NFL Week 8 Betting Preview: Chicago Bears at Dallas Cowboys

Written By Derek Wagner on October 28, 2022
bears cowboys odds

The Chicago Bears (3-4) visit the Dallas Cowboys (5-2) at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday, Oct. 30. The Cowboys are spread favorites and on the moneyline, with the Bears . Bears Cowboys odds feature a total set at .

In this article we break down everything you need to know before placing a bet on the game, including team matchups, key metrics, weather, and the best available odds. Click on any of the Bears Cowboys odds in this article to bet now.

Bears Cowboys odds: SPREAD, MONEYLINE, OVER/UNDER

When using the odds table above, click the dropdown menu located in the upper left corner and select the type of bet you wish to make. 

Betting on the spread is when you wager on how many points a team will win or lose by. A “plus” sign in front of the spread is the underdog, and a “minus” sign is the favorite. The Cowboys need to win by ten points or more if you bet on them against the spread, as they’re priced as -9.5 spread favorites.

Conversely, a spread bet on the Bears would need Chicago to lose by nine or less. That wager would also cash if Chicago wins outright.

The total is the number of combined points that the two teams will score. Bettors can choose to bet “over” or “under” on how many total points will be scored in the game.

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Cowboys vs. Bears player props

In the props tool search bar, type in a team or player and hit enter. You’ll see the various proposition bets offered by online sportsbooks. This is a valuable tool that allows bettors to compare odds and stats quickly when considering a prop bet. It saves users time spent toggling back and forth between different sportsbooks to search for differences in number.

Cowboys vs. Bears betting news & angles

The Cowboys Bears odds have been on the move since the line opened. The Look-ahead line for this game was Cowboys -10. After their dominating performance Monday night in Foxborough, the line has come down to Bears +9.5 underdogs.

Cowboys Vs. Bears Injury Report

Dallas Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatus
Noah BrownWRFootDoubtful
Micah ParsonsLBShoulderQuestionable
Sam WilliamsDEKneeQuestionable
Tarell BashamDEThighQuestionable
Ezekiel ElliottRBKneeDoubtful
Matt FarniokOGHamstringOut
Jourdan LewisCBFootOut
Devin HarperLBAchillesQuestionable
Terence SteeleOTNeckQuestionable
Dalton SchultzTEKneeQuestionable

Chicago Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatus
Byron PringleWRCalfQuestionable

Cowboys Offense Vs. Bears Defense

Cowboys OffenseStats (Rank)Bears Defense
19.1 (22)Points/Gm18.9 (7)
0.3 (15)Points/Play0.3 (3)
305.0 (29)Yards/Gm330.0 (12)
183.3 (27)Pass Yards/Gm180.3 (3)
121.7 (14)Rush Yards/Gm149.7 (29)
5.1 (22)Yards/Play5.4 (12)
6.1 (23)Yards/Pass6.5 (12)
4.3 (20)Yards/Rush4.7 (22)
32.2% (30)3rd Down %46.6% (30)
55.6% (14)Red Zone %61.9% (24)
6 (4)Turnovers12 (5)
11 (5)Sacks12 (22)

Bears Offense Vs. Cowboys Defense

Bears OffenseStats (Rank)Cowboys Defense
18.0 (24)Points/Gm14.9 (2)
0.3 (15)Points/Play0.2 (1)
307.4 (28)Yards/Gm305.3 (6)
126.3 (32)Pass Yards/Gm185.1 (4)
181.1 (1)Rush Yards/Gm120.1 (20)
5.3 (17)Yards/Play4.7 (2)
6.5 (16)Yards/Pass5.5 (3)
5.2 (5)Yards/Rush4.4 (15)
40.7% (13)3rd Down %35.1% (10)
47.4% (27)Red Zone %42.9% (5)
11 (25)Turnovers12 (5)
27 (32)Sacks29 (1)

BEARS AT COWBOYS BETTING INSIGHTS

Why the Cowboys Can Cover The Spread

The Cowboys pass rush can absolutely wreck this game if the Bears don’t execute to perfection. Although the Bears had a solid overall game against the Patriots, Micah Parsons is a different beast. The Cowboys defense leads the NFL with 91 pressures through seven games. In fact, the next closest team in pressures to the Cowboys is the Chiefs with 79.

Not only are the Cowboys good at getting pressure on the quarterback, but the Bears offense has also yielded the most sacks in the NFL this season with 27. The offensive line has held up well as the Bears have a pass block win rate of 68%, good for third best in the NFL. The problem for the Bears offense has been Justin Fields holding onto the football too long and taking unnecessary sacks. In fact, Fields leads the NFL in pocket time with 2.7 seconds. This is the average time in seconds between the snap and throwing the football or getting pressured. Fields is simply holding onto the ball too long. If he does this against Parsons and the Cowboys, the Bears could be in for a long day.

With Prescott back, the Cowboys offense got back on track against the lowly Lions last week. While Dak was out, the Cowboys offense was below league average in EPA per play. The Cowboys in fact had the seventh highest dropback EPA in the NFL for Week 7. Dak is fully capable of picking apart this Bears defense.

The return of Dak, coupled with one of the best running back duos in football, should allow the Cowboys offense should find great success against a Bears defense that has played subpar so far this season. Chicago’s defense has yielded a rushing success rate that is the seventh highest in the NFL. They simply cannot stop the run. Although the Bears only allowed 3.7 yards per carry against the Patriots, New England was playing from negative game script and was forced to abandon the run late in the game.

Why the Bears Can Cover The Spread

On the other hand, Chicago’s offense was churning at a very high level against the Patriots. Getsy made a commitment to using Fields’ running ability as a weapon, as he designed 10 runs for the second-year quarterback. Fields had 18 designed runs called for him all of last season under Matt Nagy. If Getsy can call a similar game and design running plays away from Micah Parsons’ side of the field, the Bears could find some consistency on the offensive side of the football again. The Bears finished Week 7 as seventh in EPA per play. Getsy may have turned a corner in his offensive play calling.

Entering their Week 7 matchup against the Patriots, the Bears defense was top five in DVOA in the second half of football games. Although Chicago’s defense ranks league average in DVOA, they have a tendency to button things up after halftime. Rookie defensive backs Jaquan Brisker and Kyler Gordon may have found their stride as well after each player intercepted a pass on Monday night against the Patriots.

Reasons To Bet The Over

All of a sudden, it appears the Bears offense is fixed. The Bears offense had only scored 20 points twice before obliterating the Patriots and dropping 33 on them Monday night. The Patriots got caught in man situations a lot and were exposed because of it. Unlike the Patriots the Cowboys defense runs much less man coverage and more zone. The Cowboys defense also ranks first in EPA after overtaking a banged-up 49ers defense that was leading for much of the season. In conclusion, the over for this game hinges on the Bears being able to contribute enough points on their end against a strong Dallas defense.

Reasons To Bet The Under

If we remove the Bears offensive explosion from last week from the equation, the Bears are still a slow methodical offense that does not generate many explosive plays. Luke Getsy’s offense is manufacturing the eighth slowest tempo in the second half of football games this season (via Football Outsiders). Once halftime ends, the Bears are looking to drain the clock and end the game rather than speed things up. Even when trailing the Bears lean on their running game.

Cowboys vs. Bears props: Matchups to watch for

Offensive Coordinator Luke Getsy Vs. Micah Parsons

This is likely one of the biggest matchups to watch for in this game. Luke Getsy called a great game against the Patriots and helped snap the Bears 11 game losing streak in prime-time games. This was in large part due to Luke Getsy’s play design and ability to get Fields moving outside of the pocket, throwing on the run, and attacking the defense with his legs at times.

Getsy faces his toughest task since becoming offensive coordinator of the Bear however, and that is stopping Micah Parsons. In regard to pass rushers in the NFL, there may not be a single one that can match the speed and pure strength that Parsons brings to the Cowboys defense.

Flashback to last season when Getsy was on the Packers coaching staff. In a Week 3 matchup against the 49ers, Robbie Gould made a field goal with 37 seconds remaining to give the Niners a 28-27 lead. The Packers had no timeouts left and Nick Bosa was licking his chops at a chance to end the game with a sack of Aaron Rodgers. First offensive snap was a 25-yard completion to Davante Adams where Nick Bosa was chipped by tight end Robert Tonyan, allowing Rodgers plenty of time to throw. On the final play of the drive Bosa was chipped yet again, this time by running back Aaron Jones.

If Getsy learned anything from his time in Green Bay, it was to help the offensive line by chipping the elite pass rushers in the league. If the Bears can isolate him and minimize his impact on the game, the Bears could hang around and possibly play spoiler.

Bears run defense Vs. Cowboys offense

The Cowboys present one of the best one-two punches in the NFL at the running back position in Ezekiel Elliot and Tony Pollard. In fact, Pollard is averaging the twelfth-highest yards per carry in the NFL this season with 5.6. Additionally, the Bears defense is allowing the ninth highest yards per carry in the NFL with 4.7. If offensive coordinator Kellen Moore makes a commitment to the ground game, it could be a long day for Chicago’s defense.

Final thoughts

Since the value on the Bears side isn’t there anymore, I won’t play this game unless the spread gets back out to +10 (-110) before kickoff. Additionally, I would not be comfortable laying the points here with Dallas. Prescott is still shaking off some rust after missing games with an injury. Although the Cowboys beat the Lions in Week 7, they did so in unimpressive fashion. The Cowboys trailed the game 6-3 at halftime after all and wound up winning the game 24-6, thanks to a Jamaal Williams fumble at the goal line and 5 total turnovers from the Lions. As long as Getsy has a solid game plan and is chipping Parsons early in the game in passing situations, I’ll look to live bet the Bears over the key number of 10.

Best of luck handicapping Bears Cowboys odds.

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