TNF Week 4 NFL Parlay Picks & Player Props: Best Bets for Steelers vs. Browns

On Thursday night, in an AFC North battle between two 2-1 teams, the Cleveland Browns host the Pittsburgh Steelers. Here you can find value TNF Week 3 NFL parlay picks and player props for this early-season division matchup.
FanDuel Sportsbook has the Steelers as the slight favorite at -2.5 with a total of 38.5 points.
Both teams moved to 2-1 with wins in their last game: the Steelers beat the Cincinnati Bengals 30-27, and the Browns beat the Carolina Panthers 21-18.
TNF Week 3 NFL Parlay Picks
Let’s start with some parlays for the TNF game: a couple of two-leg parlays and one three-leg.
Steelers vs. Browns TNF Parlay #1 – Rodgers Does It Again
- Aaron Rodgers Over 212.5 passing yards – Rodgers passed for a season-high 292 yards last week and has passed for Over 212.5 yards in two of three games this season. He will do so again against a Cleveland pass defense that ranks only 18th in the league.
- DeSean Watson Over 187.5 passing yards – Watson only passed for 144 yards last week, but in the first two games he passed for over 200 yards. While Pittsburgh ranks a respectable eighth in the league in pass defense, they gave up 269 passing yards last week.
The odds for this parlay are +255, so a $100 bet would pay $355, for a $255 profit.
TNF Parlay: Rodgers to have Over 212.5 passing yards and Watson to have over 187.5 passing yards - (+255, FanDuel)
If you want a full break down of parlay bets then check out our parlay betting guide.
Steelers vs. Browns TNF Parlay #2 – Skill Players Go Over
- Denzel Boston 50+ receiving yards (+150) – Browns rookie WR Boston leads the team with 195 receiving yards and has over 50 yards in two of three games this season.
- Jaylen Warren 75+ rushing yards (-105) – Warren rushed for a season-high 127 yards in the last game, and the Steelers will get him his touches in the backfield in this game facing a Browns’ run defense that only ranks 23rd in the league.
The odds for this parlay are +388, so a $100 bet would pay $488, for a $388 profit.
TNF Parlay: Boston 50+ receiving yards and Warren 75+ rushing yards- (+388, BetMGM)
while early in the season the top US sportsbooks have the latest Super Bowl odds.
Steelers vs. Browns TNF Parlay #3 – Pittsburgh to Cover in Low Scoring Affair
- Steelers to cover at +2.5 – Aaron Rodgers is coming off his best game of the season, and while 2-1, the Browns have not played good teams in the wins and in the one loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars; they were smoked, losing 34-10.
- Under 38.5 points – Last season the total went Under in both of the games between these teams in two very low-scoring contests. This season, the Browns rank tied for 24th in scoring (18 ppg), and the Steelers rank 26th (17.7 ppg).
- Race to 10 points: Steelers – The Steelers got off to a good start in their last game, scoring 14 points in the first quarter, and will start well in this game, getting to 10 points first.
The odds for this parlay are +526, so a $100 bet would pay $626, for a $526 profit.
TNF Parlay: Steelers to win and cover at -2.5, Under 38.5 points, Steelers get to 10 points first: (+388, DraftKings)
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More TNF Player Props to Consider in Week 4
Here are some player prop bets we like for this Thursday night AFC North matchup.
TNF Player Prop Bet #1: Aaron Rodgers 21+ completions
Aaron Rodgers had his best game of the season last week and has thrown over 21 completions in two of his last three games. He hasn't been going downfield much, and while he threw a 46-yard pass in the last game, his previous season's high was only 28 yards. He will have over 21 completions facing a Browns defense that only ranks 18th against the pass.
Best Bet: Rodgers Over 21 completions (-126, DraftKings)
Like the parlay betting guide we also have an extensive prop betting guide to show you all about the popular betting market.
TNF Player Prop Bet #2: Chris Boswell 2+ field goals
Pittsburgh kicker Chris Boswell has attempted 2+ field goals in each of the three games, making at least two in two of them. He had three in the last game and will kick at least two through the uprights in this game. Pittsburgh will be decent at moving the ball, and while Cleveland has had their issues on defense, they have been pretty solid in the Red Zone.
Best Bet: Warren to score a TD: (-150, BetMGM)
TNF Player Prop Bet #3: Jaylen Warren to score a TD
Ok, so why am I taking Warren to score a TD Thursday night when he has no TDs on the season? Well, it goes to the issue in the above prop. Rodgers and company will move the ball, but Cleveland has been pretty good in the Red Zone. Still, Warren is coming off a game where he had a season high in rushing yards (127 yards) and carries (17). He is a 5’8”, 215-pound bruiser who will punch one in the end zone in this game.
Best Bet: Warren to score a TD: (-126, BetMGM)