NFL Week 9 Betting Preview: Buffalo Bills at New York Jets

Written By Evan Scrimshaw on November 4, 2022
vikings bills odds

The 6-1 Buffalo Bills find themselves heading down to New Jersey to play the New York Jets, who despite being 5-3 have a bit of panic around them. The Bills are spread favorites, with the Jets big underdogs on the moneyline. Bills Jets odds feature a total of .

The AFC’s East Rutherford residents find themselves wondering whether or not Zach Wilson can be the Quarterback to make the Jets a contender again, after his three interceptions cost the Jets in last week’s game.

Bills Jets Odds: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under

The Bills Jets odds table effectively shows all the legal sportsbook odds for each of the three main markets – spreads, totals, and moneylines – so that bettors can know what they’re getting is the best price. Just use the dropdown menu to toggle between the type of bet you want, and then make sure you’re getting the best price when you bet.

If you’re looking at spreads, getting an extra half point on either side can make or break the difference, and getting the best side of a total points market can be crucial as well. When it comes to Moneyline betting, you always want to get the best number possible – all three things that the easy comparison points of the Odds Table allow.

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Bills vs. Jets Player Props

The props tool enables bettors to effectively track Bills Jets odds across sportsbooks for every player prop, to make sure that bettors aren’t missing out on a better total, or a better value, on a player prop.

Whether it’s getting a total you want to bet an Over on 5 yards lower, or a line where you have to pay less juice, the Props tool enables bettors to make sure they’re not missing out on the best available Sunday Night Football odds.

Bills vs. Jets Betting News & Angles

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Bills Vs. Jets Injury Report

Buffalo Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
Tremaine EdmundsLBHeelQuestionable63.3
Matt MilanoLBObliqueQuestionable58.9
Mitch MorseCElbowProbable55.5
Spencer BrownOTFootQuestionable53.8
Taiwan JonesRBKneeProbable15.0

New York Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
Duane BrownOTShoulderQuestionable58.0
Corey DavisWRKneeQuestionable48.1
C.J. UzomahTEShoulderQuestionable46.4

Bills Offense Vs. Jets Defense

Bills OffenseStats (Rank)Jets Defense
29.0 (2)Points/Gm19.9 (11)
0.4 (2)Points/Play0.3 (2)
430.6 (1)Yards/Gm311.4 (6)
307.7 (1)Pass Yards/Gm203.4 (10)
122.9 (14)Rush Yards/Gm108.0 (9)
6.6 (1)Yards/Play4.7 (2)
7.9 (3)Yards/Pass5.8 (4)
5.0 (8)Yards/Rush3.8 (2)
50.6% (2)3rd Down %39.8% (13)
53.8% (17)Red Zone %59.1% (19)
12 (22)Turnovers12 (9)
11 (2)Sacks21 (9)

Jets Offense Vs. Bills Defense

Jets OffenseStats (Rank)Bills Defense
22.0 (18)Points/Gm14.0 (1)
0.3 (18)Points/Play0.2 (1)
337.9 (19)Yards/Gm298.1 (3)
229.1 (14)Pass Yards/Gm203.1 (9)
108.8 (20)Rush Yards/Gm95.0 (4)
5.3 (19)Yards/Play5.0 (6)
6.1 (26)Yards/Pass6.0 (6)
4.6 (15)Yards/Rush4.1 (5)
33.0% (29)3rd Down %40.5% (16)
60.9% (12)Red Zone %50.0% (8)
12 (22)Turnovers14 (4)
19 (20)Sacks21 (9)

Packers vs. Lions Betting Insights

Reasons The Bills Can Cover The Spread

The Bills have the type of team to cover these sorts of big spreads – a capable defense and an elite offense. Josh Allen and co have the Bills 4th in DVOA and 5th by PFF’s grades on offense, and they’re 2nd and 5th through the air. Assuming Allen can put up points, the Jets will be in negative script, helping the Bills.

Plainly, Zach Wilson unraveled last week as soon as he got into a negative game script – throwing interceptions on consecutive drives to throw away the game. The only reason the Jets didn’t get completely blown out was the Pats scored 3 points on those two drives despite starting in Jets territory both times. If Wilson gives up those chances to Josh Allen, they’re going to cost more than 3 points.

Why The Jets can cover the spread

The road to an under here is the Jets getting home on Allen without blitzing, which they’ve shown an ability to do. They get the 3rd most pressure in the league while blitzing 5th least, and if they can get home, then the Bills offense could stutter at times.

If they can’t, the only other realistic route to the under is Zach Wilson plays a conservative style in an attempt to stop the turnovers, and in so doing, he plays a bad style that fails to move the ball.

Reasons to bet the over

The Bills have one of the most explosive offenses in the league, and can easily make big plays, which helps a game hit their number. The Bills are also one of the league’s pass happiest teams, being 2nd in the league in Early Down Pass Rate over Expectations – a metric that shows how much a team would normally pass, for down and distance, versus how much they actually do.

Heavy passing teams are great for overs, and the Bills should be able to put up a decent chunk of points. The Jets are realistically the concern, but if you get Wilson into obvious passing situations, he can either make big plays (like he did to set up the garbage time TD last week), or throw a pick. Either way, good for overs.

Reasons to bet the under

The road to an under here is the Jets getting home on Allen without blitzing, which they’ve shown an ability to do. They get the 3rd most pressure in the league while blitzing 5th least, and if they can get home, then the Bills offense could stutter at times.

If they can’t, the only other realistic route to the under is Zach Wilson plays a conservative style in an attempt to stop the turnovers, and in so doing, he plays a bad style that fails to move the ball.

Bills vs. Jets Props: Matchups To Watch For

Zach Wilson Interceptions: Given Wilson is coming off a three-interception game, the temptation could be to go back to the well, but it might be a smart move to trust him not to. The Jets are going to make sure to put him in positions to succeed, and that will mean a simplified playbook, lots of running plays, and a quick read offense. If that’s correct, then he could easily avoid an interception, and at that price, the under is enticing.

Wilson INTs: Over/Under / ()

Final Thoughts

Throughout the Jets entire winning streak, they were always an enigma – their defense has been good the whole time, but we never got to see Zach Wilson in a negative game script. Against New England, we saw it, and he buckled under the pressure. Given the Jets are 12 point underdogs, a negative script here seems rather likely.

The Bills are a machine – they score almost at will, and unless the Jets can truly get Allen down with four, they probably will flirt with 30 again this week. And if they do, then the Jets have to score against a very good defense.

The problem with this is that it’s still 12 points with a home dog in division, and the Packers did effectively run all over the Bills last week. Aaron Jones averaged 7.2 yards/run, which should be the blueprint for the Jets to try and match.

If Zach Wilson plays like he did in New England, this is Bills easily, but if he plays better, then the Jets could cover this number.

Best of luck betting Bills Jets odds.

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