Kings vs. Avalanche Prediction, Odds & Props for Sept. 30: Avalanche Buries Kings
The Los Angeles Kings make the trip to Beantown to face the Colorado Avalanche in a Western Conference matchup to open the season Wednesday night. We share our Kings vs. Avalanche prediction, break down the odds, and offer our picks for the game.
Los Angeles finished fourth in the Pacific Division in 2025-26. They earned the second wild card spot but were swept by the Avalanche in the opening round. Colorado won the Pacific Division and finished with the league’s best record last season. After sweeping the Kings and dropping the Wild in five games, the wheels fell off for the Avalanche Their season came to an end with a sweep in the Western Conference Finals at the hands of the Vegas Golden Knights. The Avalanche have won nine of the last 10 meetings between the teams. That includes a 5-1 road win in the most recent matchup on April 26, 2026.
Los Angeles Kings vs. Colorado Avalanche Odds
Last season was a battle for the Kings. They finished the season 35-27-20 for 90 points. That left them in fourth in the Pacific Division. They earned the final playoff spot in the Western Conference. However, that earned them a date with the Avalanche in the opening round, and they were swept in four games.
Colorado went 55-16-11 to finish with 121 points in the 2025-26 season. The Avalanche finished first in the Central Division and earned the top overall seed in the Western Conference. They swept the Kings in the opening round. That was followed by a five-game elimination of the Minnesota Wild in the second round. Colorado ran out of steam after that as they were swept by Vegas in the Western Conference Finals.
Let’s take a look at the latest odds for this contest, courtesy of Fanatics Sportsbook.
- Spread: Avalanche -1.5 (+135) / Kings +1.5 (-165)
- Moneyline: Avalanche (-190) / Kings (+155)
- Total (Over/Under): Over 6.5 (+110) / Under 6.5 (-135)
This game shows the hosts as a fairly solid favorite in the contest. Colorado won nine of the last 10 meetings between the teams and swept the Kings in the playoffs last season. One thing the Kings have a difficult time with is contending with the speed of Colorado. In addition, the Avalanche were better on both ends of the ice last season. The Avalanche own a commanding 65.52% implied probability to win this contest.
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- No Key Trends
The Kings added some pieces to try and improve their offense in the offseason. They added Corey Perry (Lightning), Erik Haula (Predators) and Mats Zuccarello (Wild) to their forward group. That came after trading for Scott Laughton and Artemi Panarin last season ahead of the trade deadline. Los Angeles’ biggest loss was Andrei Kuzmenko, who signed a one-year deal with the Penguins.
The Kings finished the 2025-26 campaign just 29th in the league in goals per game with 2.68 per contest. Los Angeles finished tied for 7th in goals against by allowing 2.90 goals per game last year. The Kings were abysmal with the man advantage, ranking 28th in the league by converting 17% of their opportunities with the man advantage. Meanwhile, they were 30th in the league in penalty killing. The Kings successfully navigated 74.6% of their shorthanded situations.
In addition, Darcy Kuemper (19-14-15, 2.78 GAA, .891 save percentage, three shutouts in 50 starts in 2025-26) gets the start in goal for the Kings.
Avalanche Betting Trends
- Over is 7-1 in Avalanche last 8 overall
- Over is 7-1 in Avalanche last 8 vs. Western Conference teams
- Over is 7-1 in Avalanche last 8 games as a favorite
The Avalanche will look a fair amount like the same team that we saw last season. Their biggest move was acquiring Jaden Schwartz via free agency from the Seattle Kraken. None of their losses were anything significant and the team worked out a new deal to keep Cale Makar in the fold for the foreseeable future.
Colorado was a good offensive team last season. The Avalanche finished the year 1st in goals per game by averaging 3.63 goals per contest. Colorado was 1st in goals allowed by giving up an average of 2.40 goals per game in 2025-26. The Avalanche were 27th in the league with the man advantage as they converted 17.1% of their power play opportunities. Colorado excelled in the penalty killing department, finishing 1st as they successfully navigated 84.6% of their shorthanded situations.
Meanwhile, Scott Wedgewood (31-6-6, 2.02 GAA, .921 save percentage, four shutouts in 45 appearances, 43 starts) is the expected starter between the pipes for Colorado. Watch for updates in case they roll with Mackenzie Blackwood (23-10-2, 2.51 GAA, .904 save percentage, three shutouts in 39 appearacnes, 36 starts) between the pipes.
Kings vs. Avalanche Prediction: Over 6.5 (+110)
We saw the Kings struggle to light the lamp last season. Meanwhile, Colorado was the number one team in the league in both goals for and goals against per game. The Avalanche is loaded with weapons and they can score seemingly at will. Los Angeles hopes that they improve offensively under coach Peter Laviolette after being defensively minded under Jim Hiller. The Kings had their issues slowing Colorado last season. Colorado averages 3.8 goals per game in the last 10 meetings between the teams. Look for them to score at least four goals, if not five, to help this one over the number.
More Kings vs. Avalanche Picks, Props and Best Bets
- Nathan MacKinnon, Avalanche Anytime Goal Scorer: FanDuel, +115 – We know how dangerous MacKinnon is from anywhere on the ice. He won the Rocket Richard Trophy last year as he tallied 53 goals to go with 74 assists for 127 points. That marked his second career 50-goal campaign. MacKinnon averages better than a point a game (14 goals, 27 assists in 36 career games) against the Kings. In addition, he had two goals and two assists in the four-game sweep of the Kings in the postseason. He starts the year with a goal.
- Adrian Kempe, Kings Over 2.5 Shots: FanDuel, -135 Kempe has been a bastion of consistency the last several years for the Kings. He has played at least 77 games in five straight seasons. In addition, he tallied at least 35 goals in four of those five years while he put up 28 in the other season. His 226 shots on goal in 81 games last season were actually his lowest total in the last five years. He should get a fair amount of rubber on net in this contest.
- Cale Makar, Avalanche Over 2.5 Shots on Goal: FanDuel, -115 We talked about the big contract Makar signed in the offseason. This is his first chance to show that he’s worth every penny Colorado is shelling out. He finished last season with 20 goals and 59 assists for 79 points last season. In addition, he had a staggering 546 shot attempts (7.28 per game) last year. Sure, there were only 199 shots on goal but that’s nearly 2.67 per game. Look for him to tee up shots from the point again here.
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- Date: Wednesday, September 30, 2026
- Start Time: 10 pm ET
- Location: Ball Arena, Denver, Colorado
- TV and Streaming Options: TNT, TruTV
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