With the summer months winding down, 2022 NFL win totals are receiving plenty of interest at BetMGM Sportsbook. Below are the teams that have accrued the highest percentage towards one side of their respective handle. Click on any of them to place a wager.
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NFL Win Totals: Most Bet Overs
|Detroit Lions||6.5 (-110)||6.5 (-110)|
|New Orleans Saints||8 (+100)||8 (-120)|
|New York Jets||5.5 (-155)||5.5 (+130)|
Lions Roaring With Confidence
Dan Campbell’s team has collected 95% of the money and 94% of the tickets towards the over. As a result, the Lions are BetMGM’s biggest liability in this betting market.
Nevertheless, their win total hasn’t been bumped up since it opened. Keep in mind, Jared Goff generated the fifth-lowest expected points added (EPA) per play among quarterbacks last season. EPA is calculated by the expected points scored based on the down, distance, and field position at the start of a play — juxtaposed with the end result.
Granted, Detroit elevated its receiving core with the likes of first-round pick Jameson Williams and D.J. Chark. But Goff was widely regarded as a product of Sean McVay’s system during his tenure with the Rams.
Meanwhile, the Saints have accrued 89% of the dollars and 86% of the bets to the over despite losing an elite offensive schemer in Sean Payton. The Jets interest is similar to the action we reported in the offseason at FanDuel Sportsbook.
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NFL Win Totals: Most Bet Unders
|Chicago Bears||6.5 (+120)||6.5 (-145)|
|Dallas Cowboys||10.5 (+110)||10.5 (-130)|
|Pittsburgh Steelers||7.5 (-110)||7.5 (-110)|
Historic Franchises Expected To Underperform
Although the Bears upgraded at head coach (Matt Eberflus) and offensive coordinator (Luke Getsy), 90% of the money and 80% of the tickets are on the under. Caesars Sportsbook noted the same trend less than a month ago.
In regards to the Cowboys, the defending NFC East champs enter the 2022-23 campaign with a shakier offensive line after losing La’el Collins and Connor Williams in free agency. Those two helped Dallas showcase a top-two pass and run-blocking unit, respectively, last season. Jerry Jones dealt the oft-injured Amari Cooper to the Browns as well.
Most importantly, “America’s Team” finished the season tied for the league’s top turnover differential (+14). Considering that number should dip, Dallas will likely take a step back.
Over to the AFC North, the Steelers enter a new era under center with QBs Mitch Trubisky and first-rounder Kenny Pickett. While Ben Roethlisberger’s noodle arm held their offense back, they’ve also benefited from the most turnovers forced (87) over the last three seasons.