / Under 5.5 (+105)
This game shows Dallas as a solid favorite in this interconference matchup of teams playing the second game of a back-to-back set. Florida entered Saturday night 6-5-2 on the road this season. Meanwhile, Dallas is 6-5-0 at home entering Saturday night. The Stars own a 58.33% implied probability to win this contest.
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- No Key Trends
The Panthers went into Saturday’s game winners of two straight as they rallied from three goals down to beat the Red Wings. Florida trailed 4-1 at the 12:08 mark of the second period before rallying. The Panthers scored the final four goals, including the winner with 2:40 remaining in regulation, to earn the win.
Anton Lundell (his fifth and sixth of the season) scored twice for Florida in the game. In addition, Sam Reinhart (his 11th), Gustav Forsling (his second) and Lars Eller (his third) found the back of the net for the Panthers. Akira Schmid made 24 saves for Florida, who owned a 29-28 edge in shots on goal, in the win.
The Panthers entered Saturday 28th in the league in goals per game with 2.53 per contest. Florida stands tied for 13th in goals against by allowing three goals per game last year. The Panthers are okay with the man advantage, ranking 12th in the league by converting 23.8% of their opportunities with the man advantage. Meanwhile, they are 4th in the league in penalty killing. The Panthers successfully navigate 86.3% of their shorthanded situations.
Jacob Markstrom (5-3-1, 2.56 GAA, .900 save percentage) started in goal Saturday night against the Blues. Meanwhile, that means Akira Schmid (6-3-1, 3.10 GAA, .883 save percentage) might be in net here.
Stars Betting Trends
- Under is 4-0 in Stars last 4 vs. a team with a winning record
Dallas went into Saturday night treading water in their last seven games. The Stars sought to put the bad taste of the Thursday beatdown by the Jets in the rearview mirror. Against Winnipeg, Dallas led 2-0 after the opening period. The Stars got goals from Arttu Hyry (his fifth) and Roope Hintz (his eighth) in the stanza. Meanwhile, David Perron (his first) gave Dallas a 3-2 lead midway through the second period.
The Stars gave up the final six goals from there for the loss. Jake Oettinger stopped 21 of 27 shots before getting the hook. Casey DeSmith stopped one of three shots in relief for the Stars. Dallas owned a 33-30 advantage in shots on goal in the loss.
Dallas stands 23rd in goals per game by averaging 2.83 goals per contest entering Saturday night’s action. The Stars are 5th in goals allowed by giving up an average of 2.61 goals per game this season. The Stars are 8th in the league with the man advantage as they convert 26.2% of their power play opportunities. Dallas is excellent in the penalty killing department, ranking 3rd as they successfully navigate 88.5% of their shorthanded situations.
Meanwhile, Jake Oettinger (9-4-1, 2.33 GAA, .895 save percentage, three shutouts) is the expected starter between the pipes for Dallas. If he doesn’t go, Casey DeSmith (1-2-1, 2.70 GAA, .894 save percentage) would be in net for the Stars.
Panthers vs. Stars Prediction: Stars -140
While both teams are playing the second game of a back-to-back situation here, the Stars have no travel involved. Meanwhile, the Panthers play in St. Louis Saturday and then have to fly into Dallas for this contest. After the nationwide ground stop instituted by the FAA Friday, I’m sure that the thought process that something like that could impede travel may be in the back of some players’ minds. DeSmith was slated to start for the Stars Saturday, which places Oettinger as the likely starter here.
The lack of travel helps Dallas, even with their mediocre home mark. Oettinger leads the league in shutouts to this point of the year. The Stars are the better team defensively and that may well prove to be the difference. Florida hasn’t been as explosive as one would have thought given their offensive weaponry. Look for Oettinger to back the Stars to a low-scoring, 3-2 type of victory here.
More Panthers vs. Stars Picks, Props and Best Bets
- Carter Verhaeghe, Panthers Over 0.5 Points: -128, FanDuel Verhaeghe is playing solid hockey of late for the Panthers. He has 10 goals and 10 assists for 20 points on the season. In addition, he has 45 shots on goal and 110 shot attempts in 20 games this season.In his last 10 games, Verhaeghe has four goals and eight assists for 12 points. He’s logged 27 shots on goal in that stretch. In addition, Verhaeghe has at least one point in eight of the Panthers’ last nine games. With the way he’s clicking of late, look for Verhaeghe to pick up a point in this contest.
- Brady Tkachuk, Panthers Over 3.5 Shots: +142, FanDuel Tkachuk has 10 goals and 11 assists for 21 points for the Panthers entering Saturday night. He has three goals and seven assists for 10 points in his last 10 games. In addition, he fired 37 shots on goal in those contests. For the season, Tkachuk has 72 shots on goal and 129 shot attempts. That gives him an average of 3.6 shots on goal per contest and 6.45 shot attempts a night. He’s been aggressive offensively of late. Expect that trend to continue as he fires his share of rubber on net in this contest.
- Jason Robertson, Stars Anytime Goal Scorer: +145, FanDuel Jason Robertson is an anchor for the Stars offensively. He’s scored 40 or more goals three times in the last five seasons. This year, he has nine goals and 12 assists for 21 points in Dallas’ first 18 games entering Saturday night.Robertson has 57 shots on goal and 104 shot attempts on the season. In his last 10 games, he has six goals and seven assists for 13 points. In addition, Robertson recorded 31 shots on goal in that span. He’s a worthwhile player to take a shot on to dent the twine here.
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- Date: Sunday, November 15, 2026
- Start Time: 8 pm ET
- Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas, Texas
- TV and Streaming Options: NHL Network