NFL Week 6 Betting Preview: New York Jets at Green Bay Packers Odds

Written By Jeffrey Schreiber on October 14, 2022
jets packers odds

The New York Jets visit the Green Bay Packers at 1:00 p.m. ET on Sunday, Oct. 16. NFL Week 6 odds shows the Packers as spread favorites and  on the moneyline. The point total in Jets Packers odds is set at .

In this article, we break down everything you need to know before placing a bet on the game, including team matchups, key metrics, and the best available odds. Click on any Jets – Packers odds in this post to bet now.

JETS PACKERS ODDS: SPREAD, MONEYLINE, OVER/UNDER

When using the Jets Packers odds table above, click the dropdown menu and select the type of bet you wish to make. 

Wagering on the point spread is when you wager on how many points a team will win or lose by. A “plus” sign in front of the spread is the underdog, and a “minus” sign is the favorite. The Packers would need at least an eight-point win if you bet on Green Bay to cover the point spread (-7). A spread bet on the Jets would win if New York wins the game or loses by six points or fewer. When there is a flat number like this one (-7) a push comes into play.

Betting the moneyline is simply betting on which particular team will win a game.

The total is the number of combined points the two teams will score. Bettors can choose to bet the over or under on how many total points will be scored in the game.

JETS VS. PACKERS PLAYER PROPS

In the props tool search bar, type in a team or player and hit enter. You’ll see the various proposition bets offered by leading online sportsbooks.  This is a valuable tool that allows bettors to compare odds and stats when considering a prop bet. 

JETS VS. PACKERS BETTING NEWS

As of Wednesday, the spread for this game on DraftKings Sportsbook is Packers -7. 69% of the money is on New York to cover the spread. Additional updates can be found below.

JETS VS. PACKERS WEATHER REPORT

The weather isn’t expected to have an impact on Jets Packers odds, as the temperature is expected to settle in at 52 degrees by kickoff. You should be wary of allowing the potential weather to impact your handicap. Games with lots of rain and snow usually drive down totals but doesn’t always mean it will go Under. Sportsbooks obviously adjust their lines based on weather, so it’s up to the bettor to decide if the book adjusted the line enough. 

Packers Vs. Jets Injury Report

Green Bay Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatus
Elgton JenkinsOGKneeQuestionable
Tipa GaleaiLBHamstringQuestionable
David BakhtiariOTKneeQuestionable
Kylin HillRBAclQuestionable
Rashan GaryLBToeQuestionable
Aaron RodgersQBRight thumbProbable
Devonte WyattFBQuadricepQuestionable
Christian WatsonWRHamstringQuestionable

New York Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatus
Duane BrownOTShoulderQuestionable
Carl LawsonFBAnkleProbable
C.J. MosleyLBHipProbable
Jermaine JohnsonDEAnkleQuestionable
Quincy WilliamsLBAnkleQuestionable

Packers Offense Vs. Jets Defense

Packers OffenseStats (Rank)Jets Defense
19.4 (22)Points/Gm23.6 (18)
0.3 (15)Points/Play0.4 (16)
362.2 (9)Yards/Gm320.2 (10)
227.4 (20)Pass Yards/Gm205.8 (10)
134.8 (11)Rush Yards/Gm114.4 (16)
5.7 (12)Yards/Play5.2 (9)
6.6 (15)Yards/Pass6.7 (15)
5.0 (9)Yards/Rush4.0 (5)
42.1% (8)3rd Down %48.4% (28)
61.1% (9)Red Zone %68.8% (26)
7 (18)Turnovers9 (5)
11 (16)Sacks10 (18)

Jets Offense Vs. Packers Defense

Jets OffenseStats (Rank)Packers Defense
23.2 (11)Points/Gm19.2 (11)
0.3 (15)Points/Play0.3 (4)
355.6 (12)Yards/Gm303.4 (5)
258.6 (9)Pass Yards/Gm177.0 (2)
97.0 (24)Rush Yards/Gm126.4 (21)
5.2 (21)Yards/Play5.5 (14)
6.0 (26)Yards/Pass6.7 (15)
4.1 (23)Yards/Rush4.8 (22)
38.4% (19)3rd Down %30.2% (4)
70.6% (5)Red Zone %58.3% (21)
9 (26)Turnovers4 (26)
12 (19)Sacks12 (11)

JETS VS PACKERS BETTING INSIGHTS

Why Jets Can Cover The Spread

Attempting to run a nice mix of passing and running plays, the Jets have dialed up 62 rushing plays versus 60 passing plays in their back-to-back wins. Green Bay is struggling in run defense, having permitted 5.1 yards per carry and 141.6 total yards per game to enemy backs. The Packers also figure to be more tired than usual, one week removed from their London loss to the Giants. Emerging as the Jets lead Running Back, Breece Hall enters Week 6 averaging 19.5 touches for 137.5 yards over his last two outings. Hall has earned every-week bell-cow usage. 

Aside from the run game, there is another sneaky way the Jets can have success in this game. Per Warren Sharp, Green Bay is extremely sensitive to play-action passes. The Packers grade out as the No. 1 pass defense in the NFL against non-play-action plays. Its interesting to note that facing play-action, Green Bay is the second-worst pass defense in the league. Since Jets QB Zach Wilson took over as the starting QB in Week 4, the Jets are utilizing play-action at a 56% (second-highest in the NFL).

New York is undefeated (2-0) on the road this season, and with Green Bay’s offense struggling, it would not be a surprise to see the final score being relatively close. Two of three wins for the Packers this season have come by three points or less, which makes the Jets covering the spread a reasonable pick heading into Sunday. The Jets are 8-4 straight up in their last 12 games against Green Bay.

Why Packers Can Cover The Spread

Since handling only eight touches in Green Bay’s Week 1 loss to Minnesota, Aaron Jones is averaging 16.8 touches while producing 103 yards with two TD’s over his last four contests. Jones out-snapped A.J. Dillon 46 to 20 in last week’s loss to the Giants. The Jets have coughed up the league’s third-most rushing TD’s to opposing RBs in 2022. Jones sets up well in a game Green Bay is favored by more than a touchdown at home.

Rookie WR Romeo Doubs remains a staple in Green Bay’s two-wide sets alongside Allan Lazard. Lazard is now playing the most snaps and running the most routes in Green Bay’s pass-catcher corps. He leads the team in Air Yards share (30%), giving him big-play opportunities. Lazard has pulled in 11 TDs over his last 14 games. The Jets are allowing the fourth-most receiving TD’s to opposing WRs in 2022. Randall Cobb is also making a difference as he led Green Bay in Week 5 targets (13) and receiving yards (99). 

The Packers are 14-0 straight-up, when forcing 1 or more turnovers since the 2021 season (best in NFL). The Jets have turned the ball over 36 times since the 2021 season (tied for second-most in NFL). Green Bay is 20-10 ATS at home under Matt LaFleur.

Reasons To Bet The Over

If the The Packers are pushed they can rack up points as they rank ninth in total offense this season (362.2 yards per game). Green Bays’ offense passed at their highest rate of the season while their game with the Giants remained close (66.7%). The Jets are accumulating 356 total yards per game on offense this season (12th-ranked). New York ranks 11th in the NFL with 23.2 points per game on offense, and they rank 18th with 23.6 points allowed per contest on defense. The Jets’ defense has been bottom-five on third down this season, ceding a 48.4% third-down conversion percentage, which ranks fifth-worst in the NFL.

Reasons To Bet The Under

The Packers seem to put an emphasis on running an extremely low volume of plays. They currently run the fourth-most seconds per play on offense, while allowing the most seconds per play on defense. Green Bay will always chose to run the ball if they can, as they are currently top 10 in run play percentage.

We just saw what a matchup with a slow-paced opponent can do to the Jets’ play volume, as Miami held New York to 56 plays. With a trip to Lambeau on tap for the Jets, things are not headed in a faster direction. Packers’ games average only 38.6 total points (24th) and the fewest combined plays (116.2). Opponents are doing their part to slow games down by handing off against Green Bay’s defense at the fifth-highest clip (48.6%). The Jets will try to follow this path of a run-heavy game plan as long as they remain within striking distance on the scoreboard. 

On defense, the Packers have been a top-five unit in terms of passing yards allowed, ranking second-best by surrendering only 177 passing yards per game. New York possess an offense that ranks in the bottom half of the league in terms of yards per play (5.2) and third-down conversion percentage (38.4%). 

Jets vs Packers props: Matchups to watch

Aaron Jones vs Jets Rush Defense: Jones has been running hot at home this year averaging a staggering 6.9 YPC thus far. The Packers rushing offense has been dominent in 2022, ranking top five in rushing offense DVOA. The Jets have been getting torched in the Red-Zone this year and that is exactly where Jones excels. New York gets a-lot of slack for performing poor in run-defense but it is worth noting they are allowing the fifth-fewest yards per rush in 2022.

  • Jones rushing yards prop: O/U / ()

Breece Hall vs Packers Defense: Hall’s snap share increased for the third consecutive game en route to a 197-total-yard performance. Hall continued his prolific start to the season as a pass catcher with 100 yards through the air. Hall’s average depth of target currently sits at 5.9. While Hall likely won’t maintain his aDOT for the entire year, it bodes well that the Jets are getting him involved downfield and there’s no better example than the 79-yard catch-and-run he had in Week 5, in which he caught a wheel route 15 yards downfield and nearly housed it. The Packers are currently allowing the ninth-most rushing yards to opposing RB’s in 2022. Green Bay is ranked as the third-worst rush defense DVOA.

  • Hall rushing yards prop: O/U / ()

FINAL THOUGHTS

The Packers are a far-better team when they play at Lambau Field. Expecting the Jets to face some negative regression and the Packers hosting this game, should equal Green Bay covering the seven points in Week 6. Best of luck betting Jets Packers odds from all of us at TheLines.

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Jeffrey Schreiber Avatar
Written by
Jeffrey Schreiber

Jeffrey Schreiber is a sports betting writer with TheLines and Catena Media. Jeff is recent college graduate with a background in finance and analytics. His goal is to provide readers with data and information behind the "why" to make a bet. His most memorable betting moment came during the divisional round of the 2022 NFL playoffs when he turned $37 in same-game parlay bets into $25,000.

View all posts by Jeffrey Schreiber