NFL Week 9 Betting Preview: Baltimore Ravens at New Orleans Saints

Written By Eli Hershkovich on November 7, 2022
Ravens Saints Odds

The Baltimore Ravens visit the New Orleans Saints at 8:15 p.m. ET on Monday, Nov. 7. This primetime game, which wraps up NFL Week 8 odds, showcases the Ravens as spread favorites and on the moneyline. Ravens – Saints odds also has a total of .

In this post, we’ll dig into everything you need to know before placing a bet on Monday Night Football odds, including matchups, key metrics, and the best available odds. Click on any of the Ravens – Saints odds in this preview to bet now.

Ravens at Saints: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under

When using the table above, click the dropdown menu and select the type of bet you wish to make for Ravens – Saints odds. 

Betting on the spread is when you wager on how many points a team will win or lose by. A “plus” sign in front of the spread is the underdog, and a “minus” sign is the favorite. The Ravens need to win by two points or more if you bet on them against the spread, as they’re priced as a 1.5-point favorite at most shops.

Conversely, a spread bet on the Saints would need New Orleans to lose by one points or less. That wager would cash if Dennis Allen’s team wins outright as well.

The total is the number of combined points that the two teams will score. Bettors can choose to bet “over” or “under” on how many total points will be scored in the game.

Ravens at Saints: Player Props

In the props tool search bar, type in a team or player and hit enter. You’ll see the various proposition bets offered by leading online sportsbooks. 

This is a valuable tool that allows bettors to compare odds and stats when considering a prop bet. 

Ravens at Saints: Betting News

As of Monday, the Ravens have tallied 64% of the spread bets while the Saints have notched 54% of the spread handle. This data comes from BetMGM Sportsbook, which is trading the New Orleans at providers=”MGM” show_provider=”yes”]. Additional updates can be found below.

Ravens at Saints: Weather Report

This game will be played indoors (Caesars Superdome), so weather will not be a factor.

Ravens at Saints: Injury Report

Baltimore Injuries

Marcus PetersCBQuadQuestionable
Mark AndrewsTEKneeOut
Malik HarrisonILBFootQuestionable
Demarcus RobinsonWRGroinQuestionable
Rashod BatemanWRFootOut
Gus EdwardsRBHamstringDoubtful

New Orleans Injuries

Marshon LattimoreCBAbdomenOut
Michael ThomasWRFootOut
Jarvis LandryWRAnkleQuestionable
Mark Ingram IIRBKneeOut
Chase HansenLBKneeOut
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Ravens at Saints: Betting Insights

Why Ravens Can Cover The Spread

The Saints’ secondary has been a shell of its former self with cornerback Marshon Lattimore. Dennis Allen’s unit lost him for a second time this season — in a Week 5 win over the Seahawks. It’s yielded the league’s 11th-highest Dropback EPA ever since.

On paper, Lamar Jackson & Co. should take advantage. However, the Ravens’ offense has suffered significant injuries of its own.

For starters, budding wideout Rashod Bateman will miss the the remainder of the season after undergoing Lisfranc foot surgery. Mark Andrews — one of the NFL’s premier tight ends — may not suit up either, especially with the bye week on deck. Those two receivers have combined for a whopping 41.4% target share over Baltimore’s first eight games.

Hence, the pressure will fall on Devin Duvernay, Isaiah Likely, James Proche, and a 35-year-old Desean Jackson.

Not great, Bob.

To make matters worse, the Saints possess a top-five run defense across numerous metrics. That includes DVOA, which adjusts for the strength of its opponents.

We’ve yet to see the Ravens need to rely on Jackson’s arm for a large portion of a game in 2022 — given their ultra-efficient, top-10 rushing rate (48.15%). Despite their underwhelming weapons, they may be forced to do so if Dennis Allen’s unit wins the battle at the line of scrimmage. Baltimore’s backfield will be without Gus Edwards, too.

Why Saints Can Cover The Spread

Similar to Baltimore, New Orleans’ offense revolves around Alvin Kamara and its collective ground game. Overall, the Saints are generating the third-highest Rushing Success Rate (SR). For context, a rushing attempt is “successful” if it accrues:

  • 50 percent of the yards needed to move the chains on first down
  • 70 percent of yards to gain on second down
  • 100 percent of yards to gain on third or fourth down

John Harbaugh’s defense is getting healthier upfront, but those additions (highlighted by Tyus Bowser) will more so aid the Ravens’ pass rush. Meanwhile, their run defense has been picked apart, allowing the ninth-highest EPA per carry.

Related: Super Bowl 57 Odds

Reasons To Bet The Over

If Jackson is able to stretch out the Saints’ defense more than most would anticipate, this game could fly over. But the likelihood is that Baltimore struggles to consistently manufacture explosive plays through the air.

Reasons To Bet The Under

After opening at 49, the under was bet down to as low as 46.5, which dipped below a key number when it comes to totals. I’d still look this way, considering both teams operate at a below-average tempo in neutral situations (via Football Outsiders).

Final Thoughts

I’ll likely stay away from this game, but I may live bet the under if there’s a fair share of scoring early on. Good luck with your bet(s) on Ravens – Saints odds.

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Eli Hershkovich

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