Teaser bets remain a popular option with many NFL bettors. But, you must use caution when selecting which teams you’ll tease, as you can’t win long term without a sound strategy. At TheLines, we’ll go over each week’s NFL slate to see which teams fit best in teasers. Today, we look at options for NFL Week 9 teasers.
Week 8 teaser legs did extremely well. The top options went 3-0, but be aware that two of those wins came via backdoor covers by the Texans and Jets. The more speculative options went 2-1 but both winners also won outright and had no need for purchased points.
Be sure to go over our primer on teaser bets here. It’s imperative that you understand what to look for, from the numbers to the sportsbook juice being paid. Click on the odds anywhere below to bet now.
The Best NFL Week 9 Teasers
Week 9 features a lighter week of teaser options, as only four games have lines as of Thursday that fall on teasable numbers.
Bengals (-7.5) Vs. Panthers
The Bengals have been a team to fade any time they face a premium pass rush, since the offensive line has not been rebuilt to strength as hoped. PFF rates the unit 26th, and the team has consistently struggled to establish its vaunted passing game in the absence of clean pockets for Joe Burrow.
Those hoping to tease the Bengals can rest easy in this matchup, though. The Panthers have struggled to generate much pressure despite a top-10 blitz rate. Burrow should find his downfield targets instead of consistently dumping to Joe Mixon as he did in the loss to the Browns.
With a low total and a home favorite in a buy-low spot — while also selling high on the Panthers after two straight strong performances — this looks like a good teaser option. The only question is whether to buy the points or wait to see if you can grab -7, with a couple of those already hitting the board on Thursday.
Jaguars (+1.5) Vs. Raiders
It’s perhaps a bit surprising to see the Jaguars are home underdogs to the Raiders, but remember that the Jags are actually the ones facing the brutal travel here. They fly home from London after losing to the Broncos. The Raiders will actually experience minimal disruption by staying on the East Coast after heading that direction to get blanked by the Saints.
Trevor Lawrence has been a bit of a disaster under pressure this year, losing about 50 points of passer rating according to PFF. That shouldn’t be a major issue here, luckily. Despite holding two big ticket rushers in Maxx Crosby and Chandler Jones, the Raiders rank among the league’s worst in pressure rate. Furthermore, the strength of the Jacksonville line has been on the edge.
Look for Lawrence to keep his team in the game by reverting to his stronger early season play after stumbling through several ugly mistakes in recent weeks.
Saints (+2.5) Vs. Ravens
This one is on the border because of a higher total, especially by 2022 scoring standards. However, if you believe in the Saints, a teaser certainly warrants consideration after the market took all of the +3s off the board sometime on Wednesday.
The Ravens have a banged up receiving corps. Mark Andrews has two nagging injuries now, and Rashod Bateman has to head back to the pine after trying and failing to return from injury. The team’s passing offense, which lit the league aflame early, has collapsed to a bottom-10 unit (by EPA/play) since Bateman got hurt.
That’s key when looking at teasing against them. We want positive game states (from the Ravens’ perspective) to not result in blowouts. They’ll probably try to pound the rock as they did against the Bucs in the second half. The Saints can still stuff the run with the best of them (first in EPA/play), so it’s hard to see the Ravens pulling too far away.
The Saints passing game has been surprisingly effective despite a backup QB and numerous skill player injuries. They should at least keep pace here at home.
Other Potential NFL Week 9 Teasers
Seahawks (+2) At Cardinals
While these teams combined for just 28 points in the first meeting — a 19-9 Seahawks victory — the market nonetheless expects points here. It’s not hard to see why since both teams have aspects of their passing games that point toward overs.
Seattle has Geno Smith, who has been so effective as a passer that he basically broke Completion Percentage Over Expectation (CPOE). He’s sitting at +8.3%, pushing toward double that of second-place Tua Tagovailoa (+4.3%). Only elite units from the Broncos and 49ers have put the clamps on him.
The Cardinals, meanwhile, pass frequently (12th most) and operate at the fourth-fastest pace.
Those factors contribute to a higher variance game and make this a little less attractive from a teaser standpoint.
Best of luck betting on NFL Week 9 teasers.