NFL Week 8 Implied Team Totals: Packers Among Bottom Dwellers

Written By Brett Gibbons on October 25, 2022
week 8 implied team totals

Each week during the NFL season, TheLines will compile a list of implied team totals. In other words, NFL Week 8 implied team totals are how many points each team is expected to score this week, based on simple math with the spread and over/under.

Readers can make use of these team totals in a variety of ways for NFL Week 8 and beyond. Those ways include handicapping props, making fantasy decisions, etc.

All lines come from DraftKings Sportsbook as of Oct. 25 and are rounded to the nearest whole number.

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NFL Week 8 Implied Team Totals

TeamImplied Team TotalOpponentLocationSpreadOver/Under

Highest NFL Week 8 Implied Team Totals

TeamImplied Team TotalDraftKings Team TotalOver PriceUnder Price

Buffalo Bills

The NFL’s second-top scoring offense comes fresh off a bye week at home against the Green Bay Packers. Josh Allen is second in touchdown rate (7.1%), second in yards per attempt (8.3), and led the NFL in total touchdowns heading into his bye week. With a downright nasty receiving corps led by All-Pro Stefon Diggs and emerging star Gabe Davis, the Bills are a threat to score from anywhere on the field.

The Packers are an above-average pass defense on the season, but really have only faced one above-average passing attack so far. In that game, Week 1 against the Vikings, the Packers allowed 184 yards and a pair of touchdowns to Justin Jefferson.

At this point, the Bills are fairly matchup-proof. They’re always going to be near or at the top of implied totals thanks to their MVP-caliber quarterback and explosive offensive potential.

Philadelphia Eagles

The emergence and efficiency of Jalen Hurts is the story of the year so far with the Eagles. He’s third in on-target passing rate (80.5%), fourth in yards per attempt (8.2), and a completion percentage in league with Tom Brady and Patrick Mahomes (66.8%).

Philadelphia comes off a bye well-rested to host the cross-state rival Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 8. The Steelers provided resistance to the Dolphins passing game on Sunday Night Football, but where also rolled by the Bills, Jets, and Browns offenses this season. Without TJ Watt in the lineup, this defense isn’t the same. They’ve capitalized at times on mistake-prone QBs thanks to Minkah Fitzpatrick, who returned to the field last Sunday after missing a few games.

At home, off a bye, the Eagles are unsurprisingly projected for among the most points in the league this week.

Lowest NFL Week 8 Implied Team Totals

TeamImplied Team TotalDraftKings Team TotalOver PriceUnder Price

Pittsburgh Steelers

The Steelers needed overtime to score their season-high 23 points in Week 1. Since then, they haven’t breached 20 points. Nothing’s going for this offense, clocking in 28th in rush yards per attempt (3.7) and rookie Kenny Pickett has thrown seven interceptions to just two touchdowns. As a result, the Steelers are awarded the lowest implied total of the week.

Against Miami’s defense in Week 7, Pickett threw three interceptions and managed just 10 points. The Dolphins are allowing the fourth-highest passing success rate in the NFL.

This season, the Eagles defense has forced a turnover on 22.2% of drives, most in the NFL. They have a trio of terrific cornerbacks and a young front seven wreaking havoc on much better offensive lines than the Steelers. When Pittsburgh gets behind and has to play desperation football, Pickett commits turnovers. It’s hard to envision a world where this isn’t the case in Week 8.

Chicago Bears

Despite a 33-point outing against the Patriots‘ defense on Monday Night Football, the Bears are right back to the bottom of the barrel. Justin Fields had another valiant rushing output, his second straight game of at least 12 attempts and 80 yards. However, he’s met with one of the nastiest and most athletic defenses in the NFL– the Dallas Cowboys.

The Cowboys lead the NFL in sacks (29) with Micah Parsons (seven) leading the charge. They’re pressuring QBs on a ridiculous 32.9% of dropbacks, leading to a higher-than-average QB rushing yards allowed (due to scrambles). Dallas also leads the NFL in EPA per play allowed.

Chicago is 28th in success rate (41%) this season and they lack a true go-to receiving option for Fields. It’s no surprise to see them back at the bottom despite their season-high scoring output in Week 7.

Green Bay Packers

Rarely do you see Aaron Rodgers & Co. near the bottom of implied totals. But such is the case this week as the Packers visit the Buffalo Bills as 11-point road dogs; it’s the largest an underdog Rodgers has been in his entire career. Despite their banged-up secondary, the Bills are first in points per play allowed (0.228) and fourth in yards per play allowed (4.8).

Points are hard to come by for Green Bay thanks to a team that’s second in the NFL in drops (15). Promising rookie Romeo Doubs leads the way in that category, dropping nearly 12% of targets sent his way.

Rodgers is also facing far more pressure than the QB should be. He’s made a career being un-sackable thanks to a ridiculously quick processor and one of the NFL’s fastest releases. While this year is no different in pocket time (2.2 seconds on average), he’s still facing an above-average pressure rate at 22.3% (13th).

Buffalo records a sack on 8.4% of dropbacks this season, fourth-most in the NFL, and a turnover on 18.3% of drives, third-most in the NFL. Without a true go-to receiver, the Packers offense is expected to be outmatched, leading to a low 18-point implied total.

Interestingly, DraftKings’ team total prop actually favors under 17.5 (-115).

Other Notable Implied Team Totals

TeamImplied Team TotalDraftKings Team TotalOver PriceUnder Price

Detroit Lions

After starting off as the NFL’s highest-scoring team, the Lions combined for six total points over their last two games. Was that due to facing complex and athletic defenses? Or a sign to come?

D’Andre Swift will try to push his return to this week after sitting out last. The initial report was that he’d return off the bye week, but the back didn’t feel ready enough to play against the Cowboys. Detroit missed him dearly, scoring six points against Dallas. His backup, Jamaal Williams, fumbled the ball at the one yard line in a pivotal moment in the game. How would the game have shaken out if Swift was in and scored instead? Who’s to say.

Amon-Ra St. Brown also left the game early on with a concussion. He progressed through concussion protocols early in the week and may return to action.

Should both Swift and St. Brown return, there’s not much of a reason to think the Lions won’t return to their scoring levels. They face the Miami Dolphins, who are allowing the fourth-highest passing success rate (50.7%) and the sixth-most EPA on dropbacks. As the Lions continue to play catchup with their nonexistent defense, the offense has a recipe for points.

Brett Gibbons Avatar
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Brett Gibbons

Brett is an avid sports traveler and former Division-I football recruiter for Bowling Green and Texas State. He’s a graduate of BGSU and works as an auditor for Google content curation products. He’s also contributed to Sports Illustrated and Fansided during his young writing career.

View all posts by Brett Gibbons