Teaser bets remain a popular option with many NFL bettors. But, you must use caution when selecting which teams you’ll tease, as you can’t win long term without a sound strategy. At TheLines, we’ll go over each week’s NFL slate to see which teams fit best in teasers. Today, we look at options for NFL Week 6 teasers.
Week 5 teaser legs struggled as the premium plays went 1-1. The more speculative options did a bit better but 2-1-1 is still nothing to write home about.
Be sure to go over our primer on teaser bets here. It’s imperative that you understand what to look for, from the numbers to the sportsbook juice being paid. Click on the odds anywhere below to bet now.
The Best NFL Week 6 Teasers
This looks like perhaps the best teaser week of the year thus far, with options abounding throughout the board.
Patriots (+2.5) At Browns
Naturally, one should have some trepidation trusting Bailey Zappe if indeed he does draw another start. However, what if Zappe can just do what he did last week against the Lions and practice his handoff technique? If so, it should be a solid option among NFL Week 6 teasers.
Nobody has allowed more EPA/play against the run than the Browns. And not by a small margin — they’re as far from 31st place as 31st is from 25th. Only three teams have received better marks for their run game than the Patriots, per PFF. That could serve to both shorten the game and keep the Patriots close.
Packers (-7.5) Vs. Jets
This actually has a relatively high total by 2022’s muted offense standards, but it still falls within acceptable range for teasers.
The Jets appear to have built some momentum after consecutive victories including a thrashing of the division rivals Dolphins. However, that came primarily against third-string QB Skylar Thompson. Prior to that, they played against half a game of Kenny Pickett’s NFL debut. Football on easy mode is about to turn into the Packers in Lambeau.
Green Bay’s run defense has been abysmal so far. But, they bring a top-five blitz rate to the table. And Zach Wilson has been poor against the blitz so far this season.
The Packers should bounce back at home, but if you don’t trust them to cover a large number, a teaser is worth considering.
Jaguars (+2) At Colts
Speaking of QBs that have a tough time under pressure, perhaps nobody has looked worse under duress than Matt Ryan. Again, that spells trouble against a Jaguars team that ranks top 10 in pressure rate.
The Jags already throttled the Colts 24-0 back in Week 2. Why, you may wonder, would one buy points then? A valid question for sure, but consider that the Colts lacked basically all of their top weapons in that game. Aside from Jonathan Taylor, and he became a non-factor quickly when the team fell down 17-0 in the first half.
This should be a low-scoring divisional dogfight. With the “offense” the Colts have showcased thus far, they will have a very tough time pulling away from anyone. Perhaps their defense can grind out a win, but multiple scores seems unlikely unless Trevor Lawrence continues his turnover slump.
Buccaneers (-8) Vs. Steelers
After an early season lean into their running game when the receiving options were sparse, the Buccaneers have pivoted all the way back into pass first, pass second and even pass on goal-to-go from the 1-yard line.
Now, Tom Brady does not have the arm to scorch these safeties deep like Josh Allen did. But he doesn’t need to in order to cover -2.
On the other side of the ball, the Steelers have been inept running the ball, which has been surprisingly effective against Tampa. That means Kenny Pickett will be in for a long day against a tough pass defense.
Other Potential NFL Week 5 Teasers
Saints (+2) Vs. Bengals
The Saints should be in a good teaser spot here as small home underdogs. Certainly, the Bengals have failed to impress thus far after a surprising Super Bowl run last year, and the Saints seem to be picking up some steam after underperforming early.
An issue here is the Saints have a rather lengthy and troubling injury report. Not only does starting QB Jameis Winston’s status remain up in the air — and who knows whether playing with a broken back even represents an upgrade — but key players Marshon Lattimore, Chris Olave and Michael Thomas missed the week’s first practice on Wednesday. Lattimore’s absence would be especially concerning since the Bengals have such a loaded receiving corps.
Without clarity on who will take the field for the Saints, it’s difficult to justify a play.
Chiefs (+2.5) Vs. Bills
The total here qualifies as positively sky-scraping in a season where most games seem to be a coin flip to see 40 points. Rightfully so, considering the damage these two teams can do through the air. They’re neck and neck for the top spot in the EPA/play rankings. And both showed their prowess against the opposing defense last year in a 78-point bonanza in the playoffs.
A couple of big plays can swing either the Bills or Chiefs to 10-point winners here and nobody would bat an eye. Not the sort of game we want to tease.
Seahawks (+2.5) Vs. Cardinals
Another total that just looks too high for teaser consideration. And if you thought the last two QBs could produce some variance, wait until you see what Geno Smith and Kyler Murray have in store. While Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes tend to mix amazing with merely good, Murray in particular will have a head-slapper for every few great throws. Smith has been more consistent this year but has a lengthy history of mediocrity.
Furthermore, there are some +3s floating around out there on the Seahawks. Or better yet, just grab them on the moneyline, since a few points doesn’t figure to make a huge difference in the range of outcomes here.
Best of luck betting on NFL Week 6 teasers.