MNF Week 4 NFL Parlay Picks & Player Props: Falcons vs. Saints NFC South Clash

A couple of NFC South teams hook up on Monday night in the Big Easy, with the New Orleans Saints hosting the Atlanta Falcons. Let’s dive in with MNF Week 4 parlay picks & player props for the primetime game.

For the spread and total in this division matchup, we took the odds from Caesars Sportsbook, which has the hometown Saints as a slight 1.5-point favorite with a total of 47.5.

The Saints (1-2) are coming off a 35-27 loss to the Las Vegas Raiders in their last game, and the Falcons (1-2) got their first win of the season in their last game in a 34-14 win over the Green Bay Packers, with QB Michael Penix Jr. making his first start since last November, coming back from a knee injury.

MNF Week 4 Parlay Picks

Falcons vs. Saints MNF Parlay #1 – QBs Rack Up the Yards

• Michael Pennix Jr 250+ passing yards: Pennix Jr. only attempted 25 passes in the last game in his first game back from injury but still completed 18 of them for 255 yards and will surpass 250 passing yards tonight.
• Tyler Shough 250+ passing yards:  Shough ranks third in the NFL in passing yards and has passed for over 250 yards in all three games this season. He will do it again against an Atlanta pass defense that ranks only 29th in the league.

The odds for this parlay are +323, so a $100 bet would pay $423, for a $323 profit.

Best Bet: Michael Pennix Jr. and Tyler Shough to each pass for 250+ yards: (+323, BetMGM)

You can check out our comprehensive parlay betting guide to find out all you need to know about that betting market.

Falcons vs. Saints MNF Parlay #2 – Bijan Robinson Goes Big

• Bijan Robinson to rush for 90+ yards: RB Robinson is the main offensive weapon for the Falcons, and he was huge in the last game with 192 rushing yards and two TDs, and also caught two passes for 19 yards. He will have another big game against a New Orleans run defense that ranks only 27th in the league.
• Bijan Robinson 20+ carries: Once again, the Falcons will lean heavily on Robinson in this game, and he has at least 20 carries in two of three games and had a season-high 29 in the last one.

The odds for this parlay are +281, so a $100 bet would pay out $381 for a profit of +281.

Best Bet: Bijan Robinson 90+ rushing yards and 20+ carries: (+281, DraftKings)

While early in the season it is always a good time to check out the latest Super Bowl odds and MVP odds at the best US sportsbooks.

Falcons vs. Saints MNF Parlay #3 – Take the Falcons Twice and the Over

• Falcons win with Moneyline: The Falcons are coming off an impressive win in their last game while the Saints lost. Pennix Jr’s is back under center and played well last week, and Bijan Robinson had a huge game. They will play well again, and in what I see as a close game, the Falcons will get the win; with the short spread, the moneyline is the pick with better odds. Last season Atlanta beat New Orleans in both matchups.
• Over 48 points: While the total went Under in both games between these NFC South rivals, the Over is the pick in this game. The Saints rank 11th in the league in scoring, and the total has gone Over in two of their three games. With Pennix Jr. back, the Falcons scored 34 points in their last game, and they will face a New Orleans defense tied for 26th in opponents’ points allowed.
• Falcons to cover the 0.5-point spread in the first half with the moneyline: The Saints have failed to cover the spread in the first half in all three of their games.

The odds for this three-leg parlay are +705, so a $100 bet would pay $805, for a $705 profit.

Best Bet: Falcons to win with moneyline, the total to go Over 47.5 points, Falcons to cover the +0.5 first half spread with the moneyline: (+705, DraftKings)

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More MNF Player Props to Consider in Week 4

Here are some player prop bets we like for this Monday night primetime NFC South matchup. If you need any info about prop bets you should take a look at our prop betting guide.

MNF Prop Bet #1: Chris Olave 8+ receptions

Chris Olave ranks third in the NFL in receiving yards, has been targeted in double digits in every game, and has at least eight receptions in all three games.

Best Bet: Chris Olave to have 8+ receptions: (+124, FanDuel)

MNF Prop Bet #2 Bijan Robinson to have the most rushing yards in the game

The odds aren't great at -360, and no bet is a lock, but this one looks pretty close. Robinson is coming off a monster game, rushing for 194 yards, and has the second most rushing yards in the league. The Saints' leading rusher is Travis Etienne Jr., who has 128 rushing yards but was recently put on IR. The second-leading rusher is QB Shough (67 yards), and the third-leading rusher is Alvin Kamara with only 51 rushing yards.

Best Bet: Bijan Robinson to be the leading rusher: (-360, FanDuel)

MNF Prop Bet #3: Tyler Shough 2+ TD passes 

Shough has passed for at least two TDs in two of three games this season, and in them had three TDs and four TDs. With their lead rusher out, the Saints and their fourth-ranked passing offense will air it out early and often, and Shough will have at least two passing TDs.

Best Bet: Tyler Shough 2+ TD passes: (-130, FanDuel)