NFL Week 9 Betting Preview: Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions

Written By Evan Scrimshaw on November 4, 2022
packers lions odds

The scuffling Green Bay Packers (3-5) head into the Motor City for a matchup against one of the least lucky teams in the league, the 1-6 Detroit Lions. Green Bay is a spread favorites and on the moneyline. Packers Lions odds feature a total of .

Despite the Lions’ weak record, there’s optimism in Detroit; whereas, Green Bay is in deep trouble if they can’t figure out their problems quickly.

Packers Lions Odds: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under

The Packers Lions odds table effectively shows all the legal sportsbook odds for each of the three main markets – spreads, totals, and moneylines – so that bettors can know what they’re getting is the best price. Just use the dropdown menu to toggle between the type of bet you want, and then make sure you’re getting the best price when you bet.

If you’re looking at spreads, getting an extra half point on either side can make or break the difference, and getting the best side of a total points market can be crucial as well. When it comes to Moneyline betting, you always want to get the best number possible – all three things that the easy comparison points of the Odds Table allow.

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Packers vs. Lions Player Props

The props tool enables bettors to effectively track Packers Lions odds across sportsbooks for every player prop, to make sure that bettors aren’t missing out on a better total, or a better value, on a player prop.

Whether it’s getting a total you want to bet an Over on 5 yards lower, or a line where you have to pay less juice, the Props tool enables bettors to make sure they’re not missing out on the best available Sunday Night Football odds.

Packers vs. Lions Betting News & Angles

Packers Vs. Lions Injury Report

Green Bay Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
Aaron RodgersQBThumbQuestionable63.9
De’Vondre CampbellLBKneeQuestionable59.6
Allen LazardWRShoulderQuestionable57.3
Preston SmithLBShoulderQuestionable53.0
David BakhtiariOTKneeQuestionable53.0
Krys BarnesLBAnkleQuestionable24.0
Christian WatsonWRConcussionQuestionable23.0
Shemar Jean-CharlesCBAnkleQuestionable12.5

Detroit Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
Penei SewellOTPersonalQuestionable70.9
Frank RagnowCFootProbable67.8
Taylor DeckerOTBackQuestionable66.7
Josh ReynoldsWRBackQuestionable54.1
AJ ParkerCBHipQuestionable41.7
Brock WrightTEHeadQuestionable36.4
D’Andre SwiftRBAnkleQuestionable35.5
Derrick BarnesLBKneeProbable25.7
Matt NelsonOTCalfQuestionable15.5
Chase LucasCBAnkleQuestionable13.5
Jason CabindaFBKneeQuestionable

Packers Offense Vs. Lions Defense

Packers OffenseStats (Rank)Lions Defense
18.1 (26)Points/Gm32.1 (32)
0.3 (18)Points/Play0.5 (32)
339.9 (17)Yards/Gm421.3 (32)
217.4 (22)Pass Yards/Gm266.4 (27)
122.5 (15)Rush Yards/Gm154.9 (30)
5.4 (15)Yards/Play6.5 (32)
6.1 (26)Yards/Pass8.1 (32)
4.9 (10)Yards/Rush5.1 (28)
37.4% (22)3rd Down %50.6% (32)
59.1% (13)Red Zone %73.1% (30)
10 (15)Turnovers6 (30)
17 (12)Sacks11 (31)

Lions Offense Vs. Packers Defense

Lions OffenseStats (Rank)Packers Defense
24.7 (9)Points/Gm21.6 (16)
0.4 (2)Points/Play0.4 (17)
394.9 (4)Yards/Gm316.0 (8)
258.3 (7)Pass Yards/Gm174.8 (2)
136.6 (10)Rush Yards/Gm141.3 (29)
6.2 (3)Yards/Play5.5 (13)
7.2 (7)Yards/Pass6.7 (14)
5.2 (4)Yards/Rush4.9 (25)
37.3% (23)3rd Down %29.9% (2)
72.0% (3)Red Zone %45.5% (4)
11 (20)Turnovers7 (27)
13 (6)Sacks17 (18)

Packers vs. Lions Betting Insights

Reasons The Packers Can Cover The Spread

The Packers did show more resilience and fight against the Bills than some expected, with the running game managing to keep drives on track and reduce the workload on the passing game. Against a Lions Defense that is last by both DVOA and PFF grading, the Packers should be able to score.

If the Packers can find some offensive rhythm through the air – as they did against the Bears meager secondary early in the season – then they’re going to be able to roll through the Lions’ defense. The biggest concern for the Lions has to be their pass rush (or lack thereof) – they blitz 5th most in the league, but they’re 23rd in Pressure Rate – a combination that should mean Rodgers has guys open without too much pressure in his face.

Why The Lions can cover the spread

The Lions aren’t facing a substantially better defense in Green Bay – the Packers are 22nd by DVOA and 31st against the run. If the Lions can get Jamaal Williams going, then there’s going to be wide open holes for him, as there has been for every running back all season.

Jared Goff will need to make some plays through the air against a Top 10 Pass Defense, but Goff has been the better QB so far this season. He’s 21st in EPA/Play through the first 8 weeks, while Rodgers is an 24th. If the Lions can score enough, the Packers offensive inconsistencies and growing pains to gift the Lions a key stop or two.

Reasons to bet the over

Neither team’s defense is any good, with both being bottom half of the league across most metrics and the Lions being last by DVOA and PFF. The Packers should be able to find something through the air against the worst ranked pass defense, which should help them score and score quickly.

The Lions are 3rd in converting Red Zone drives into touchdowns on offense and give up the 3rd most Red Zone touchdowns in the league, a key to a game with a team total near 50 covering.

Reasons to bet the under

The Packers are still a run heavy team, even if there’s reasons to think their passing game might be better this week against the unimpressive Lions Pass D. Even on the other side of the ball, the Lions can run the ball well – 7th in Rush DVOA – against the second worst Run D in the league. This game has all the hallmarks of a runfest, which is hard to square against a near 50 point total.

Packers vs. Lions Props: Matchups To Watch For

Aaron Jones Rushing Yards: Jones still got 20 carries against the Bills last week despite being in a negative game script most of the matchup. With the Packers’ weakness at Wide Receiver, they need to run Jones into the ground, and his usage is more game-script independent than you’d expect. Given he’s coming off a 143 yard outing and a 7.2 yards/carry clip, expect to see a lot more Jones in what projects to be a less bad script.

Jamaal Williams Rushing Yards: Against his old team, Williams will have every opportunity to excel this week. The Packers rank 31st in Rush Defense DVOA and are 25th in yards/rush against. With D’Andre Swift likely going to continue on passing downs, Williams should get the lion’s share of the team’s rushes. Against such a bad rush D and a team that isn’t as explosive offensively, that’s the combination you want.

Final Thoughts

The Packers did hold up better against the Bills last week than I would have expected, but this number seems a bit high, still. What have the Packers done to justify this price?

The last time they covered a game outside of the Bills game was the Bucs in Week 3, a win that seemed more impressive at the time than it does now. Since then, their only win was in Overtime against Bailey Zappe taking his first NFL snaps.

I get the theoretical case for the Packers to be impressive offensively, especially in the air, but they’ve yet to show it. The Lions, on the other hand, have an impressive offense, which has consistently put up points. The Packers D isn’t anything special, much to Packers fans’ annoyance, and the Lions should be able to run all over them.

If the Lions can do that, then this is going to end up like most Lions-Packers games in recent years have – unnecessarily close for the talent levels on the field. The Packers haven’t shown they should be laying this price into essentially anyone in the NFL at this point, and they’re still paying the Big Name QB Tax. Unless that changes, it’s too high a number.

Best of luck betting Packers Lions odds.

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