3 Teams To Consider In NFL Worst Regular Season Record Odds
With the NFL Kickoff next Thursday night, preseason prices on some NFL futures will change after Week 1. One fun market is NFL worst record odds for the regular season. We’ll look at three teams below – the favorite and a couple of longer shots with tough roads ahead. Before locking in your wager, shop for the best prices across the best NFL betting websites. The table below shows the best odds available in your state for each team to finish with the worst record in 2023.
ARIZONA CARDINALS
NFL Worst Record Odds:
The Cardinals are the favorite across all sportsbooks to finish with the league’s worst record. This team seems to be nothing short of a well-planned dumpster fire with a purpose heading into 2023.
After tearing his right ACL and meniscus in Week 14 last season, Kyler Murray will miss at least four weeks after staying on the PUP list. The Cardinals haven’t announced a starting QB for Week 1 yet, with Josh Dobbs, Colt McCoy and 5th-round rookie Clayton Tune the options. The Cardinals were 31st in Offensive DVOA from the point of Kyler’s injury last year, and losing DeAndre Hopkins will only make it worse.
James Conner publicly said that he believes new OC Drew Petzing is “going to be running the ball a lot.” However, there are many question marks with the Cardinals offensive line. The issues arise on the interior, with Will Hernandez being their best player but adequate at best. The Cardinals were top half of the league in pass block win rate last year but traded one of their starters to help the apparent tank job.
The pass rush in Arizona lost their two best players in the offseason. Zach Allen left via free agency, and J.J. Watt retired. Their top rushers are now 2023 second-pick pick B.J. Ojulari and 2022 third-round picks Cameron Thomas and Myjai Sanders. This pass rush is young and unproven and lacks a reliable veteran presence.
Arizona carries the lowest projected win total in the league by two wins. This team will be bad. There isn’t much talent on either side of the ball, and this projects as a multi-year rebuild for rookie GM Monti Ossenfort. There is real reason to believe this year’s Cardinals should full-on tank. I will sprinkle on them to incur the league’s worst record.
Cardinals 2023 Schedule
LOS ANGELES RAMS
NFL Worst Regular Season Record Odds:
Matthew Stafford is now 35 years old and has seen his offensive line and weaponry disintegrate since the Rams’ 2021 Super Bowl win. Stafford’s arrow points in the wrong direction in a passing offense with little behind Cooper Kupp. Even when healthy last year, Stafford was 28th in the league in Dropback EPA.
This putrid offensive line played more than 10 combinations throughout last season due to various injuries. Los Angeles has two guards with zero combined starts. Logan Bruss is returning from a torn ACL and MCL injuries, while left tackle Joe Noteboom has only 23 career starts over five seasons and is returning from a torn Achilles. Center Brian Allen also returns from injuries that kept him out of 10 games last season.
The Rams are in a complete rebuild on the defensive side of the ball, which includes their defensive line. Aside from Aaron Donald, the defensive front has a starting depth chart with 19 combined starts. For a defense that was already 21st in EPA/play last year, they’re likely worse this year.
It’s easy to see how the Rams don’t reach their win total after they didn’t add any pass-rushing help while also trading away Jalen Ramsey. This defense looks like a joke. The Rams will struggle to score and keep other teams from scoring. With a brutally tough stretch to start their season, I’m taking my chances with the Rams to have a miserable 2023 season.
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Rams 2023 Schedule
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
NFL Worst Regular Season Record Odds:
New England carries the longest odds of this group. There is still a legitimate case to be made for the Patriots to struggle in 2023. Mac Jones proved forgettable in his second season. He ended the year 29th out of 33 qualifying passers in Dropback EPA. The Patriots only downgraded their offensive weapons heading into 2023, as they lost No. 1 receiver Jakobi Meyers in free agency.
Notably, the Patriots defense underperformed their metrics in 2022. They were 22nd in the league in the red zone, allowing touchdowns on 58 percent of red zone trips, and 27th in allowing touchdowns on goal-to-go situations.
The most compelling evidence that this Patriots’ defense is overrated is the quarterbacks they played well against and the quarterbacks who shredded them a season ago. New England’s eight wins in 2022 came against Zach Wilson twice, Mitch Trubisky, Jared Goff, Jacoby Brissett, Sam Ehlinger, Colt Mccoy, and Skylar Thompson.
This list adds to the evidence Bill Belichick-led defenses tend to dominate rookie or inexperienced quarterbacks. As it currently stands, the only quarterbacks the Patriots are projected to play with fewer than 30 starts are Anthony Richardson, Kenny Pickett, and Sam Howell. Will this finally be the year that a Tom Bradly-less Patriots team bottoms out?
The Patriots’ 2023 schedule is the toughest in the league by opponent win totals.
Patriots 2023 Schedule
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