NFL Week 7 Teaser Legs: Can Colts, Patriots Keep Rolling?

Written By Mo Nuwwarah on October 20, 2022
NFL week 7 teasers

Teaser bets remain a popular option with many NFL bettors. But, you must use caution when selecting which teams you’ll tease, as you can’t win long term without a sound strategy. At TheLines, we’ll go over each week’s NFL slate to see which teams fit best in teasers. Today, we look at options for NFL Week 7 teasers.

Week 6 teaser legs continued what’s been a tough year for teasers. The top options went just 2-2, although the more speculative options swept the board at 3-0.

Be sure to go over our primer on teaser bets hereIt’s imperative that you understand what to look for, from the numbers to the sportsbook juice being paid. Click on the odds anywhere below to bet now.

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The Best NFL Week 7 Teasers

Once again, teaser options dot the board, although line movement has a few of the games on the border.

Saints (+2.5) At Cardinals

Colleague Eli Hershkovich previewed this game and wagered on the Saints earlier this week.

Certainly, fading the Cardinals looks attractive at the moment. Kyler Murray is playing the worst football of his career, and although Deandre Hopkins returns to the lineup, the receiving corps lost Hollywood Brown, making this closer to a wash than the huge upgrade it should have been.

However, the Saints injury situation clouds the picture here. Starters/key players out for New Orleans include:

  • G Andrus Peat
  • WR Michael Thomas
  • WR Jarvis Landry
  • CB Marshon Lattimore
  • TE Adam Trautman

A teaser may help you build in some cushion in case the backups don’t prove up to snuff, but a +3 popped up recently and you may also be best off waiting for that number if you like the Saints.

Colts (+2.5) At Titans

We can usually count on divisional battles being close, so teasing the Colts up here against a mediocre Titans squad (albeit off a bye) in a game with a middling total looks pretty good.

There are certainly some concerns with the Colts here. Chiefly, their protection of Matt Ryan hasn’t been good. And Ryan certainly hasn’t done much to protect himself, taking numerous unnecessary sacks. Heading out to face PFF’s fourth-ranked pass rush, that looms as a major potential issue.

However, they seemed to clean things up a bit against the Jaguars, keeping a bagel in the sack column. And Ryan has seemed to settle into more of a groove, connecting with Michael Pittman Jr. and Alec Pierce more frequently in recent weeks.

Certainly, the Titans figure to have trouble moving the ball. Their vaunted running game has fallen a bit flat so far (11th-worst success rate) and that puts too much pressure on an exceptionally weak group of receivers. Running away from the Colts should prove difficult.

Patriots (-7.5) Vs. Bears

The Bears get a pretty fortunate scheduling situation here. They head to Foxborough for Monday Night Football after coming off the Thursday Night Football game, giving them a bunch of extra time to prepare.

And they get a relatively friendly matchup in the sense that the Patriots do not have a good run defense (22nd by EPA/play). All the Bears want to do is run the ball. Nobody has run the ball more than their 58.81%.

But at the end of the day, this is a stronger team as a home favorite in a game with one of the lowest totals of the week. The Patriots do not appear to have a team likely to continue dominating to the tune of covering multiple scores, but winning the game by at least three should be doable. Until the Bears figure out how to complete forward passes (dead last in PFF passing grade), they will continue to drop games.

Other Potential NFL Week 7 Teasers

Cowboys (-7) Vs. Lions

Both teams here should look closer to their idealized selves. The Cowboys get QB Dak Prescott back from a thumb injury. Meanwhile, the Lions offensive line has gotten healthy after the bye, and WR Amon-Ra St. Brown and RB D’Andre Swift should be 100% or close after getting banged up in recent weeks.

It can be tempting to tease Dallas down to -1. After all, laying large numbers against the Lions should make one nervous given their tendency to hang in games after going down early.

In the end, this is just a high total and a spot where it’s probably best off to make sure Prescott has knocked off the rust and can perform at his normal level. The matchup also doesn’t look the greatest given that the Lions have one of the few offensive lines that can match up with this pass rush.

49ers (+2.5) Vs. Chiefs

I recommended a play on the 49ers early in the week, in hopes that the injury report would break favorably for them. Sure enough, that’s what happened. While some key pieces still remain in question (S Talanoa Hufanga), RT Mike McGlinchey and CB Charvarius Ward), the most important ones (EDGE Nick Bosa and LT Trent Williams) have returned to practice.

Bosa in particular makes a huge difference in this matchup because of his ability to win one-on-one against a questionable pair of Chiefs tackles.

That being said, the total is again high. And Hufanga and Ward could sink the pass defense if they sit, given that CB Emmanuel Moseley has already been lost for the season.

Raiders (-7) Vs. Texans

In their last outing against the Chiefs, the Raiders showcased their top quality edge rushers, with Maxx Crosby and Chandler Jones causing some issues for the elite KC passing offense. Then, the team got a bye, and now they face the Texans at home in a post where a loss basically ends their season.

While the total is a bit high here as well, it’s not so high as to be prohibitive.

However, the Raiders have an explosive passing offense and the Texans have a QB prone to giving the ball away on the road. If Davis Mills finds himself in a negative script, look for the Raiders to have a good chance of covering the full game number. That would render the points you buy meaningless.

One could hardly be blamed for playing this, but consider Raiders -7 instead. Remember, -7.5 is a better line to tease.

Dolphins (-7) Vs. Steelers

In a similar vein, the Dolphins sound like they will return Tua Tagovailoa at QB this week. That makes this offense more explosive than with the naturally more conservative Teddy Bridgewater or late-round QB draftee Skylar Thompson.

Thus, covering the full game line of -7 is doable. Especially so with the Steelers dealing with a litany of injuries to their defense. Not only are pass rushers TJ Watt and Larry Ogunjobi both potentially out, the entire starting secondary is banged up with several sitting against the Buccaneers last week.

Again, consider laying the full -7 if you like Miami.

Best of luck betting on NFL Week 7 teasers.

Mo Nuwwarah Avatar
Written by
Mo Nuwwarah

Mo Nuwwarah got his start in gambling early, making his first sports bet on his beloved Fab Five against the UNC Tar Heels in the 1993 NCAA tournament. He lost $5 to his dad and got back into sports betting years later during a 15-year run in the poker industry. A 2011 journalism graduate from Nebraska-Omaha, he combines those skills with his love of sports and statistics to help bettors make more informed decisions with a focus on pro football, baseball and basketball.

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