Anytime Touchdown Scorer Picks for Oct. 1: Steelers vs. Browns TD Bets for TNF
Anytime touchdown scorer picks for Oct. 1 focus on Thursday Night Football, where the Pittsburgh Steelers travel to Cleveland for an AFC North matchup against the Browns. Both teams enter Week 4 at 2-1, making this an early divisional game with plenty at stake. Neither team is a Super Bowl contender, but it still should be an exciting matchup.
Pittsburgh is coming off a 30-27 win over Cincinnati in which its offense finally broke through, while Cleveland has won two straight behind an encouraging start from Deshaun Watson. That gives us several different ways to attack the NFL touchdown market, ranging from primary offensive weapons to a pair of longer-shot options.
Best Anytime Touchdown Scorer Picks for Steelers vs. Browns
This week’s card includes three Pittsburgh options and two Cleveland picks. Jaylen Warren carries the shortest price as Pittsburgh’s clear lead back, while the Steelers defense offers the longest odds at +700.
Here are five anytime touchdown scorer bets to consider for Thursday Night Football.
Anytime TD Prediction #1: DK Metcalf (+230)
DK Metcalf hasn’t put together a huge statistical season through three weeks, but his role makes +230 on most sportsbooks an interesting touchdown price.
Metcalf has caught 11 passes for 98 yards so far, with his first touchdown of the season coming in Pittsburgh’s Week 3 win over Cincinnati. While the yardage totals have been modest, he remains one of the most physically imposing receivers in football and arguably Pittsburgh’s most dangerous target near the end zone.
That matters in a matchup that could turn into a grind.
At 6-foot-4 and more than 220 pounds, Metcalf gives Aaron Rodgers a target who can win contested catches and create problems against smaller defensive backs. The Steelers don’t need him to catch eight passes for this bet to hit. They simply need to get into scoring position and give him one favorable matchup.
After finding the end zone last week, Metcalf has a clear path to do it again as he helps keep the Steelers in the playoff race all season.
Prediction: DK Metcalf anytime touchdown at +230 via BetMGM
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win Anytime TD Prediction #2: Deshaun Watson (+400)
Deshaun Watson has quietly put together a strong start to his comeback season.
Through three games, Watson has completed more than 68% of his passes for 587 yards, five touchdowns, and only one interception while leading Cleveland to a 2-1 record. The passing production has been encouraging, but his rushing ability is what makes this anytime touchdown bet interesting.
Watson has always made defenses pay when plays break down.
Pittsburgh’s pass rush can force quarterbacks out of structure, creating opportunities for Watson to use his legs. If the Browns get near the goal line and Pittsburgh’s secondary turns its back in coverage, one open lane could be enough.
There’s naturally more risk betting a quarterback to run one in, but +400 provides plenty of compensation for that uncertainty.
Watson has looked increasingly comfortable as the season has progressed, and his athleticism gives Cleveland another scoring option that Pittsburgh has to account for.
Prediction: Deshaun Watson anytime touchdown at +400 via DraftKings
Anytime TD Prediction #3: Harold Fannin Jr. (+272)
Harold Fannin Jr. has quickly become one of Watson’s most dependable weapons, particularly when Cleveland gets close to the end zone.
The second-year tight end has 14 receptions for 126 yards through three games, but the biggest development came last week against Carolina.
Fannin caught seven passes for 51 yards and scored twice, including the go-ahead touchdown late in the fourth quarter. He drew nine targets in that game and has now seen his receiving volume increase in each of Cleveland’s first three contests.
That usage makes +272 particularly appealing.
Tight ends can become extremely valuable in compressed areas of the field, where size and reliability matter more than pure speed. Fannin has already shown Watson will trust him when the Browns need an important completion, and there’s little reason to expect that connection to disappear on Thursday.
After scoring twice in Week 3, he has a chance to remain one of Cleveland’s primary red-zone options.
Prediction: Harold Fannin Jr. anytime touchdown at +272 via BetMGM
Anytime TD Prediction #4: Pittsburgh Defense (+700)
Defensive touchdowns are always difficult to project, but Pittsburgh has enough playmakers to make +700 on most sports betting apps worth considering.
The Steelers sealed last week’s win over Cincinnati when defensive lineman Derrick Harmon forced a late fumble by Joe Burrow. Those types of game-changing plays are exactly what we’re looking for with a defensive touchdown wager.
Pittsburgh will be without Joey Porter Jr. after finally trading him to the Dallas Cowboys on Wednesday night, creating the biggest news story of the week. Even with some uncertainty in the secondary, the Steelers still have enough talent throughout the defense to create pressure and force mistakes.
Watson has taken good care of the football this season, throwing only one interception, so this certainly isn’t a prediction that Cleveland will be reckless all night.
But one bad decision, strip-sack, or loose ball could turn into six points immediately.
At +700, this is the type of long-shot wager where one chaotic play is all that matters.
Prediction: Pittsburgh defense anytime touchdown at +700 via DraftKings
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170,000 GC + 7 SC Anytime TD Prediction #5: Jaylen Warren (-106)
Jaylen Warren is the only minus-money selection on this card, but his current role makes the price understandable.
Warren is coming off his best game of the season, rushing 17 times for 127 yards while adding three receptions for another 49 yards against Cincinnati. That gave him 176 yards from scrimmage on 20 touches and firmly established him as the centerpiece of Pittsburgh’s backfield.
Rico Dowdle has been ruled out again with a toe injury, leaving Warren in position to handle another significant workload Thursday.
Interestingly, Warren still hasn’t scored through three games despite producing 326 yards from scrimmage. That feels more like something that should eventually correct itself than a reason to stay away.
Cleveland has had issues defending the run, and Pittsburgh should continue leaning on Warren after how effective he was last week.
If the Steelers create multiple red-zone opportunities, Warren should be near the top of the list to finish one of those drives.
Prediction: Jaylen Warren anytime touchdown at -106 via BetMGM
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