NFL Week 7 Betting Preview: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers

Written By FairwayJay on October 21, 2022
bucs panthers odds

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers visit the Carolina Panthers at 1:00 p.m. on Sunday, Oct. 23. Primary markets for the game show the Buccaneers spread favorites, with the Panthers on the moneyline. Bucs Panthers odds feature a total set at .

In this post, we’ll dig into everything you need to know before placing a bet on the game, including team matchups, key metrics, weather and the best available NFL Week 7 odds. Click on the odds anywhere in this post to bet now.

Bucs Panthers Odds: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under

When using the Bucs Panthers odds table above, click the dropdown menu and select the type of bet you wish to make. 

Betting the point spread is when you wager on how many points a team will win or lose by. A plus sign in front of the spread denotes the underdog, and a minus sign denotes the favorite.

In this case, the Buccaneers would have to win by at least 12 points if you bet them to cover the point spread (-11). Conversely, a spread bet on the Panthers would need Carolina to either win outright, or lose by 1-10 points (depending on the spread you bet), or tie in overtime.

Betting the moneyline is simply betting on which particular team will win a game.

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Buccaneers vs. Panthers Player Props

In the props tool search bar, type in a team or player and hit enter. You’ll see the various proposition bets offered by leading online sportsbooks. 

This is a valuable tool that allows bettors to compare odds and stats when considering a prop bet. Unlike bigger markets like moneylines and spreads that often reach a consensus number, shopping for prop bet lines can often reveal sizable differences in the numbers.

Buccaneers vs. Panthers Betting News & Angles

Use this rolling, updating list of news bites about each team to help your handicapping for Bucs Panthers odds.

Buccaneers at Panthers Weather Report

Partly cloudy skies in Charlotte with mid-60’s temperatures. Light NE winds 5-8 MPH.

Buccaneers vs. Panthers Injury Report

Tampa Bay Injuries

Carlton DavisCBHipQuestionable
Shaq MasonOGAnkleQuestionable
Logan HallFBAbdomenQuestionable
Josh WellsOTCalfQuestionable
Cameron BrateTENeckQuestionable
Akiem HicksFBFootQuestionable
Julio JonesWRKneeQuestionable
Sean Murphy-BuntingCBQuadQuestionable
Logan RyanFBFootOut
Mike EdwardsFBElbowProbable

Carolina Injuries

Sean ChandlerFBHamstringQuestionable
Pat ElfleinFBHipQuestionable
Matt IoannidisDTNeckQuestionable
Henry AndersonDEElbowQuestionable
Bravvion RoyDTHamstringQuestionable
Sam DarnoldQBAnkleQuestionable
Jaycee HornCBRibsQuestionable
C.J. HendersonCBHeadQuestionable
Laviska Shenault Jr.WRHamstringQuestionable
Donte JacksonCBAnkleQuestionable
Frankie LuvuLBShoulderQuestionable
Baker MayfieldQBAnkleQuestionable
Cory LittletonLBGroinQuestionable

Buccaneers Offense Vs. Panthers Defense

Buccaneers OffenseStats (Rank)Panthers Defense
20.2 (20)Points/Gm24.3 (23)
0.3 (16)Points/Play0.4 (18)
332.0 (21)Yards/Gm356.8 (21)
264.5 (6)Pass Yards/Gm223.5 (17)
67.5 (32)Rush Yards/Gm133.3 (26)
5.1 (21)Yards/Play5.3 (11)
6.4 (18)Yards/Pass6.6 (15)
3.1 (32)Yards/Rush4.2 (10)
37.8% (22)3rd Down %43.2% (23)
50.0% (20)Red Zone %54.2% (14)
6 (7)Turnovers6 (23)
9 (3)Sacks9 (28)

Panthers Offense Vs. Buccaneers Defense

Panthers OffenseStats (Rank)Buccaneers Defense
17.2 (26)Points/Gm17.2 (5)
0.3 (16)Points/Play0.3 (4)
260.0 (32)Yards/Gm302.5 (7)
169.7 (29)Pass Yards/Gm193.0 (7)
90.3 (26)Rush Yards/Gm109.5 (14)
4.8 (29)Yards/Play4.7 (4)
5.7 (30)Yards/Pass5.5 (4)
4.4 (13)Yards/Rush4.1 (6)
23.6% (32)3rd Down %42.7% (22)
38.5% (30)Red Zone %75.0% (29)
8 (14)Turnovers9 (10)
19 (25)Sacks21 (3)

Buccaneers at Panthers Betting Insights

Why The Bucs Can Cover The Spread

The Buccaneers fit a bounce-back profile off a loss as a double-digit favorite, but that’s for elite teams, which Tampa Bay is not at this time. However, the Bucs under Tom Brady are 4-0 SU/ATS against the Panthers, and Carolina has lost 12 of their last 13 games dating back to last season. The Panthers offense is dysfunctional and a one-man gang with RB Christian McCaffrey, who accounted for 158 of the Panthers 203 yards in a 24-10 loss last week as +9.5 underdog against the Rams. The Panthers offense is last in the NFL averaging 260 yards per game and worse last week with PJ Walker now starting at quarterback. The Bucs defense is top-5 allowing just 4.7 yards per play, and 302 yards per game against ranks No. 7 in the league. 

Why The Panthers Can Cover The Spread

Did you see how the lowly Steelers bounced back to beat the Bucs last week following a blowout loss to the Bills? Carolina will be the contrary pick of the week and more motivated to play better against a division foe that has had their number. It may take turnovers to stay more competitive with emergency QB PJ Walker starting again. But the Panthers are 1-0 in division games this season with their only win against the Saints in Week 3.

Reasons To Bet The Over

The Bucs have scored 19, 20 and 18 points in three road games this season. But that was against the Cowboys, Saints and Steelers, who all have a better defensive DVOA than the Panthers, who rank No. 23, including No. 25 against the pass. The Panthers have allowed 24, 37 and 26 points in their last three games, and this is a week the Bucs offense can have more success knowing they also scored 32 and 46 points the last two years at Carolina.    

Reasons To Bet The Under

Poor PJ Walker made his Panthers starting debut at quarterback last week and managed 60 passing yards on 16 attempts. Don’t expect a sudden resurgence against a talented Buccaneers defense allowing just 302 yards per game and 193 passing. The Buccaneers led the league in offensive DVOA last season, but Tampa has scored more than 21 points just once this season, and all three road games stayed under the total.  

Buccaneers at Panthers matchups to watch for

Tom Brady vs. Panthers Pass Defense

The Panthers ranks No. 25 in pass defense DVOA. Brady completed 31-of-42 passes for 271 yards against Green Bay’s top-10 pass DVOA. Against the Falcons, who rank No. 23 in pass DVOA, Brady was 39-of-52 for 301 yards. The Steelers were missing some key defenders last week, and Brady passed for 243 yards.

  • Brady passing yards: O/U / ()

Christian McCaffrey vs. Buccaneers Defense

In last week’s 24-10 loss against the Rams top-10 defensive DVOA, McCaffrey accounted for 158 of the Panthers 203 yards offense. That included 13 rushes for 69 yards and 7 receptions for 89 yards. Over the past three games, McCaffrey has been targeted 29 times and caught 23 passes while reaching at least 80 yards receiving in two games. With poor downfield passer PJ Walker at quarterback again, McCaffrey should continue to be the Panthers workhorse and key weapon.

Mike Evans vs. Panthers Secondary

Brady is passing 66% of the Bucs offensive plays – second highest in the league behind the Rams. Mike Evans was on the field a season-high 96% of snaps last week, but was only targeted four times and caught all four passes for 42 yards. The two prior games, Evans was targeted 18 times and caught 12 passes for 184 yards and 2 TD’s with his best game of the season against the Chiefs, who have a similar bottom-tier pass DVOA like the Panthers.

  • Evans receiving yards: O/U 65.5 at BetMGM

Final thoughts

The Buccaneers are 3-3 and tied for first with the Falcons in the weak NFC South. But Tampa Bay started the season 2-0 SU/ATS with a pair of road wins and have gone 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS since. Carolina is 1-5 with the worst record in the National Football League. As bettors found out again last week with the Bucs, laying 10 points on the road is a poor percentage play. 

But Carolina is not responding or bonding with their new coach Steve Wilkes. The Panthers have lost 3-straight games by double-digits and are also a league worst 1-5 ATS. I’m not betting on the Panthers either with PJ Walker at quarterback. Pick your poison, and use the eye test and live betting as a better option for this game. 

Best of luck betting Bucs Panthers odds this week.

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FairwayJay is a leading national sports and gaming analyst and is recognized as one of the sports industry's most insightful professionals. Jay has pursued his passions and maintained a pulse on the sports, gaming and poker industries while living in Las Vegas for nearly two decades. He's been a regular featured guest on sports and gaming radio shows, podcasts and produces sports betting and related industry articles and content for various sites and sources.

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