NFL Yards Per Play: Browns Futures Worth Betting Ahead Of Week 2?

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Written By Eli Hershkovich | Last Updated
NFL Yards Per Play

While you’re handicapping NFL Week 2 odds, you may be in search of a new tool to apply to your step-by-step process. If so, NFL yards per play (YPP) is one that should be near the top of your checklist. This report will be updated following each week of action and contains each team’s yards per play results on offense and defense, respectively. If you see fit, one of them could be worth investing in for futures betting.

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what is NFL yards per play?

Yards per play — also referred to as YPP — is a handy metric for NFL bettors since it eliminates unpredictable variables, including turnovers, botched kicks, and scores via special teams. Ignoring randomness is a critical part of handicapping any sport. Therefore, yards per play on both sides of the ball helps provide an indication of where a team is in the short term. Generally speaking, you will rarely find a below .500 team in the upper echelon of these rankings.

But just like EPA, teams may be overvalued in the betting market if their YPP surges in a positive direction over a small sample size. You will see that a variety of units — offensively, defensively, or both — benefited from playing weak competition in their first affair of the 2023 campaign. In turn, their output could be mis-contextualized.

On the flip side, a team outperforming expectations against a presumably elite opponent is likely a sign of a positive trajectory.

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NFL Yards Per Play For

TeamYards Per Play (YPP)
Miami Dolphins8.2
San Francisco5.9
Minnesota Vikings5.9
Los Angeles Chargers
New Orleans Saints5.5
Green Bay Packers5.5
Los Angeles Rams5.5
New York Jets5.5
Detroit Lions5.3
Kansas City Chiefs5.1
Jacksonville Jaguars5.0
New England Patriots4.9
Cleveland Browns4.9
Tennessee Titans4.8
Dallas Cowboys4.8
Las Vegas Raiders4.7
Buffalo Bills4.6
Atlanta Falcons4.6
Baltimore Ravens4.6
Denver Broncos4.5
Chicago Bears4.4
Philadelphia Eagles4.1
Indianapolis Colts4.1
Pittsburgh Steelers3.9
Seattle Seahawks3.9
Carolina Panthers3.9
Washington Commanders3.8
Houston Texans3.7
Arizona Cardinals3.6
Tampa Bay Buccaneers3.6
New York Giants2.6
Cincinnati Bengals2.6

NFL Yards Per Play Allowed

TeamYards Per Play (YPP)
Cleveland Browns2.6
Dallas Cowboys2.6
Minnesota Vikings3.6
Washington Commanders3.6
Baltimore Ravens3.7
Arizona Cardinals3.8
Atlanta Falcons3.9
Los Angeles Rams3.9
San Francisco 49ers3.9
Jacksonville Jaguars4.1
New England Patriots4.1
Green Bay Packers4.4
Las Vegas Raiders4.5
Houston Texans4.6
Carolina Panthers4.6
New York Jets4.6
Denver Broncos4.7
New York Giants4.8
New Orleans Saints4.8
Cincinnati Bengals4.9
Philadelphia Eagles4.9
Indianapolis Colts5.0
Detroit Lions5.1
Kansas City Chiefs5.3
Buffalo Bills5.5
Seattle Seahawks5.5
Chicago Bears5.5
Tennessee Titans5.5
Miami Dolphins5.7
Tampa Bay Buccaneers5.9
Pittsburgh Steelers5.9
Los Angeles Chargers8.2

appraising NFL yards per play

Although Miami Dolphins odds stand out from an offensive perspective, I’m somewhat bearish on their prospects because of secondary concerns. Until Dolphins defensive coordinator Vic Fangio dialed up consistent pressure in the second half, Justin Herbert was generating an ultra-efficient outing. Even so, Miami surrendered the fourth-most YPP among Week 1 results.

For context, Tua Tagovailoa & Co. are favorites against New England for Sunday Night Football. The Dolphins’ explosive passing attack could face some regression against the Patriots’ stout defense, which I alluded to in my NFL best bets.

Nevertheless, Cleveland Browns odds should be on the radar of NFL bettors. Although they took advantage of a rusty Joe Burrow in sloppy conditions, their defense looked greatly improved with an upgraded pass rush and new defensive coordinator Jim Schwartz. Per the table above, they let up the fewest YPP in Week 1. If Browns quarterback Deshaun Watson boosts his proficiency in the pocket, their 2023 ceiling is high.

Cleveland is a favorite for the second of two Monday Night Football games. Click on any of the Browns odds below to place a wager.

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