NFL Week 7 Betting Preview: Atlanta Falcons at Cincinnati Bengals Odds

Written By Jeffrey Schreiber on October 21, 2022
falcons bengals odds

The Atlanta Falcons visit the Cincinnati Bengals at 1:00 p.m. ET on Sunday, Oct. 23. NFL Week 7 odds shows the Bengals as spread favorites and  on the moneyline. The point total in Falcons Bengals odds is set at .

In this article, we break down everything you need to know before placing a bet on the game, including team matchups, key metrics, and the best available odds. Click on any of the Falcons Bengals odds in this post to bet now.

FALCONS VS BENGALS ODDS: SPREAD, MONEYLINE, OVER/UNDER

When using the Falcons Bengals odds table above, click the dropdown menu and select the type of bet you wish to make. 

Wagering on the point spread is when you wager on how many points a team will win or lose by. A “plus” sign in front of the spread is the underdog, and a “minus” sign is the favorite. The Bengals would need at least a seven-point win if you bet on Cincinnati to cover the point spread (-6.5). A spread bet on the Falcons would win if Atlanta wins the game or loses by six points or fewer. When there is no flat number like this one, (-6.5) no push comes into play.

Betting the moneyline is simply betting on which particular team will win a game.

The total is the number of combined points the two teams will score. Bettors can choose to bet the over or under on how many total points will be scored in the game.

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FALCONS VS. BENGALS PLAYER PROPS

In the props tool search bar, type in a team or player and hit enter. You’ll see the various proposition bets offered by leading online sportsbooks.  This is a valuable tool that allows bettors to compare odds and stats when considering a prop bet. 

FALCONS VS. BENGALS BETTING NEWS

As of Wednesday, the over/under for this game on DraftKings Sportsbook is 47.593% of the money is on the over. Additional updates can be found below.

FALCONS VS. BENGALS WEATHER REPORT

The weather isn’t expected to have an impact on this matchup, as the temperature is expected to settle in at 78 degrees by kickoff. You should be wary of allowing the potential weather to impact your handicap. Games with lots of rain and snow usually drive down totals but doesn’t always mean it will go Under. Sportsbooks obviously adjust their lines based on weather, so it’s up to the bettor to decide if the book adjusted the line enough. 

Bengals Vs. Falcons Injury Report

Cincinnati Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatus
Jeffrey GunterDEKneeQuestionable
Logan WilsonLBShoulderQuestionable
Josh TupouDTCalfOut
Joe BachieLBKneeQuestionable

Atlanta Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatus
Mykal WalkerILBGroinQuestionable
A.J. TerrellCBThighQuestionable
Adetokunbo OgundejiOLBShoulderQuestionable
Casey HaywardCBShoulderOut

FALCONS OFFENSE VS. BENGALS DEFENSE

Falcons OStats (Rank)Bengals D
24.3 (8)Points/Gm19.2 (10)
0.414 (6)Points/Play0.296 (8)
324.3 (23)Yards/Gm339 (14)
159.2 (30)Pass Yards/Gm218 (13)
165.2 (3)Rush Yards/Gm121 (21)
5.5 (14)Yards/Play5.2 (10)
7 (8)Yards/Pass5.8 (6)
4.9 (9)Yards/Rush4.7 (23)
44.78 (4)3rd Down % 35.80 (10)
66.67 (5)Red Zone TD %35.29 (3)
1.3 (14)Turnovers1.3 (14)
9.27% (29)Sacks3.83% (31)

BENGALS OFFENSE VS. FALCONS DEFENSE

Bengals OStats (Rank)Falcons D
23 (15)Points/Gm22.7 (19)
0.342 (17)Points/Play0.347 (16)
337.7 (20)Yards/Gm385.2 (27)
248.7 (8)Pass Yards/Gm281.2 (31)
89 (27)Rush Yards/Gm104 (9)
5 (25)Yards/Play5.9 (26)
6.5 (16)Yards/Pass7 (23)
3.5 (29)Yards/Rush4.4 (15)
47.56 (3)3rd Down %46.15 (30)
63.16 (8)Red Zone TD %58.33 (20)
1.3 (14)Turnovers1.7 (5)
8.76% (25)Sacks3.20% (32)

 

FALCONS VS BENGALS BETTING INSIGHTS

Why Falcons Can Cover The Spread

Falcons HC Arthur Smith seems content with establishing the run each week. Only the Bears and Titans have dialed up fewer pass attempts than Atlanta in 2022. Marcus Mariota’s passing attempt totals in his team’s three victories are 20, 19, and 14. Mariota relies on his pure speed and athleticism to run inside the Red Zone. Mariota has run for the seventh most rushing yards among all quarterbacks thus far. Only Jalen Hurts has more rushing touchdowns.

This run-heavy playing style matches up perfectly for Atlanta, as Cincinnati is currently ranked as a bottom 10 rush defense per PFF and is inside the bottom 10 in yards per rush allowed. New Orleans ran all over the Bengals in Week 6 totaling 228 yards. Cincinnati was missing key run stopper D.J. Reader and are expected to be without him once again on Sunday. Enter Arthur Smith’s Falcons, one of only seven teams who average positive expected points per play on rushing plays this season. The Falcons can also attack the Bengals in the middle of the field, as Cincinnati has given up the league’s fourth-most catches (35) and yards (390) to tight ends. It would be in Atlanta’s best interest to take advantage of this matchup for Kyle Pitts when they decide to throw the ball. The Falcons are 6-0 ATS in 2022.

Why Bengals Can Cover The Spread

Flying under the radar is that since Week 2, QB Joe Burrow is second in the NFL in Dropback EPA. Burrow returns to Cincinnati fresh off a massive game against New Orleans and is now set to face a Falcons defense that lost No. 2 CB Casey Hayward to IR this week. No. 1 CB A.J. Terrell is nursing a thigh injury. Their offensive line play is what has hurt the Bengals so far in 2022. The good news is Atlanta ranks bottom two in the league in sacks (8) and dead last in pressure rate. I’m betting aggressively on Burrow staying hot here. 

Atlanta’s banged up secondary positions Chase for another blowup game after he torched the Saints for 132 receiving yards and two touchdowns in Week 6. Tee Higgins played 88% of the snaps and received 10 targets in the win. Hayden Hurst is also lined up for success here, as the Falcons have allowed the NFL’s second-most catches (42) and third-most yards (438) to tight ends. Atlanta’s defense is bottom 10 in yards per play and yards per pass.

If HC Zach Taylor chooses a more run-heavy approach, he should have no problem succeeding. Joe Mixon is averaging 5.6 yards per carry over his last two games. This game sets up well for Mixon as a home-favorite workhorse facing an Atlanta defense allowing nearly 4.5 yards per carry. Cincinnati is 5-1 in its last six home games against Atlanta.

Reasons To Bet The Over

The Falcons have a bottom-five defense by DVOA and multiple injuries in their secondary. They allow the eighth-most plays of 20-plus yards and the sixth-most points per snap, and only the Titans surrender more passing yards per game. Since Week 2, the Bengals flipped their first-down pass rate from 23rd (45.8%) to seventh (55.5%). Cincinnati and Atlanta haven’t struggled to put up 25+ points in a contest, as the Falcons have already eclipsed 25 points four times. The Bengals have hit this mark three times. The total has hit the over in six of Cincinnati’s last eight games against Atlanta.

Reasons To Bet The Under

The Falcons are 6.5-point road underdogs, but if Arthur Smith has his way of dictating this game’s play style, we can see a slow and low-scoring one. Only the Bears run more often during neutral situations than the Falcons (52.9%). The Falcons ran the ball 40 times against the 49ers while holding their matchup to 113 combined plays. Atlanta averages the fourth-fewest play-clock seconds remaining, and even when they’re trailing, they operate at the fifth-slowest pace. The total has hit the under in 10 of Atlanta’s last 15 games.

Falcons vs Bengals props: Matchups to watch

Falcons RBs vs. Bengals rush defense: Atlanta is content with keeping the ball on the ground. The Falcons have not only implemented this playing style but have also had tremendous success doing so. Atlanta is No. 1 in rushing offense DVOA and the fifth best rushing team per PFF. They are top 10 in yards per rush, points per play and Red-Zone offense. Cincinnati is bottom 10 in yards per rush allowed and graded as the ninth worst rushing defense per PFF.

Bengals WRs vs. Falcons Secondary: Joe Burrow should have all day to throw in the pocket despite his offensive line struggling. The Falcons rank bottom three in pressure rate and team sacks. The secondary for Atlanta is now banged up at corner. Even at full strength, the Falcons’ pass defense is bottom 10 in yards per play and yards per pass. Look for at least one of Cincinnati’s wideouts to produce an extensive stat line in Week 7.

FINAL THOUGHTS

The streak of Atlanta covering the spread in every game this year has to end eventually. I will be betting the Bengals to cover the points this Week. Best of luck betting Falcons Bengals odds.

Jeffrey Schreiber Avatar
Written by
Jeffrey Schreiber

Jeffrey Schreiber is a sports betting writer with TheLines and Catena Media. Jeff is recent college graduate with a background in finance and analytics. His goal is to provide readers with data and information behind the "why" to make a bet. His most memorable betting moment came during the divisional round of the 2022 NFL playoffs when he turned $37 in same-game parlay bets into $25,000.

View all posts by Jeffrey Schreiber