The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-2) visit the Pittsburgh Steelers (1-4) on Sunday, Oct. 16. Kickoff is at 1:00 p.m. EST from Heinz–uh– Acrisure Stadium and will be broadcast on FOX. The Buccaneers are road favorites and the Steelers are on the moneyline. Bucs Steelers odds feature an over/under set at .
In this article we break down everything you need to know before placing a bet on Bucs Steelers odds, including team matchups, key metrics, and the best available odds.
NFL Odds: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under
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Buccaneers At Steelers Player Props
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Buccaneers At Steelers Betting News & Angles
Buccaneers vs. Steelers Weather
As of Oct. 11, the forecast in Pittsburgh calls for temperatures near 60º and less than 10 mph winds at kickoff. As with all northern cities, weather conditions can be raw as the season progresses, so keep an eye on an ever-changing forecast.
Buccaneers Vs. Steelers Injury Report
Tampa Bay Injuries
Buccaneers Offense Vs. Steelers Defense
|Buccaneers Offense||Stats (Rank)||Steelers Defense|
|20.6 (19)||Points/Gm||25.6 (25)|
|0.3 (15)||Points/Play||0.4 (16)|
|337.6 (21)||Yards/Gm||416.8 (30)|
|271.6 (3)||Pass Yards/Gm||287.6 (30)|
|66.0 (31)||Rush Yards/Gm||129.2 (23)|
|5.3 (19)||Yards/Play||5.9 (22)|
|6.6 (15)||Yards/Pass||7.5 (27)|
|3.1 (32)||Yards/Rush||4.3 (12)|
|39.7% (14)||3rd Down %||46.6% (26)|
|57.1% (17)||Red Zone %||52.6% (12)|
|6 (10)||Turnovers||10 (4)|
|7 (4)||Sacks||10 (18)|
Steelers Offense Vs. Buccaneers Defense
|Steelers Offense||Stats (Rank)||Buccaneers Defense|
|15.4 (30)||Points/Gm||16.6 (6)|
|0.3 (15)||Points/Play||0.3 (4)|
|295.8 (28)||Yards/Gm||309.0 (6)|
|207.2 (23)||Pass Yards/Gm||193.0 (6)|
|88.6 (29)||Rush Yards/Gm||116.0 (18)|
|4.8 (30)||Yards/Play||4.7 (3)|
|5.7 (29)||Yards/Pass||5.4 (5)|
|3.9 (24)||Yards/Rush||4.4 (15)|
|36.4% (23)||3rd Down %||41.9% (20)|
|46.2% (25)||Red Zone %||76.9% (29)|
|9 (26)||Turnovers||9 (5)|
|11 (16)||Sacks||19 (3)|
Buccaneers At Steelers Betting Insights
Why The Buccaneers Can Cover The Spread
The market seemed to think the opening number of 7.5 points was simply too low. It got bet up to 8.5 by the time dinner rolled around on Monday. Last week, rookie QB Kenny Pickett looked like a deer in headlights against the Bills’ pass rush; now, he faces one of the league’s most vicious rushes in Tampa Bay. As long as the Bucs play their game, Tampa Bay should win this game by more than a score.
Defending the run hasn’t been an issue for the Buccaneers this year. While their numbers are much more impressive against the pass, Tampa’s forced opposing offenses to throw the football, with teams rushing against them on fewer than 40% of snaps on the year. As we’ve already seen, Pittsburgh’s offense shuts completely down when Najee Harris can’t get it going on the ground.
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Why The Steelers Can Cover The Spread
Lavonte David and the Buccaneers defensive starters miss the bus? 11 TJ Watts appear overnight? After watching the hapless Steelers defense get torn apart last week, it’s tough to envision a world where Pittsburgh finishes this game within a score of the Buccaneers. It didn’t take long for Bucs -7.5 to turn into Bucs -8.5 and that number likely isn’t done rising.
In all seriousness, the only realistic scenario which Bucs Steelers odds result in a Pittsburgh cover is if that number inflates too far. But as it was shown last week, even a 14-point spread might not be enough when the Steelers play elite teams.
Reasons To Bet The Over
points isn’t a huge number to overcome, but most of the legwork is going to have to be done by the Buccaneers. Even in last week’s 38-3 decimation in Buffalo, the game total went under. It’s tough to bet the over when one team can’t carry their own weight in the number.
That said, if you’re going to consider betting the over in this game, you’ll want to take Tampa Bay and the points as well. There’s no realistic scenario which the Steelers and Buccaneers trade punches to hit the over here.
Reasons To Bet The Under
The same reasons laid out above apply here, too. When one team can’t score, overs don’t hit. The Steelers have scored more than 17 points twice this year– against the Jets (22nd in points per drive) and the Bengals (one score game on defense) and as a team have two passing touchdowns, but none since Week 2. This is a team that can’t move the ball on the ground (3.9 yards per rush, 25th) or through the air (5.7 yards per pass, 29th).
Conversely, the Buccaneers haven’t been lighting up the scoreboard either. They’ve dealt with injuries to multiple receivers, but the lack of depth on the offensive line has almost completely taken the run game away. Outside of a 31-point outing against the Chiefs (that resulted in a loss), Tampa’s season high in points is 21.
Buccaneers At Steelers Props: Matchups To Watch For
Kenny Pickett vs. Lavonte David: How does a rookie QB handle facing one of the craftiest and most athletic linebackers in the game? David is as excellent defending the pass as he is as a pass rusher and that could spell trouble for Pickett. There’s multiple ways David could make Pickett’s afternoon terrible– by racking up sacks and QB hits, and disguising coverage and taking away easy completions. Pickett is an athletic player, but his ability to scramble might be off the board with David roaming the middle of the field.
Mike Evans vs. Pittsburgh Cornerbacks: The Steelers have a grand total of zero cornerbacks ranked inside Pro Football Focus’ top 75 at the position through five weeks. Aside from production, they have a size disadvantage as well. The Steelers’ biggest corner is Ahkelo Witherspoon at 6′ 2″, who also happens to be the team’s lowest-rated corner per PFF (87th). At 6′ 5″ and 225 pounds, Evans presents a size matchup problem nearly every week, but he should have a field day against a small unit devoid of notable talent.
Rarely are the Steelers a team with as bleak a lookout as this current one. Pickett is extremely inexperienced and he’ll need time to adjust to the NFL and that was very evident last week against the Bills. The Buccaneers don’t quite have the same defensive prowess as the Bills, but they aren’t far off. They’re chock-full of physical, high-IQ, athletic players that provide a good counter to a QB like Pickett.
The market didn’t think 7.5 points was enough at open and 8.5 points may not be, either. Until the market really adjusts to Pittsburgh being one of the league’s worst teams on both sides of the ball– at least until Watt returns– I’ll continue to bet the other side. Acrisure Stadium at this point in time doesn’t intimidate me as a raucous environment and Tom Brady is plenty experienced playing in all sorts of weather up north.
I’m confident taking the Bucs and the points, but I’m happier to take under 43.5 points in this game. Until Pickett shows an ounce of life, I just can’t see a world where Pittsburgh scores much of anything in this game.
Best of luck betting Bucs Steelers odds.