NFL Week 8 Betting Preview: Baltimore Ravens at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Written By Eli Hershkovich on October 27, 2022
Ravens Buccaneers Odds

The Baltimore Ravens visit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 8:20 p.m. ET on Thursday, Oct. 27. This primetime game, which kicks off NFL Week 8 odds, showcases the Buccaneers as spread favorites and on the moneyline. Ravens – Buccaneers odds also feature a total set at .

In this post, we’ll dig into everything you need to know before placing a bet on Thursday Night Football odds, including matchups, key metrics, and the best available odds. Click on any of the Ravens – Buccaneers odds to bet now.

Ravens at Buccaneers: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under

When using the odds table above, click the dropdown menu and select the type of bet you wish to make. 

Betting on the point spread is when you wager on how many points a team will win or lose by. A “plus” sign in front of the spread is the underdog, and a “minus” sign is the favorite. The Buccaneers need to win by two points or more if you bet on them against the spread, as they’re priced as a one-point road favorite at most shops. Conversely, a spread bet on the Ravens would need Baltimore to win outright or tie at the end of overtime.

The total is the number of combined points that the two teams will score. Bettors can bet “over” or “under” on how many total points will be scored in the game.

Ravens at Buccaneers: Player Props

In the props tool search bar, type in a team or player and hit enter. You’ll see the various proposition bets offered by leading online sportsbooks. 

This is a valuable tool that allows bettors to compare odds and stats when considering a prop bet. 

Ravens at Buccaneers: Betting News

As of Thursday, the Ravens have manufactured 71% of the spread handle and 64% of the tickets, respectively, as the road underdog. This data comes from BetMGM Sportsbook, which is trading Baltimore at . Additional updates on Ravens – Buccaneers odds can be found below.

Ravens at Buccaneers: Weather Report

The weather forecast for Tampa on Thursday is dry (broken clouds) and calm (6 mph winds), with a high temperature of 77 degrees.

Baltimore Injuries

Marlon HumphreyCBHamstringQuestionable
Rashod BatemanWRUndisclosedQuestionable
Marcus PetersCBQuadQuestionable
Calais CampbellDEIllnessOut
Gus EdwardsRBKneeQuestionable
Mark AndrewsTEKneeQuestionable
Ronnie StanleyOTAnkleQuestionable
Brandon StephensDBObliqueQuestionable
Josh BynesILBQuadQuestionable

Tampa Bay Injuries

K.J. BrittILBAnkleOut
Cameron BrateTENeckOut
Russell GageWRHamstringOut
Sean Murphy-BuntingCBQuadOut
Luke GoedekeOGFootOut
Julio JonesWRKneeQuestionable
Carlton DavisCBHipOut

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Ravens at Buccaneers: Betting Insights

Why Ravens Can Cover The Spread

After the betting market bumped up John Harbaugh’s team to as high as a two-point favorite, sharp money came in on Tampa Bay on Wednesday.

The 4-3 Ravens have underperformed thus far, somehow managing to blow a double-digit fourth-quarter lead in each of their losses.

Moreover, Baltimore offensive coordinator Greg Roman has been fairly criticized for his conservative approach in those games. The Ravens utilize the league’s sixth-highest rushing percentage (48.8%) — a byproduct of the read-option with duel-threat quarterback Lamar Jackson.

With that being said, the Ravens are bit undervalued in the betting market — especially given this matchup offensively. The Bucs’ run defense has declined after representing one of the most prestigious units over the last two seasons.

In fact, they rank below league average in both Rushing EPA and Success Rate (SR), respectively. A play is successful if a team produce:

  • 50 percent of the yards needed to move the chains on first down
  • 70 percent of yards to gain on second down
  • 100 percent of yards to gain on third or fourth down

To make matters worse, Tampa Bay’s secondary will be without a quartet of playmakers (Carlton Davis III, Antonie Winfield, Logan Ryan, and Sean Murphy-Bunting). Even if the Ravens tight end Mark Andrews can’t go, wide receiver Rashod Bateman is expected to play. They possess a clear-cut advantage on this side of the ball.

Why Buccaneers Can Cover The Spread

Make no mistake — Tom Brady and and his offense is struggling, producing the 20th-ranked Offensive EPA over the last two weeks — both resulting in losses.

They’re even tied for the fourth-most collective drops. But at the same time, this game could represent a buy-low spot.

Although the Ravens’ secondary was expected to rebound after an abundance of injuries in 2021, they haven’t followed suit. Mike Macdonald’s defense is yielding the 10th-highest Dropback EPA across the NFL.

The loss of safety Brandon Williams (wrist) can’t be overstated enough, and cornerback Marcus Peters doesn’t look like his old self after recovering from a torn ACL.

Brady’s arm talent has declined, yet he still can take advantage of a vulnerable secondary. The Bucs, which rank dead-last in Rushing EPA, could also undergo positive regression on the ground against an equally susceptible run defense.

Despite Tampa Bay’s 0-5 ATS record in its last five games, it could very well snap that skid on Thursday Night Football.

Related: Super Bowl 57 Odds

Reasons To Bet The Over

Considering all of the factors above, I’d consider backing the over. The betting market has already bet the total up a little after it opened at 43.5. However, it hasn’t reached a key number (47).

Reasons To Bet The Under

Unless you’re buying into the notion that both offenses will continue to struggle, there isn’t much of a case for the under.

Final Thoughts

I’m going to gauge the live market for this one, aiming to obtain Ravens +7.5 or better. You could them as a teaser leg as well.

While I’m considerably higher on Baltimore than Tampa Bay, the situational spot for Brady & Co. pushed me away from a pregame wager.

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Eli Hershkovich

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