NFL Week 9 Betting Preview: Philadelphia Eagles at Houston Texans

Written By Eli Hershkovich on November 3, 2022
eagles odds

The Philadelphia Eagles visit the Houston Texans on Thursday, Nov. 3 at 8:20 p.m. ET. This primetime affair, the first on NFL Week 9 odds boards, showcases Philadelphia as spread favorites and on the moneyline. Eagles odds features a total against the Texans set at .

In this post, we’ll dive into everything you need to know before placing a bet on Thursday Night Football odds, including matchups, key metrics, and the best available odds. Click on any of the Texans vs. Eagles odds to bet now.

Texans Vs. Eagles odds: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under

When using the Eagles odds table above, click the dropdown menu and select the type of bet you wish to make. 

Betting on the point spread is when you wager on how many points a team will win or lose by. A “plus” sign in front of the spread is the underdog, and a “minus” sign is the favorite. The Eagles need to win by 15 points or more if you bet on them against the spread, as they’re priced as a 14-point road favorite at most shops. Conversely, a spread bet on the Texans would need Houston to lose by at most 13 points or win outright.

The total is the number of combined points that the two teams will score. Bettors can bet “over” or “under” on how many total points will be scored in the game.

Eagles at Texans: Player Props

In the props tool search bar, type in a team or player and hit enter. You’ll see the various proposition bets offered by leading online sportsbooks. 

This is a valuable tool that allows bettors to compare odds and stats when considering a prop bet. 

Eagles at Texans: Betting News

As of Thursday morning, the Eagles have accrued 88% of the spread handle and 85% of the tickets. This data comes from BetMGM Sportsbook, which is trading Philadelphia at . Additional updates on Eagles – Texans odds can be found below.

Eagles at Texans: Weather Report

NRG Stadium has a retractable roof, but the weather report for Houston on Thursday is dry (broken clouds) and calm (10 mph winds), with a high temperature of 74 degrees.

Eagles at Texans: Injury News

Philadelphia Injuries

Josiah ScottCBAnkleOut
Jordan DavisDTAnkleOut

Houston Injuries

Brandin CooksWRNot injury relatedQuestionable
Desmond King IIDBKneeQuestionable
Christian HarrisLBThighQuestionable
Nico CollinsWRGroinOut
Neville HewittLBHamstringOut
Grayland ArnoldCBQuadOut
Justin McCrayOGHeadOut

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Eagles at Texans: Betting Insights

Why Eagles Can Cover The Spread

On paper, Philadelphia is set up to dominate this game, which the two-touchdown point spread indicates.

For starters, Nick Sirianni’s team is accruing the third-most EPA per play, ranking behind only the Chiefs and Bills. As a result, Eagles signal caller Jalen Hurts boasts the second-shortest NFL MVP odds. Josh Allen doesn’t appear to be ready to leave the driver’s seat anytime soon, but Hurts’ play has certainly ascended in his third professional season.

Enter Lovie Smith’s Tampa 2 defense, surrendering fifth-highest Rushing EPA across the NFL. Most recently, Titans running back Derrick Henry gashed the Texans for 219 yards on the ground. Tennessee’s overall performance amounted to the third-most EPA per carry in Week 8.

Unfortunately for Houston, Philly’s read-option offense is tallying the league’s fifth-highest rushing percentage (51.4%). Given its dominance in the trenches, expect Sirianni’s unit to produce its fair share of explosive carries once again.

With that in mind, Eagles tailback Miles Sanders could be worth targeting in regards to our aforementioned player prop tool.

Why Texans Can Cover The Spread

While handicapping any sport, situational spots are worth considering. These instances are aimed to uncover the potential games for teams to either outperform or underperform their normal level of play — relative to the moneyline or spread.

As a result of a lengthy season, you’re simply not going to get a fully engaged team every single night. Therefore, it’s plausible letdown spot on a short week.

Plus, you’re paying the absolute premium price on the Eagles, as they were nine-point favorites on the look-ahead line. Their most impressive wins have come against the Vikings and Cooper Rush, respectively, meaning they may be a tad bit overvalued.

On the flip side, bettors could also view this setup as a chance to buy the Texans at their lowest point in betting market.

Mind you, Jonathan Gannon’s unit is surrendering the league’s highest Rushing EPA and will be without rookie nose tackle Jordan Davis. If Houston establishes its ground game with rookie Dameon Pierce, it could feasibly milk clock and cover a double-digit spread.

Nevertheless, things could get ugly if the Texans fall behind early. Not only has Davis Mills tallied the fourth-lowest Completion Percentage Over Expected (CPOE), but he’s up against an elite defensive backfield as well. This passing metric adjusts for associated factors that make a pass more or less likely to be completed.

Mills won’t have wide receivers Brandin Cooks or Nico Collins at his disposal, either. They’ve combined for a 35.6% target share this season.

Related: Super Bowl 57 Odds

Reasons To Bet The Over

After the total opened at 43, it’s starting to surge towards another key number (). However, whether or not the Eagles show up, I’m not buying into this angle.

Reasons To Bet The Under

Hence, the under can be attacked in one of two ways. If the Eagles flex their muscles over the first 30 minutes, they’ll likely drain the clock in the second half. This framework would lend itself to a second-half under bet, which has gone 6-0-1 over their first seven games.

On the other hand, the full-game under would be in play if a sloppy Philly team shows up while Houston has success with its ground game.

Final Thoughts

I’ll be monitoring the second-half betting market, yet I won’t have a pregame wager on Eagles – Texans odds otherwise. Good luck with your the rest of your NFL Week 9 bets.

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