NFL Week 7 Teaser Legs: Broncos, Packers Among Teaser-Friendly Sides

Written By Mo Nuwwarah on October 24, 2021
NFL Week 7 teasers

Teaser bets remain a popular option with many NFL bettors. But, you must use caution when selecting which teams you’ll tease, as you can’t win long-term without a sound strategy. At TheLines, we’ll go over each week’s NFL slate to see which teams fit best in teasers. Today, we look at options for NFL Week 7 teasers.

Be sure to go over our primer on teaser bets hereIt’s imperative that you understand what to look for, from the numbers to the sportsbook juice being paid.

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The Best NFL Week 7 Teasers

A week after we only had one clear-cut option — which did manage a late cover — things look a bit better on the teaser front for Week 7. Four pretty good options exist, one of which looks a little borderline just because of the current number.

Broncos (+2) At Browns

The injury-ravaged Browns have seen their number for Thursday Night Football drop from -6 all the way to -2, one of the biggest line moves of the week.

That’s primarily due to injuries, of which the team is juggling several. The most significant yet hit the wire Wednesday morning with news that QB Baker Mayfield will sit. Mayfield had been toughing it out through a non-throwing shoulder injury. With a short week after an aggravation in Sunday’s game, the team has opted for caution.

Luckily, backup QB Case Keenum is among the most experienced and probably talented of the league’s understudies. He might not represent a massive drop, especially relative to the injured version of Mayfield. The line moved roughly 1.5 points in response to the news, a pittance compared to, say, the huge correction that followed Russell Wilson’s injury.

Watch for news on whether Keenum will have his weapons and his tackles to protect him. If he doesn’t, defensive whiz Vic Fangio could make his life miserable.

If you don’t think Keenum can get it done, the low total makes this an extremely good spot to tease, with the only drawback being you have to pair it with something that’s several days away.

Packers (-8) Vs. Football Team

Aaron Rodgers led the Packers to another easy victory as they’ve quietly strung together five straight wins, covering the spread in three of those and still dominating the yards per play in the other two.

Green Bay has a great opportunity to make it six straight as big favorites against Washington, but the market has actually come in on the Football Team here, moving Green Bay down to .

Like the last game, that line has moved a team into the teaser zone. This time, though, you have to fade the steam, which makes this spot a little scarier in one sense.

On the other hand, this is Aaron Rodgers leading a Super Bowl contender at home against a team that just failed to score a single point in the second half against the atrocious Chiefs defense. For all the inspiring underdog tales about undrafted QB Taylor Heinicke, he has a QBR of 46 this year with 6.32 net yards per attempt.

The chances of the Football Team staying competitive here hinge heavily on their defensive line completely dominating the Packers as the Saints managed in Week 1. But, the Packers offensive line has only gotten stronger with Elgton Jenkins returning from injury and star LT David Bakhtiari potentially returning any week now.

Do note that the total is on the border of spots where we want to tease.

Dolphins (+2.5) Vs. Falcons

This one is interesting because if you bet this early enough, you could have teased both sides through the sweet spot as both teams have spent time as underdogs as high as +2.5.

The line has steamed massively toward the Falcons likely due to the Dolphins being in a pretty terrible rest disadvantage spot — they flew home from London without taking the bye and will saddle up for a cost immediately. Atlanta, meanwhile, comes off its own bye. So, they’ve had two weeks to prepare for a jet-lagged team that’s probably bottom five in the league under the best of circumstances.

The Falcons also get key WRs Calvin Ridley and Russell Gage back after missing them against the Jets.

So, why would you want to take the Dolphins here? Well, a home underdog in a game with a moderate total looks like a solid spot.

And the Falcons just look like a dink-and-dunk offense that’s going to have a hard time putting anyone away by building a multiple-score lead. They rank 24th in passing DVOA and worse, dead last in rushing. That means any attempts to kill the clock with a late lead likely just end up in a punt to the Dolphins.

And when Miami does get the ball, their passing offense showed signs of life behind Tua Tagovailoa in London after they ground to a total halt with Jacoby Brissett under center.

Other Potential NFL Week 7 Teasers

One more spot looks potentially pretty good for NFL Week 7 teasers, but the line isn’t quite where you want it to buy points.

Patriots (-7.5) Vs. Jets

In Week 2, the Patriots strangled the Jets offense en route to a 25-6 win. They sacked Zach Wilson four times and picked him off four more in a game the rookie won’t be in a hurry to remember.

That was just the continuation of Pats Coach Bill Belichick’s incredible record against rookie QBs. He had been 21-6 and added wins both there and against the Texans. Wilson has struggled enough to tackle vanilla NFL defenses. Belichick’s complex schemes could bury him again.

The Jets do come off a bye, and the light could come on at any moment for the talented rookie, though. And note that the Jets actually outgained the New England from scrimmage in Week 2, 4.9 to 4.6.

The line here sits at -7 at most of the market, though a few -7.5s have popped up throughout the day at legal sportsbooks tracked by TheLines. Given a home favorite and a low total here, the Patriots do represent a pretty good spot, but this technically doesn’t fall into the profitable numbers unless it nudges upward.

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Mo Nuwwarah

Mo Nuwwarah got his start in gambling early, making his first sports bet on his beloved Fab Five against the UNC Tar Heels in the 1993 NCAA tournament. He lost $5 to his dad and got back into sports betting years later during a 15-year run in the poker industry. A 2011 journalism graduate from Nebraska-Omaha, he combines those skills with his love of sports and statistics to help bettors make more informed decisions with a focus on pro football, baseball and basketball.

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