Seahawks vs. Raiders Prediction, Odds & Picks for Nov. 15: Seahawks Ruin Mendoza’s First Career Start

The Seattle Seahawks make the trip to the Silver State to face the Las Vegas Raiders in an interconference clash Sunday afternoon. We share our Seahawks vs. Raiders prediction, break down the odds, and offer our picks for the game.
Seattle comes in off a 17-3 home win over the Arizona Cardinals in their previous game last Sunday. The Seahawks covered the line as a 9.5-point favorite in that contest. Las Vegas comes in off a 38-17 road loss to the San Francisco 49ers in their previous game last Sunday. The Raiders failed to cover the line as an 8.5-point underdog in that contest. Las Vegas owns a 29-25 advantage in the all-time regular season series between the teams. Meanwhile, the Raiders picked up a 40-34 road win in the most recent matchup November 27, 2022.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Las Vegas Raiders Odds
Seattle won for just the second time in five games as they swept the season series from the Cardinals. The win pushed the Seahawks to 5-4 on the year. They stand tied for second in the NFC West standings. Meanwhile, they are eighth in the NFC playoff picture, one game behind the Green Bay Packers for the final wild card spot.
Las Vegas comes into this game with five losses in their last six games as they lost to the 49ers. The Raiders are 4-5 on the season and stand third in the AFC West standings. In addition, Las Vegas is ninth in the AFC playoff picture, one game behind the New England Patriots for the final wild card spot.
Let’s take a look at the latest odds for this contest, courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Spread: Seahawks -6.5 (-110) / Raiders +6.5(-110)
- Moneyline: Seahawks (-285) / Raiders (+230)
- Total (Over/Under): Over 40.5 (-115) / Under 40.5 (-105)
Seattle is a solid road favorite for this contest. That isn’t overly surprising given the fact that the Seahawks are the defending champs. On the flip side, the Raiders dropped five of six after a 3-0 start. In addition, Las Vegas dealt Kirk Cousins to Minnesota this week. That means first overall pick Fernando Mendoza makes his first career NFL start here. Meanwhile, Seattle owns a solid 74.03% implied probability to win this contest.
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- Seahawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite
The Seahawks are the defending champs but they’ve had their ups and downs this season. Seattle would be out of the playoffs if the season ended before Sunday as they are 5-4 on the year. They’ve battled injury issues at both quarterback and running back offensively. Meanwhile, the secondary and the defensive line both had their own injury issues as well.
The Seahawks have their issues offensively again this week. Sam Darnold is out for the second straight game with quad and rib injuries sustained late in the Monday night loss to the Bears two weeks ago. That means Drew Lock is in charge of the offense again. Meanwhile, the left side of the Seahawks’ offensive line is also out. Charles Cross and Quenton Nelson are replaced by Josh Jones and Beau Stephens. Defensively, Leonard Williams remains sidelined with a stinger. In his stead, Mike Morris fills in at defensive end.
Seattle enters this game 17th in the league in passing with an average of 210.8 yards per game. The Seahawks are a mediocre 18th in terms of rushing offense with 110.8 yards per game. Seattle is tied for 18th in scoring offense with 22.4 points per game. They stand 4th in scoring defense as they allow 18 points per contest.
Raiders Betting Trends
- Raiders are 2-9 in their last 11 games as the home team.
Las Vegas dropped their fifth game in the last six as they were sloppy in a blowout road loss to the 49ers. The Raiders are 4-5 on the season after starting the year 3-0. They stand third in the AFC West behind the Broncos and Chiefs. Meanwhile, they are one game behind the Patriots for the final wild card spot in the AFC. Can they find a way to turn things around and get back in the win column?
Las Vegas has a light injury report this week, which is a plus for them. Thomas Booker is a backup defensive end behind Tonka Hemingway. Meanwhile, Dont’e Thornton Jr. is trying to make his season debut after being out all season with a back injury.
For the year, the Raiders stand 5th in the league in passing offense with 259.7 yards per contest. Las Vegas is a mediocre 31st in the league in rushing offense with 71.3 yards a game. The Raiders are 8th in the league in scoring offense with 26.4 points per game. Meanwhile, Las Vegas stands dead last in scoring defense by allowing 29.8 points per game.
Seahawks vs. Raiders Prediction: Under 40.5 (-105)
The over has hit in seven straight games for the Raiders. However, those all came with Kirk Cousins as the starting quarterback. He’s no longer a member of the organization. In fact, he’ll be starting for the Minnesota Vikings Sunday afternoon. Mendoza may have a high ceiling and could be a future star in this league. With that said, this is start number one and it comes against an aggressive, hard-hitting Seattle defense.
On the flip side, the Raiders can’t run worth a damn (averaging 2.9 yards per carry) to take pressure off Mendoza. For that matter, they can’t stop the run, allowing 151.2 yards per game and five yards per carry this season. That means Seattle can pound the rock, control the clock, get the lead and then relentlessly pressure Mendoza. Seattle shouldn’t need more than 24 points here and they hold the Raiders in check. As a result, take the under in this contest.
More Seahawks vs. Raiders Picks, Props and Best Bets
- Brock Bowers Over 58.5 Receiving Yards: (-113, FanDuel) – This marks Fernando Mendoza’s first career start after the Raiders traded Kirk Cousins earlier this week. Bowers has 48 catches for 658 yards and six scores in seven games. He has at least 70 receiving yards in every game this season. Expect him to be a favorite target of Mendoza as Seattle will rattle him with pass rush. At least Mendoza has a reliable safety valve to utilize.
- Zach Charbonnet Over 64.5 Rushing Yards: (-115, Hard Rock) – We talked above about how dismal the Raiders have been stopping the run this season. They are second-worst in yards per carry allowed and last in rushing yards per game. Eight opponents cracked the century mark against Las Vegas. Meanwhile, five ran for at least 165 yards. Charbonnet had 16 carries for 77 yards last week against Arizona. I expect another solid showing for him on the ground here.
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 87.5 Receiving Yards: (-115, BetMGM) – Jaxon Smith-Njigba, to put it simply, is a matchup nightmare of opposing defenses. His lowest total for receiving yards in a game this year came last week when he caught seven passes for 51 yards. Meanwhile, he’s cracked the 100-yard mark in seven of his other eight games on the year.Smith-Njigba is second in the league in receptions (71) and leads the league in receiving yards (1,036) on the year. In addition, he has a league-high nine receiving scores on the season. Lock finds him early and often enough to get past this number.
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Bet $20, Get $350 FanCash Seahawks vs. Raiders Broadcast Info
- Date: Sunday, November 15, 2026
- Start Time: 4:05 pm ET
- Location: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, Nevada
- TV and Streaming Options: CBS or NFL Sunday Ticket