NFL Week 7 Implied Team Totals: Panthers In Basement Again

Written By Mo Nuwwarah on October 19, 2022
Week 7 implied team totals

Each week during the NFL season, TheLines will compile a list of implied team totals. In other words, NFL Week 7 implied team totals are how many points each team is expected to score this week, based on simple math with the spread and over/under.

Readers can make use of these team totals in a variety of ways for NFL Week 7 and beyond. Those ways include handicapping props, making fantasy decisions, etc.

All lines come from DraftKings Sportsbook as of Oct. 19, rounded to the nearest whole number.

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NFL Week 7 Implied Team Totals

TeamImplied Team TotalOpponentLocationSpreadOver/Under
Chargers29SeahawksHome-6.551
Cowboys28LionsHome-749
Bengals27FalconsHome-647.5
Chiefs2649ersAway-348.5
Buccaneers26PanthersAway-1140
Ravens26BrownsHome-6.545.5
Dolphins26SteelersHome-745
Raiders26TexansHome-745.5
Packers24CommandersAway-542
Patriots24BearsHome-840
Cardinals23SaintsHome-244
49ers23ChiefsHome348.5
Seahawks23ChargersAway6.551
Jaguars23GiantsHome-342
Titans23ColtsHome-2.542.5
Saints21CardinalsAway244
Falcons21BengalsAway647.5
Lions21CowboysAway749
Browns20RavensAway6.545.5
Colts20TitansAway2.542.5
Giants20JaguarsAway342
Broncos19JetsHomepk38.5
Commanders19PackersHome542
Jets19BroncosAwaypk38.5
Steelers19DolphinsAway745
Texans19RaidersAway745.5
Bears16PatriotsAway840
Panthers15BuccaneersHome1140

Highest NFL Week 7 Implied Team Totals

TeamImplied Team TotalDraftKings Team TotalOver PriceUnder Price
Chargers2928.5-110-110
Cowboys2827.5-120+100
Bengals2727.5+100-120

LA Chargers

It was a rough Week 6 for the Chargers offense despite emerging with the win at Denver. The unit simply hasn’t performed as well as it did last season, with Justin Herbert’s average depth of target of 6.3 yards standing out as a clear sign of malfunction.

However, some good news appears potentially on the horizon. Keenan Allen will reportedly practice. The oft-injured WR hasn’t appeared on the field since Week 1. His return would massively boost a receiving corps giving significant burn to Josh Palmer and DeAndre Carter.

Plus, the team gets a dreamy matchup with the Seahawks at home. The Hawks performed better in Week 6, completely shutting down the Cardinals. But that may say more about the Cardinals than it does about the Seahawks. Overall, only two teams have allowed higher EPA/play.

If the Chargers can’t steamroll this defense, it’s probably time to get very worried, especially if Allen suits up.

Dallas Cowboys

Dak Prescott reportedly plans to return this week after dealing with a thumb injury since the season opener. Cooper Rush did fine work when the defense and running game did the heavy lifting. He avoided turnovers and made the occasional big play to keep the offense at least somewhat productive.

The Eagles exposed his limitations as he put together one of the most disastrous halves of play of the year to begin Sunday Night Football.

So, Prescott’s return figures boost the unit a decent chunk in spite of the Twitter takes during Rush’s 4-1 run as starter.

And the Lions have by far the worst EPA/play allowed. Prescott and Co. should get a soft landing as they reintegrate their QB.

Lowest NFL Week 7 Implied Team Totals

TeamImplied Team TotalDraftKings Team TotalOver PriceUnder Price
Panthers1513.5-110-110
Bears1615.5-115-105

Carolina Panthers

Continuing the theme of QB situations in flux, it looks up in the air what the Panthers might do at QB this week. The team designated Sam Darnold to return from IR, and he practiced along with incumbent dregs Jacob Eason and PJ Walker. For all his putrid play at the NFL level — 54 TDs and 52 INTs on under 60% completions — Darnold likely represents a decent upgrade over those two.

He’ll be down a weapon after the trade of disgruntled WR Robbie Anderson if indeed he draws the start. (Editor’s note: Walker will start).

In the last four games, the Panthers offense has scored 15, 15, 10 and three offensive points. It’s been a truly brutal performance so far from this group.

The Buccaneers, for all their struggles stopping the run at times, still rank fourth in defense DVOA.

Christian McCaffrey receiving out of the backfield has basically been the only positive thing going for Carolina, and the Bucs bring a pair of speedy LBs to the table in Devin White and Lavonte David. We don’t often see team totals of 13.5 but it might be warranted here.

Chicago Bears

The Bears did their best Broncos impression on Thursday Night Football, consistently moving the rock but consistently failing to convert the movement into points. That sort of thing tends to regress positively over the course of the rest of the season.

More good news: the Patriots do not present an imposing run defense. Both EPA and DVOA paint them as below average, with the latter (opponent-adjusted) numbers particularly unimpressed with a 26th-place rating.

That’s key since the Bears basically can’t do anything but run. Justin Fields has been looking dangerous in the scrambling and QB run side of things lately. When we last saw the Patriots against a mobile QB, Lamar Jackson toasted them for 107 and a TD on 11 carries.

Other Notable Implied Team Totals

TeamImplied Team TotalDraftKings Team TotalOver PriceUnder Price
Ravens2626.5-110-110
Lions2120.5-105-115

Baltimore Ravens

The Browns defense has been pretty terrible all season but they arguably hit a new low in Week 6. The run defense has had an atrocious year, but it was the pass defense getting shredded by Bailey Zappe of all QBs for 8.4 yards per dropback.

There’s nowhere to throw all your resources against the Ravens. When the QB presents a multi-dimensional threat like Lamar Jackson, any weak point will get exploited. Overcommit against the run and Jackson will beat you deep like few others. Drop back in coverage and the league’s most successful rushing attack the past few years will grind out first downs. Indeed, the Ravens rank top four both rushing and passing on offense by DVOA.

It’s really a mystery how a collection of talent this good can be as poor as the Browns have been thus far, but if that continues, the Ravens can sail over even this high total.

Detroit Lions

Throughout his career, Jared Goff has excelled when given clean pockets. His play degrades in a hurry when placed under pressure, though, more so than most.

That makes this game against the Cowboys a fascinating matchup. At 32.4%, nobody has pressured the opposing QB more frequently. That would seem to mark this as a likely instance of failure.

However, after a bye week, Goff finally has his offensive line healthy after they began the year banged up. Dallas doesn’t blitz especially often, relying on Micah Parsons and Co. to win one-on-one battles. The Lions have a strength on strength matchup here that may determine whether they can contend for an upset.

Furthermore, Amon-Ra St. Brown should be back to full strength. And D’Andre Swift will reportedly return to practice this week.

The Lions were an overs machine when healthy, never scoring fewer than 24 points. The Patriots then blanked them, but that looks like the outlier, and 21 isn’t setting the bar high when every Lions game is a potential shootout.

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Mo Nuwwarah

Mo Nuwwarah got his start in gambling early, making his first sports bet on his beloved Fab Five against the UNC Tar Heels in the 1993 NCAA tournament. He lost $5 to his dad and got back into sports betting years later during a 15-year run in the poker industry. A 2011 journalism graduate from Nebraska-Omaha, he combines those skills with his love of sports and statistics to help bettors make more informed decisions with a focus on pro football, baseball and basketball.

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