NFL Week 8 Betting Preview: Washington Commanders at Indianapolis Colts

Written By Marco Cerino on October 30, 2022
commanders colts odds

The 3-3-1 Indianapolis Colts will host the 3-4 Washington Commanders in Week 8 action Sunday afternoon. With the debut of Sam Ehlinger at quarterback, the home team is favored on the spread and on the moneyline. Commanders Colts odds feature an over/under of

In this article, we’ll examine the most influential trends and stats in this game. We’ll dive into the key metrics, match-ups, and best available odds for players looking to make a play on this game. Go to our NFL page for the full Week 8 odds grid.

COMMANDERS vs. COLTS ODDS: SPREAD, MONEYLINE, OVER/UNDER

Go through the dropdown menu for Commanders Colts odds and select the preferred market to find the best price.

Spread bets are often the most popular option for betting NFL games, as they deal with the final score and result. As three-point favorites, the Colts have to win by four or more to cover. The Commanders can win a spread bet by any result where they lose by two or less, including a tie or outright win. If the Colts win by 3, the bets push and the books refund all wagers. 

Moneyline bets are a more universal standard across sports betting. This wager focuses on who will win outright, regardless of the margin of victory. The Colts’ at -140 shows some confidence from the books, despite a debuting quarterback. 

Over/under bets have become a popular choice for football bets, as they focus on the total amount of points scored. Fans can cheer for scoring if holding the over tickets, while under bettors usually want to see some defense. If the total wagered is 40, a final of 23-21 will hit the over, while 20-17 will cash the under. 

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COMMANDERS VS. COLTS PLAYER PROPS

Player prop bets have become increasingly popular and available. Type in the name of a player or team below to get the best available prices on bets like anytime touchdown, over/under on yardage, or odds of getting a sack. This is a good way to take advantage of potentially favorable lines in Commanders Colts odds for stars like Terry McLaurin or Jonathan Taylor.

COMMANDERS VS. COLTS BETTING NEWS AND ANGLES

COMMANDERS VS. COLTS WEATHER REPORT

The game is scheduled for Lucas Oil Field in Indianapolis. In late October, expect the retractable roof to be closed, especially with a 4:25 PM local kickoff. If the team chooses to open the roof, they usually won’t announce it until gameday.

Colts Vs. Washington Injury Report

Indianapolis Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
Kenny Moore IICBFingerQuestionable72.4
Matt RyanQBShoulderOut71.6
Kwity PayeDEAnkleOut45.8
Grant StuardLBPectoralOut18

Washington Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
Cole HolcombLBFootOut63.7
Jahan DotsonWRHamstringOut63
Logan ThomasTECalfQuestionable51.8
William Jackson IIICBBackOut51
Saahdiq CharlesOTIllnessQuestionable41.3
Cole TurnerTEConcussionOut39.3
Dyami BrownWRGroinQuestionable15.8

Colts Offense Vs. Washington Defense

Colts OffenseStats (Rank)Commanders Defense
16.1 (30)Points/Gm22.3 (19)
0.2 (30)Points/Play0.4 (19)
341.6 (16)Yards/Gm336 (13)
260.6 (7)Pass Yards/Gm217.6 (17)
81 (30)Rush Yards/Gm118.4 (16)
5 (27)Yards/Play5.5 (16)
6.1 (23)Yards/Pass6.8 (19)
3.5 (29)Yards/Rush4.6 (18)
40.2% (16)3rd Down %29.5% (2)
50% (22)Red Zone %52% (10)
14 (30)Turnovers4 (31)
24 (29)Sacks19 (7)

Washington Offense Vs. Colts Defense

Commanders OffenseStats (Rank)Colts Defense
17.9 (26)Points/Gm20 (13)
0.3 (15)Points/Play0.3 (3)
326.6 (24)Yards/Gm313.7 (8)
221 (19)Pass Yards/Gm190.3 (6)
105.6 (22)Rush Yards/Gm123.4 (22)
4.9 (29)Yards/Play5.1 (7)
5.8 (29)Yards/Pass6.5 (12)
4.1 (24)Yards/Rush4.1 (4)
36.8% (20)3rd Down %34.8% (9)
50% (22)Red Zone %57.9% (19)
9 (16)Turnovers7 (23)
24 (29)Sacks17 (10)

COMMANDERS VS. COLTS BETTING INSIGHTS

WHY THE COMMANDERS CAN COVER

Both teams are 3-4 against the spread this year. Books usually build a three-point advantage into the line for the home team, which suggests this game is likely a coin flip and the teams are even. Washington has covered the last two weeks, including their first outright win as underdogs last week against the Packers. Their defense also gives them an edge against an untested QB.

WHY THE COLTS CAN COVER

Indianapolis enters 2-1 at home and are 2-1 against the spread at Lucas Oil Field. They’ve covered twice so far this year following losses in which they failed to cover. Last week, they lost to the Titans and didn’t cover the 2.5-point spread. Expect the home crowd to be amped for the first career start for Ehlinger, who will get a fair shake at being the long-term QB for a franchise known for stability under center. That should give the offense a boost.

REASONS TO BET THE OVER

Washington hit the over on Week 2 against Detroit (the highest total they’ve seen so far this year at 48), their lone dome game this season. The Commanders are 3-4 at hitting the over this season, including last week’s win with a total of 41.5. The Colts’ lone over cash this season came in their most recent home game, a 34-27 win over Jacksonville that easily cleared the 41 total. 

REASONS TO BET THE UNDER

The under has hit in six of seven Colts’ games. With Ehlinger under center for the first time as a starter, expect to see a heavier run presence and safer play-calling from Frank Reich’s braintrust. That pace will probably suit a more methodical offense we’ve seen from Washington, who will look to control the clock with their balanced offense.

COMMANDERS VS. COLTS PROPS: KEY MATCH-UPS

Colts RB Jonathan Taylor vs. Commanders Rush D: What’s a good way to acclimate a first-time starting QB? How about handing the ball to one of the best bellcow backs in the league? After missing two weeks due to injury, Taylor averaged 5.8 yards per carry in a loss to Tennessee, while making seven receptions in the loss that saw the offense struggle. Establish the run early against a team that is around the middle of the league in rush defense to help Ehlinger get comfortable, and get those high-percentage passes out of the backfield.

Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards: O/U / ()

Jonathan Taylor Anytime TD:  

Commanders WR Terry McLaurin vs. Colts DBs: Hey it’s Halloween, so of course we have to talk “Scary Terry.” With Heinicke under center last year, McLaurin had over 1,000 receiving yards and 11 games with over 50 yards. Sunday’s score to put Washington ahead for good was his first TD since last November against the Panthers. The Colts’ defense gives up a high completion percentage (over 67 percent) but just over 190 passing yards per game, seventh-best in the NFL. To keep pace in a surprisingly hot NFC East, Washington can’t afford to ghost their top receiver.

Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards: O/U / ()

Terry McLaurin Over/Under Anytime TD:

Colts WR Alec Pierce vs. Commanders DBs: The rookie wideout from Cincinnati has become a key component to the Colts aerial attack. After a couple lackluster weeks, a new QB under helm could be an opportunity to renew focus. The Colts are very good as a team in yards after catch (seventh-best). Early catches to build confidence will help increase targets against an average passing defense from Washington.

FINAL THOUGHTS

This was supposed to be the first of two Carson Wentz “homecoming” games this season, facing the Colts team that traded him away this offseason. Both he and Matt Ryan are injured and out for a while. Two teams will get to see if they have their future quarterbacks on the roster. This is a highly important game for both sides and should be an intriguing matchup.

Early money from Monday on DraftKings went heavily into Washington on the +3 spread and the moneyline. Even more money went into the Under 40 option. This is worth following during the week to see if things shift back to the Colts or the Over, or if the books will lower either number. Best of luck betting Commanders Colts odds.

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